From: Renee Lewis To: "Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org]" Subject: Hello! Date: Wed, 24 Oct 2012 14:02:06 +0000 Hi, How are you? I'm back in Doha again with Al Jazeera after a break back in the US spending time with my family... I just came across this article saying that groundwater extraction can cause earthquakes: http://www.ouramazingplanet.com/3665-earthquake-triggered-by-humans.html It made me wonder what else *(besides fracking... already know about that one...) we do that causes natural disasters. What do you think? Renee Lewis To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: Re: Hello! How are you? Well, and you? I'm back in Doha again with Al Jazeera after a break back in the US spending time with my family... I just came across this article saying that groundwater extraction can cause earthquakes: http://www.ouramazingplanet.com/3665-earthquake-triggered-by-humans.html It made me wonder what else *(besides fracking... already know about that one...) we do that causes natural disasters. What do you think? Yes, certainly extracting groundwater at rates higher than it can be replenished can (will) cause earthquakes. Plausible, no? Global warming -> ice shelf danger of Heinrich events (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heinrich_event) When I learned of those, I really got frightened. The recent floods in the UK were predicted more than a decade ago as the plausible effect of drying up floodplains. And then building on them (which is why they were dried up in the first place) of course makes victims as soon as there is a lot of water that the plain will no longer absorb. But nobody listened of course. In fact these disasters should not be called natural disasters, but human-triggered disasters. I believe the dust-bowl disasters in the US were also human triggered. The current ecological state of Greece finds its origin in severe deforestation about two millennia ago (unless I am remembering something wrongly). Switzerland stopped all deep geothermal drilling (the Basel experiment) because of possible earthquakes. As Kurt Vonnegut would have said: "and on and on". Robert. PS: Note that in previous messages there are some of my questions you have left unanswered. :) From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Date: Sat, 4 Feb 2012 17:09:21 +0300 Subject: RE: Diverse subjects Hi, How's it going? Have you seen this website: thesolutionsjournal.com ? We just started using op-eds from the site for our Opinion page and I've already read a few very interesting articles. Check these out when you have the time: The New Geograpgy of Trade: Globalization's Decline May Stimulate Local Recovery: http://www.thesolutionsjournal.com/node/1042 China's Role in a World of Scarce Resources: http://www.thesolutionsjournal.com/node/1036 Have you heard of the ecotown model? Just read about that in one of the articles from the Solutions journal. I think living in some place like that would be amazing. Some even have their own local currency to encourage buying local to reduce emissions from transporting the goods. Renee Lewis ________________________________________ From: Robert Cailliau [robert@robertcailliau.eu] Sent: Sunday, January 22, 2012 4:06 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: Diverse subjects >Finally, someone who is as paranoid as me about the world collapsing! :) But it is NOT funny... And most of it is because of overpopulation and religion. OK, whatever follows is of course personal and not for publication. > I have had many discussions with friends in various places around >the world about finding a "safe" place to go... considering >potential for political strife, natural disasters, land that you can >grow food on, Right, that too was what I had in mind: buy a farm and be certain to be able to grow your own food. Unfortunately Australia (including Tasmania) is a very old continent and the soil is not fertile like it is in Europe. >... I like your idea of staying in the center of things, at least >you know what's going on because its already happening - don't have >to try to predict events. But there are other trends: the population here is collapsing. Which is what is needed, but there are (1) no political visions of how to let that happen orderly, and (2) there is too much immigration of people who have no education and bring with them even more irrational beliefs than we already have. >When you mentioned religious issues being worse now than during the >Inquisistion, are you talking about the Christian and Muslim >fundamentalists? Yes. There are good things in all religions, but also a lot of bad ones. The Christians have a very diminished role of God (they go more for the human Christ figure), no real monotheism (at least the Catholics do not) and the idea of "turning the other cheek" instead of the "eye for eye" points to solving conflicts without violence. Islam has some good ideas for the financial world (no interests on loans, the running of insurance companies, etc.), but, like Judaism, it does not tolerate separation of Church and State and is very unfair to women. I have been more than once furious with practicing Jews in Antwerp (where I lived most of my life) because they refused to shake hands with my mother. Even very recently at a conference there was an incident where I was chatting in the lift to a person who had made a brilliant remark during a talk the previous day. But when we left the lift and parted ways, he gave a silly excuse for not shaking hands ("I still have to eat breakfast"), but in fact it was because he was a practicing Jew and my wife was in the lift with me, so he would have had to touch her too! It made my blood boil. But what can you do? Say "You are an irrational idiot!" and risk an antisemitism suit? I thought of it for a long time, and I believe that if anything like that will happen again, I will make a remark. We have an Egyptian Muslim in the family (the husband of one of our daughters). He is not very bright (that is a euphemism), but he insists on his daughter not eating any pork. That puts a strain on our cuisine. Why do we not have the right to insist that he adapt to us? He eats other things that (as far as my knowledge of the Koran goes) are strictly forbidden, but that is of course allowed. Shall I point out to him his total incoherence? He has not enough education nor brainpower to understand that. And so on. I now refrain from getting into any argument about evolution (let alone abortion) with fundamental Christians. >They seem to be causing the most trouble from my perspective. The >religious right in the states is actually frightening. Indeed. And they are invading us here too. But the Muslims are just as bad: they keep their girls from some parts of education, and there are now public swimming pools in the UK where the windows have been painted over and some days are reserved for Muslim women only. This is ridiculous. I do very carefully refrain from any remarks or gestures towards women around here wearing scarves (there are a LOT of them), because I am well aware of the fact that some of them do it only to conform rather than out of conviction. But I often also think that those who do believe are advertising their belief system: (1) mutilate unconsenting boys, (2) kill animals inhumanely, (3) condone inequality of men and women, (4) impose thought patterns on the whole of society. Practicing Jews are of course exactly the same, but since Judaism is a racist religion (you cannot join, you have to be born into it) they have no missionaries (fortunately for us) whereas Islam does. I am not denying the terrible stuff that was done in the name of Christianity, espacially in the Americas and in Africa. It was terrible. And I am also not a Christian (thoug I was raised so). However, we are supposed to have learned and evolved our civilisation beyond religious aberrations. The Evangelicals and the Fundamental Islamists want to turn that clock back. >... Do you have Evangelicals and mega churches in Europe? Unfortunately we have Evangelicals. But they are not as many and not yet as hard-lined as in the US. But we have a lot of Muslims, and the conservatives among them are just as bad or perhaps worse. >On education, I don't know how it is in Europe but the US has been >in a nosedive for a while. Horrible salaries for teachers make it >worse. Exactly the same here. > College leaves students in debt - many of my friends around >$30,000.. and they went to state schools! I know. The best thing for a country (this has been shown historically many times, from the Romans onwards) is to give everyone the same opportunity in education, free of charge, up to university level. But not free of charge for any abilities: I had to pass an entrance exam before being allowed into the Schools of Engineering. We were 600, and only 300 passed. That was in 1964. In the late eighties it was considered "elitist" to refuse students by making them take an exam, so it was abolished, Result: now all 600 start, and 300 of them get weeded out anyway after two years, then another 150 after another year. But they have now wasted a lot of resources and years of their own lives. > Imagine, going to a private school or Ivy league would probably >leave a student who didn't come from family money 100,000 or more in >debt after graduation. Which makes finding a well-paying job the >only priority - doesn't really allow a person to find something they >really love or even partly enjoy. Totally agree. We need to go back to free education, but also selection. To comment further: the Schools of Engineering are part of the university, and take 5 years to complete. But the Technical Schools were not. However, now the people who go there, and definitely are not of the same capabilities, want their diplomas also to be recognised as university degrees, which they are not. This will put additional strain on people, but also on industry, because industry wil now have to do the selection much more carefully. Hence temporary jobs, demotions, and all sorts of stupid things. We have a few friends who are wise enough to know their own limits and accept them. We also know a few people (like our Egyptian son-in-law) who have no humility at all and no clue that maybe some things are beyond them. In 2009 I started flying lessons. I did it to find out if at my age I could still learn something difficult. During the very first class the teacher laid out the amount of theory we would need to master and the amount of practice. He began by saying that learning to fly is a great lesson in humility. In May 2010 I got my pilot's licence, and I could not agree more with him: I was at the verge of giving up several times. I know now very well what I will attempt and what not. For example I will not attempt to get the instrument rating, because I know my brain is not fast enough to do that. Perhaps one of the things to teach students is to find out where their limits are. You can work on improving yourself, but you should be aware of your limitations and not be arrogant. > What do you think of the school systems we have in place in the West now? Need to be overhauled, but the most important aspect to get right is to make people feel comfortable with their limitations. I have worked at CERN for a very long time, as you know, but I have no understanding of quantum mechanics and probably never will because I am not intelligent enough for that. I am also a pretty lousy programmer though I do understand software. I'm comfortable with that though. > I'm assuming European and US schools are fairly similar in their >structure, but I could be wrong. It depends. Many countries have slightly different systems here. But from what I hear from US friends it is roughly the same except for funding. > In the US, from 1st grade to graduating from highschool there is >pretty much one structure in place: 5 or 6 classes per day, and very >little options to personalize your education. Its English, math, >science, history, health, maybe a foreign language... I don't think >our system is very progressive and it stifles curiosity and >imagination in my opinion. Same here: no options, and if I think back to my own school days, I did not really wanted that. I did want options in secondary school (12-18) and did latin & maths, but regret that it meant no Greek. >It seems like you've thought a lot about global warming,... ... >etc...? Extreme weather, storms... Yes. Plus the rearranging of the ocean currents, with the El Nino and the Gulf Stream the most important perhaps, though I don't know a lot about the system of currents. It is not very important that it does change, because it has changed often before and species died out etc., but it is the rate of change that is orders of magnitude higher than evolution can tolerate. There was a recent article in Scientific American about this rates, comparing with the last two great eras of extinctions. > But what about earthquakes and volcanic eruptions? Do you think >they are related? It might be "normal" but its been freezing here in >the gulf for about the past week. They said something about winds >from Siberia... Anyways, its odd. There have always been large fluke fluctuations, so a single season or event is in itself no good sign of anything. Earthquakes and volcanism (which obviously are related) can be caused by shifts in plates: if a lot of ice melts on Greenland for example, then that whole island will lift up from under the weight and that will cause a slow shift which will have its effect on other plates and thus on earthquakes and volcanoes. But they are the least to worry about. >Syria is getting more and more convoluted. ... talk of secret mass gravesites. I do not understand how those guys cannot understand that the international community will not let that go on forever. Yet, of course, Nazis did similar things for many years before anyone intervened. >Now, some soldiers from Assad's army have started defecting... If it >lands in the middle of the road, they grab long poles to pull it >over, as snipers shoot at them. Incredible. > Its really insane! My belief in the sanity of humans is limited. > And to top it off, powerful countries are behind Assad's regime and >don't want him to leave: even Israel prefers him to an unknown. Israel is the most dangerous state on the planet. While I am not of the opinion of some that it should be annihilated, I certainly would like to see a different solution to what was once called "the Jewish problem". >... But of course, the Syrian government media would tell... Al Qaeda groups Yeah, sure, call in the enemy of the enemy. >I never watched Star Trek... But if you recommend it I will download >it! Not much to do in Doha besides going shopping at the mega malls >or hanging out at some 5-star hotel bar - neither of which is my >scene... I don't think you can download it. There are a small number of movies that were made fairly recently, but they are not worth seeing. Star Trek started out as a TV series in the 60s. There were four issues, each spanning a number of years of episodes. There was "the original series (TOS), which ran for 4 years and I think about 80 episodes of 45minutes each. Followed by The Next Generation (TNG), Voyager, and Deep Space 9 (DS9). It looks like science fiction, and I took it like that when I was 16. But in fact it is a very clever series of comments on society and on humanity. The setting is that of a starship travelling our galaxy and meeting other beings. In each series the device of a Candide is used: one member of the crew who is an alien and therefore has a lot of questions about the behaviour or attitudes of the human crew members. In the original series that Candide is Mr. Spock, a person from the planet Vulcan, where strict logic is applied to everything. Of course he is always amazed by our irrational behaviour. There is an amazing number of references to Star Trek all the time, and some of the gizmos used have in the meantime actually been invented. The most recent we saw was this: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2088257/Star-Trek-really-IS-good-guide-future--Scientists-able-produce-transparent-aluminium.html?ITO=1490 But there are many others. The word "taser" is derived from "phaser" and "warp speed" comes from it too. A funny one was during the Royal Wedding: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-1382791/Royal-Wedding-Forget-Kate-Middletons-dress-Princess-Beatrices-hat-Facebook-hit.html But you can't understand any of these references unless you have seen at least the original series. It must be on sale in any DVD shop in Doha. The social comments are sometimes fairly explicit. There is one episode in which they meet a planet of people who have no gender. There are no longer males and females, only persons. However, every so often a person is born who does feel "femaleness" or "maleness" as regression to an earlier era, and is then by law "treated" so the gender tendencies are supressed. The episode has one such person, who hides from the law her "femaleness" and falls in love with one of the Earth crew members. After some complications there is a court case in which all the reasons for and against the laws are exposed. It is of course a reference to the way gay people were seen or are seen, and the way of encapsulating the issues into a setting which starts from no gender at all is very well done. There is another whole set about the rights of robots and so on. The original series is not well acted and the decors are ancient-looking with problematic special effects, but anyway those are just props. My wife had not seen them either and then got hooked immediately (somehow women feel a great attraction to the character of Spock). So we saw the entire set of sets (I had seen only the original series and that when I was 16). It took about a year to go through... But I was amazed: there are certainly episodes that you could not show today, because they advocate reason over irrational beliefs, and are sometimes quite atheist in approach. They would today be branded as "insulting" to religious groups. Yet they also advocate the rule of law, loyalty, curiosity, tolerance, and changing your mind in the face of evidence (my favourite phrase). Funnily, the King of Jordan (Rania's husband, yes!) is a great fan. When he was in Hollywood many years ago, he insisted seeing the production facilities, and was even given a very short role in the episode they were making at that time! I think seeing the Original Series is a must just as much as any classic work of literature or cinema. It's definitely not science fiction. You could start by getting the first season on DVDs and seeing if you like it. But do not watch the full-length movies that were made later, they are unintelligible unless you have seen TOS. :) Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Diverse subjects How's it going? It's -10C outside and +20 inside, that's 30 degrees difference; plus a strong wind has been blowing for the last few days. The heatpump is working more than half the day. Normally it sucks heat from the ground for only 8 hours during the night at low electricity tariff and stores it in a big tank of 5000 litres of water, then circulates it through the floor heating during the day. The sky is however beautifully sunny. Have you seen this website: thesolutionsjournal.com ? No, but it looks interesting. ... Check these out when you have the time: ... Will do. Sigh: there are so many of these sites. I wished one of them broke through, like Wikipedia. Have you heard of the ecotown model? I had heard something vaguely on the news some time ago. It seemed to me like trying to create what we have around here as little towns in Switzerland and rural France. I certainly do not like the idea of local currencies, but that is a more complex matter. In 1984 after my divorce I had to move out further into Switzerland, and the commute began to be horrible: 25 minutes. I found that far too long, so I moved into France and much closer to CERN, so I could go there by bicycle. However, it also meant changing administrations (from Switzerland to France), and while I was staff at an international organisation, that option simply did not exist for people "trapped" in Switzerland. Now my wife & I may want to move closer to town (=Geneva) rather than living on the outskirts, and the problem is now reversed: it is difficult to get back in. Small communities do create xenophobism. So I am a little wary of efforts to build them on purpose, and certainly do not like frontiers. Of course the eco-side I support fully. ... reduce emissions from transporting the goods. True, but not every transport is negative either. One has to count the Joules needed to do anything, not the kms or the cost in money. That is the real problem: we have not got enough data on that, and there is a lot of ideology involved too. Very difficult. And of course, I do like to travel, I don't want to feel guilty about that. Fewer people on the planet is much better than some ecological measures. Very very difficult problem. In the meantime the situation in Syria does not get better, in Egypt people kill each other over football, and in Libya there is revenge. Beautiful. Humans made in God's image? :( Anything on Star Trek ;) Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Diverse subjects I wonder why we (humanity) don't intervene in Syria in the way we did in Libya? Because Israel is too close? Because Syria has no oil or not enough? Because we are tired? Or hypocritical? It's a real mess. I hope some solution will come about soon. And once again too many people for the resources, not enough education, too much corruption. And what about Jordan? You did not react to much of my long message, was that intentional or just no time? Best, and "Bon week-end", Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Date: Sat, 11 Feb 2012 14:11:04 +0300 Subject: RE: Diverse subjects Hey, How's everything? Yes I have been busy for 3 weeks now, I had a friend visiting from Mexico, an amazing woman I met in Jerusalem when I was living in Palestine a few years ago. She is Jewish-American but was protesting against the Occupation with the Women in Black. So, she came out to visit for a couple weeks on her way to Sri Lanka and I played tour guide while she was here, showed her all the sights. Then the same day she left, my parents came to visit! So they were here for one week and I showed them all the sights and now they have begun their 30 hour trek back to the West coast. So it was nice having them out, but exhausting at the same time! [It's -10C outside and +20 inside, that's 30 degrees difference; plus a strong wind has been blowing for the last few days. The heatpump is working more than half the day. Normally it sucks heat from the ground for only 8 hours during the night at low electricity tariff and stores it in a big tank of 5000 litres of water, then circulates it through the floor heating during the day. The sky is however beautifully sunny.] The weather here is getting better and better - yesterday and today in the 30's and sunny. The winter here is great, it gets cold enough for light coats at night, and sweater some days, but switches from warm to cold every few days. Now I think its warming up for good and the cold will come less and less. Still have another month or so until it becomes unbearable here again like last summer, 45 degrees and humid! [Sigh: there are so many of these sites. I wished one of them broke through, like Wikipedia.] Yeah, I don't know what it takes for a site to become popular. It seems like most people are so stuck in getting their news from mainstream media that they think that's the only "news" - aka death and destruction and war. If I asked you, "What's going on in the world today?" Would you automatically think about all the wars, who got killed where, and that kind of thing? Why do so many people automatically think about "news" that way. How did we get here?! It makes it seem like there's nothing good left in the world. I think all this negativity and violence being pounded into our brains from the media may actually cause more harm than good. Why don't we focus on the positive and change the way we think... ? >Have you heard of the ecotown model? [I had heard something vaguely on the news some time ago. It seemed to me like trying to create what we have around here as little towns in Switzerland and rural France. I certainly do not like the idea of local currencies, but that is a more complex matter. In 1984 after my divorce I had to move out further into Switzerland, and the commute began to be horrible: 25 minutes. I found that far too long, so I moved into France and much closer to CERN, so I could go there by bicycle. However, it also meant changing administrations (from Switzerland to France), and while I was staff at an international organisation, that option simply did not exist for people "trapped" in Switzerland. Now my wife & I ay want to move closer to town (=Geneva) rather than living on the outskirts, and the problem is now reversed: it is difficult to get back in. Small communities do create xenophobism. So I am a little wary of efforts to build them on purpose, and certainly do not like frontiers. Of course the eco-side I support fully.>... reduce emissions from transporting the goods. True, but not every transport is negative either. One has to count the Joules needed to do anything, not the kms or the cost in money. That is the real problem: we have not got enough data on that, and there is a lot of ideology involved too. Very difficult. And of course, I do like to travel, I don't want to feel guilty about that. Fewer people on the planet is much better than some ecological measures. Very very difficult problem.] The article I suggested to you about switching from oil/natural gas/nuclear power to wind, water and sunlight was really interesting to me because of how efficient WWS energy sources are. They have little risks and offer a lot of power, and the logistics of transfering the power are not impossible or even that difficult to figure out. But the fact is that powerful, wealthy people make their millions off of gas and oil and don't want to lose those profits. So they would rather say screw the world, the environment, and people's health - I want to keep making millions at their expense! Its ridiculous - they should be put on trial for the hundreds of thousands killed in wars for oil, the families that get sick from 'fracking' in the states, and the millions who die prematurely from air pollution every year. [In the meantime the situation in Syria does not get better, in Egypt people kill each other over football, and in Libya there is revenge. Beautiful. Humans made in God's image?] The soccer thing in Egypt was a shock to me. They work together and fight against Mubarak, oust him, then have to cooperate against the Military dictatorship for the rest of the year, still have't beaten them, and then kill EACH OTHER over a game?? Insanity. The main theory in the media as to why it happened that way is because the Ultras (the fans of Al Ahly team I believe) were on the 'frontlines' at Tahrir at the beginning of the revolution - they apparently took their fighting, rioting skills from soccer games and applied them against the police and military. They were a big part of the revolution - and that's why some analysts say that the riot police let the riot happen, locked the doors and stood by and watched. They wanted them to get killed in revenge for their role in the demos and revolution. But who knows for sure? [Anything on Star Trek] I have been trying to download the first season at my hotel but the internet is INSANELY slow and I think its at 5% after days of downloading. And the other problem is my internet connection times out so I can't just leave it and expect it to download while Im at work or asleep. And they didn't have it in the DVD shop! Anyways, I am going back to the States in a couple of weeks while they renew my contract so I will be able to get it there! Looking forward to discussing it with you! [I wonder why we (humanity) don't intervene in Syria in the way we did in Libya? Because Israel is too close? Because Syria has no oil or not enough? Because we are tired? Or hypocritical? It's a real mess. I hope some solution will come about soon.] The Syrian conflict is way more complicated than it originally appears. And everyone keeps comparing it to Libya as a way of saying "no intervention" - it will "just cause more problems". I say it can't get any worse. If someone suggests that arming the Free Syrian Army or intervening is just going to cause more violence I'm going to scream because they are assuming Assad is reasonable on some level and can be dealt with in a reasonable way. He isn't and he can't. Its literally a fight to the death. He will continue launching an all-out war on his people until they give up or he kills them all or he gets assassinated. Assad's army has been attacking Homs for almost a week now. Continuous shelling, mortar attacks, anti-aircraft weapons used against civilians and their homes. Tanks shooting at people's houses. Women and children hiding in basements for days. They can't even leave their homes to get food because of the snipers on the roofs, the Shabiha (govt thugs) are going door to door indiscriminately killing men, women, children, the elderly... They have NO humanity. Its gone. They are animals. The only thing to do now is fight back. After Russia and China decided to veto the UN resolution supporting the Arab League plan, the US seemed to give up. They pulled out their ambassador from Damascus and said basically, 'we have no more options at this point'. Some people think that they will try to arm the Free Syrian Army secretly... Somebody has to! They're fighting tanks and missiles with AK-47s. Meanwhile Russia's making tens of billions of dollars off of selling weapons to Assad, China is comlplicit because they don't want to set a precedent of unseating dictators lest it happen to them, Iran's sending military into the country on the ground to support Assad's troops.... Its insane. Israel wants everything to stay the way it is. Although Syria talks a lot and pretends to support the Palestinian cause, Assad hasn't done anything to back that up or anything aggressive against Israel. He hasn't even tried to get the Golan Heights back. So as far as Israel's concerned, he is a 'known' and a non-threat to them. They are not willing to exchange him (despite his brutality against his own people) for an 'unknown' who could be a threat to them. So my thinking is, if Israel doesn't want something to happen - especially since its an election year in the states - no US politicians are going to disagree. Even Obama, he will not stand up to Israel, he's proven that MANY times over the past four years - especially with respect to expanding illegal settlement construction in the West Bank and East Jerusalem. He just cowed to Netanyahu, and Netanyahu slapped him in the face. [And once again too many people for the resources, not enough education, too much corruption.] And the biggest issue in the election debates in the US now is birth control! Santorum jumped on that bandwagon - its very good timing for him. He was pretty much out and now he's back on top because of Obama's rational decision to provide the OPTION of birth control to women - then came the question of 'should Catholic institutions be forced to provide birth control when its "against their basic tenets and beliefs"'??? So Obama had to revise the law to say that if its against the religious beliefs of an institution, they don't have to provide it. So those women lose out. And the population grows.... ha. And Rick Santorum gets famous because hes "standing up for the Catholics" and ultra-conservative beliefs. So now all of the Republican candidates and Obama have to compete to prove who's the most insanely conservative and who can try to control women's health the most. Why should those men have any say in whether a woman gets birth control or has the right to abortion?? [And what about Jordan?] What's going on in Jordan? haha Hope you're doing well and the weather's not too freezing where you are. It looks like Europe is getting harder hit by the freeze every day! Big rivers freezing and water transport interrupted. How's your heater holding up? Stay warm! Renee Lewis ________________________________________ From: Robert Cailliau [robert@robertcailliau.eu] Sent: Friday, February 10, 2012 10:22 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: RE: Diverse subjects I wonder why we (humanity) don't intervene in Syria in the way we did in Libya? Because Israel is too close? Because Syria has no oil or not enough? Because we are tired? Or hypocritical? It's a real mess. I hope some solution will come about soon. And once again too many people for the resources, not enough education, too much corruption. And what about Jordan? You did not react to much of my long message, was that intentional or just no time? Best, and "Bon week-end", Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Diverse subjects ...Yes I have been busy for 3 weeks now, I had a friend visiting from Mexic... I played tour guide while she was here, showed her all the sights. Ah. However, I have no clue where you are located. ... 45 degrees and humid! Ah, yes, Qatar. ... If I asked you, "What's going on in the world today?" Would you automatically think about all the wars, who got killed where, and that kind of thing? Me, no. I would be more concerned with the big trends in thinking, and they do not look good. ... violence being pounded into our brains from the media may actually cause more harm than good. Why don't we focus on the positive and change the way we think... ? Right, that's what I would like too: more reporting on positive happenings. The article I suggested to you about switching from oil/natural gas/nuclear power to wind, water and sunlight was really interesting to me because of how efficient WWS energy sources are. How do they count the efficiency? As an engineer, I have to look at the entire lifespan of a generator. It takes an amount A joules to build it, it lives for N years during which it absorbs B joules per year in maintenance, then it takes another C joules to dismantle it and recuperate all the materials. The entire cost is then A+BxN+C joules. During its N years it produces O joules of output per year, so it returns to you OxN. What you (we) can "harvest" obviously cannot exceed OxN - (A+BxN+C). For solar panels, that difference was rather negative until a few years ago. It also was for wind power. The efficiency is OxN - (A+BxN+C) --------------- OxN and that obviously cannot be more than 100%. I think for solar panels it is something like 5% now, perhaps 10% but I admit I should research it properly. But unfortunately the guys selling them to you will count in money instead of joules, mainly because they have no clue of the energy costs. They have little risks They need a lot of copper, so maybe some Chilean miners will disagree. and offer a lot of power, and the logistics of transfering the power are not impossible or even that difficult to figure out. There I agree: at least power transfer lines are well understood. Though they too need installation and maintenance, it is very little. But the fact is that powerful, wealthy people make their millions off of gas and oil and don't want to lose those profits. So they would rather say screw the world, the environment, and people's health - I want to keep making millions at their expense! I don't know if I already told you this or not, forgive me if I repeat myself. But I think that if anyone really found a source as efficient and easy to deal with as oil, we would all go there. We've been researching alternatives for many decades. I was recently at a symposium for doctoral students at my university. This was the Schools of Engineering, where I also studied. About half the projects were on energy, and I can assure you that the Ph.Ds-to-be were all young, enthusiastic, idealistic and very clever. But no miracle replacement for fossil fuels to be seen. Its ridiculous - they should be put on trial for the hundreds of thousands killed in wars for oil, the families that get sick from 'fracking' in the states, and the millions who die prematurely from air pollution every year. In a sense, yes. But would the jury at those trials be prepared to turn the lights off in their children's rooms at night, turn off the air conditioners, and so on. Can you live where you are without the air conditioners going all the time? Do you drive a car to work or do you take the bicycle? When I stayed at the Jumeirah Beach hotel in Dubai and I wanted to use the stairs instead of the lift, the concierge could not even tell me where the stairs were! (they turned out to be on the outside of the building, with rather difficult access). The soccer thing in Egypt was a shock to me. They work together and fight against Mubarak, oust him, then have to cooperate against the Military dictatorship for the rest of the year, still have't beaten them, and then kill EACH OTHER over a game?? There is nothing in the world so dangerous as a mob of young uneducated males. Insanity. The main theory ... But who knows for sure? Indeed. Neither side though applied any brain cells. Star Trek ... they didn't have it in the DVD shop! Not surprised. Probably censored as being atheist propaganda, plus it has women in it in important jobs, equal or superior to those of men. :) Anyways, I am going back to the States in a couple of weeks while they renew my contract so I will be able to get it there! Looking forward to discussing it with you! Indeed, I am curious too. The Syrian conflict ... I say it can't get any worse. If someone suggests that arming the Free Syrian Army or intervening is just going to cause more violence I'm going to scream because they are assuming Assad is reasonable on some level and can be dealt with in a reasonable way. He isn't and he can't. That's my opinion too. Yet he still has followers. So there are again a lot of people who have no sense of history and do not apply their brain cells. ... They have NO humanity. Its gone. They are animals. The only thing to do now is fight back. Agreed. After Russia and China decided to veto the UN resolution supporting the Arab League plan, the US seemed to give up. The US continuously vetos anything that might make Israel behave. So I am not surprised, the Syrian innocents (i.e. not the entire population, but a large fraction) is just ignored for this showdown between Russia and the US. ... They're fighting tanks and missiles with AK-47s. That would be the irony of the century: the US making and supplying AK47s to the Syrian dissidents. Actually, if it were at some time shown that the US does indeed have AK47 factories, I would not be surprised at all. :) But all jokes apart: yes, someone has to arm them. But then disarm them later. That was a problem with the Taliban if I am not mistaken. ... Iran's sending military into the country on the ground to support Assad's troops.... Its insane. Iran and Israel are the two extremely dangerous nations in that area. And for the world. ... Even Obama, he will not stand up to Israel, he's proven that MANY times over the past four years ... He just cowed to Netanyahu, and Netanyahu slapped him in the face. Correct. He did lift a finger, but not more than that. I think he is non-confrontational by nature, and would not know how to behave when a conflict is unfolding, so he stays away from such situations. He is a long-term thinker (as his books show) and hates quick and nasty confrontational negotiations. And the biggest issue in the election debates in the US now is birth control! I read that. Ludicrous! ... "against their basic tenets and beliefs"'??? That subject is treated many times in Star Trek, excellently well some cases. It also has to do with the "Prime Directive", but I don't want to spoil the shows. And don't now look that up in Google! So Obama had to revise the law to say that if its against the religious beliefs of an institution, they don't have to provide it. That's the crack in the door to let uncontrolled religious dictatorship in. So those women lose out. They can always switch beliefs. At least they would apply their brain cells. ... Why should those men have any say in whether a woman gets birth control or has the right to abortion?? :) Do I hear a convinced feminist here? One who would have marched in the streets in Holland in the 60s with "Baas in eigen Buik" written over their bellies? (literally translated "Boss in our own belly".) [And what about Jordan?] What's going on in Jordan? haha I hope not too much. I'm a fan of Rania. Hope you're doing well and the weather's not too freezing where you are. It looks like Europe is getting harder hit by the freeze every day! Big rivers freezing and water transport interrupted. How's your heater holding up? OK. It's running 50% now. But it is still windy and -8 outside. Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Date: Tue, 14 Feb 2012 15:12:36 +0300 Subject: RE: Diverse problems Hey, That's INSANE. I really hate the idea of not allowing free speech, free thought. One of the main ideas in Islam is that there is no compulsion in religion - it's written in the Quran. But somehow, there is a loop-hole for Muslims who either speak out against the religion in any way or who decide to leave the religion. I was talking to someone the other day who said that anyone who leaves the religion should be put to death - this guy said it with a straight face. He didn't even think on a human level, no empathy. It was just a "rule" that had to be followed because it "came from God". Then I looked it up and there are some scholars who agree with that and some who don't. It doesn't make sense to me, and since there are at least 4 main schools of Islamic (legal) thought in the religion, there will always be some who are leniant and some who are the complete opposite. It always seems to be the crazies that get their ideas and names out there in the media. It seems to me that if a religion and its followers were really secure in their beliefs they wouldn't freak out every time someone challenged them. But somehow, this kind of thing keeps happening... I really wish there was more of a voice from the every-day Muslims in the world. A lot of Muslims I know, especially in the US, would find this appalling. The US has an interesting Muslim community because its so mixed - Muslims from every different country. Because of that, they have different cultural impacts on the way they practice and believe and those ideas clash when they are all put in one mosque together. When those beliefs clash and they have debates over what's "really" Islamic and what's cultural, they begin to understand how much of what they were taught growing up is not really supported by the religion - and in many cases is actually anti-Islamic. I think they are probably the best, most loving and inclusive, Muslim community I've ever come across. And I believe the most representative of the true spirit of the religion. It's too bad that the Muslim community is so fractured and isolated globally because they have developed their own style of practicing and enforcing on others that actually has no basis in the religion - and goes against big themes - like the "no compulsion in religion" thing. It also seems to be a general theme among religious types - being violent or threatening towards those who don't agree or challenge their beliefs. If they really knew and understood what they believed why would they be threatened? But I think a lot of them are secretely insecure about their beliefs, if they really even believe it or not, and because of that they are extra-aggressive against anyone who doesn't believe the same thing. They see it as a challenge to their whole "paradigm" they created and can't be bothered with inspecting and logically examining that paradigm to see if there's anything missing, wrong, etc... I think that religion is a personal, spiritual thing and that if someone wants to believe something, its better if they just keep it to themselves. What good can it do to show off or try to force other people to believe the same as them? Religion in the public sphere has usually lead to violence and death - and never just focuses on what brings us all together like the religion professes to be about. I don't think religion itself is so flawed, but humans are... very flawed. Renee Lewis ________________________________________ From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Monday, February 13, 2012 5:24 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: Diverse problems You got some comments from me on: >And the biggest issue in the election debates in the US now is birth control! but what's your take on this: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-16977903 Of course, in Europe we did have the inquisition, which lastet many centuries and took five hundred years to get rid of. And we still have Evangelicals. But this sort of happening in 2012 frightens me. Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: Diverse problems Cc: Bcc: X-Attachments: Message-Id: You got some comments from me on: And the biggest issue in the election debates in the US now is birth control! but what's your take on this: http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-16977903 Of course, in Europe we did have the inquisition, which lasted many centuries and took five hundred years to get rid of. And we still have Evangelicals. But this sort of happening in 2012 frightens me. Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Diverse problems That's INSANE. I really hate the idea of not allowing free speech, free thought. One of the main ideas in Islam is that there is no compulsion in religion - it's written in the Quran. But it is also written explicitly that apostasy is not allowed and must be punished with death. I have reflected on this attitude. It is also recurring in commerce: you can get into Skype, Facebook etc. but you cannot get out. It seems that there are parallels here. States treat traitors with the death penalty too, but at least there is a crime committed in that case. Still, it is difficult to say "I don't want to be in your nation, I want to be in a different one". Soviet Russia and today Korea don't allow citizens to leave. By the way, the death penalty on apostasy is also in the Torah and in the Old Testament (Deuteronomy) If you look at anthropology I'm pretty certain you will find that most tribes did/do not allow leaving the tribe, and if you do they have the right to kill you. It seems to be built-in to our genes. But somehow, there is a loop-hole for Muslims who either speak out against the religion in any way or who decide to leave the religion. I was talking to someone the other day who said that anyone who leaves the religion should be put to death - this guy said it with a straight face. He didn't even think on a human level, no empathy. It was just a "rule" that had to be followed because it "came from God". Then I looked it up and there are some scholars who agree with that and some who don't. It doesn't make sense to me, and since there are at least 4 main schools of Islamic (legal) thought in the religion, there will always be some who are leniant and some who are the complete opposite. Perhaps. Once Christians had "won" and taken over the Roman Empire (and replaced it with the Catholic Church, modelling nearly all of its institutions on the Roman ones) they too began to be intolerant to apostasy. It always seems to be the crazies that get their ideas and names out there in the media. Exactly. I think the best thing to do with the extremists is simply to ignore them. Or at least as much as possible to ignore them. How can a religion be termed tolerant when it does not allow apostasy? It seems to me that if a religion and its followers were really secure in their beliefs they wouldn't freak out every time someone challenged them. And here we come back to my preferred phrase: "change your mind in the face of evidence". Scientists are not liked because they do exactly that: they are very secure about what they do, but they always are in doubt. Most people cannot cope with that, they need certainty. But somehow, this kind of thing keeps happening... I really wish there was more of a voice from the every-day Muslims in the world. It would help. I wish it were so. And also that over time there would not be again a separation into sects, some of which would become like Evangelicals. ...The US has an interesting Muslim community ... And I believe the most representative of the true spirit of the religion. I tend to agree that any religious group that does not study the books by the letter is better than those who do. What is necessary then, is that all those "holy books" are taken for what they are: just attempts at setting up a workable code for living in a society, with some practical and psychological guidelines, and that all that is in those books is open for interpretation and change. Without making any pro-Catholic statement, I think that the Vatican has somehow realised that and allows much of it. Except of course that they too have kept some hard limits: no women in priesthood, celibacy, no abortion, no birth control, ... At least they did apologise for Galileo, and they do admit the Earth is round and more than 6000 years old. It's too bad that the Muslim community is so fractured and isolated globally because they have developed their own style of practicing and enforcing on others that actually has no basis in the religion - and goes against big themes - like the "no compulsion in religion" thing. Did you actually read the text of the Koran? It also seems to be a general theme among religious types - being violent or threatening towards those who don't agree or challenge their beliefs. If they really knew and understood what they believed why would they be threatened? If they really studied and understood, they would not be religious. Being religious is opposite almost to being inquisitive. ... can't be bothered with inspecting and logically examining that paradigm to see if there's anything missing, wrong, etc... It is very difficult for the average person. Thinking is too difficult. And I am the first to agree that one does need a set of rules to go by, because it's just too time-consuming to examine each action beforehand. I get up in the morning and make my bowl of muesli and a cup of coffee. I've been doing it for 30 years now. I can't afford to think about it each day. Yet sometimes I do sit down and think about my habits to see if they are still adapted to the circumstances. I have also said to our children (well, young ladies) that I am a man of habits: I have many and change them all the time. I know a number of people who do their jobs well, but in fact have no clue at all about what it is they do or where it fits in a bigger picture. They have been taught sequences of motions and perhaps a small vocabulary, and they just repeat that every day. As soon as a problem crops up they are totally helpless. I think you must have observed such people too. They also need some form of religion or at least a set of simple rules in order to live within society. I think that religion is a personal, spiritual thing and that if someone wants to believe something, its better if they just keep it to themselves. What good can it do to show off or try to force other people to believe the same as them? True, but it still affects me. Maybe I did or did not give this example, forgive me if I repeat myself. Some time ago when I flew out of Geneva to Dubai I had to state my preferences for on-board dinner. I had a choice of vegetarian, vegan, ..., kosher and "other". So I stated "non-halal, non-kosher, no live animals". I am definitely against undue harm to animals, so I will not eat meat from force-fed animals (foie-gras), live animals (oysters, monkey brains), and animals slaughtered while conscious. (we can discuss ritual slaughter and Chinese cuisine another time). However, the girl at the check-in desk told me all meat was halal, so as to provide me with the best service and experience. So I had to eat fish. I love fish, so it was not a big deal, but I was being discriminated against. If a practicing Jew flew a European or US airline that refused to serve kosher, there woudl be an outcry. Religion in the public sphere has usually lead to violence and death Correct. - and never just focuses on what brings us all together like the religion professes to be about. I don't think religion itself is so flawed, but humans are... very flawed. We are on a path, dynamic and changeable. That's the only thing that gives me some hope that we will survive: that we do have the possibility to change. Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Date: Sun, 19 Feb 2012 17:48:30 +0300 Subject: RE: Diverse problems Hi, [[But it is also written explicitly that apostasy is not allowed and must be punished with death. I have reflected on this attitude. It is also recurring in commerce: you can get into Skype, Facebook etc. but you cannot get out. It seems that there are parallels here. States treat traitors with the death penalty too, but at least there is a crime committed in that case. Still, it is difficult to say "I don't want to be in your nation, I want to be in a different one". Soviet Russia and today Korea don't allow citizens to leave. By the way, the death penalty on apostasy is also in the Torah and in the Old Testament (Deuteronomy) If you look at anthropology I'm pretty certain you will find that most tribes did/do not allow leaving the tribe, and if you do they have the right to kill you. It seems to be built-in to our genes.]] Interesting how many parallels there are. And the anthropological angle too. I find anthropology fascinating - I'm always observing the way people behave and express their culture, its so interesting to me... figuring out the general, stereotypical similarities in a people, and then seeing how those stereotypes are broken. Also, the gradual fade of one culture into a neighboring one - cultures don't just stop at some imaginary border and appear completely different on the other side. I like to see the blend between peoples. [[Once Christians had "won" and taken over the Roman Empire (and replaced it with the Catholic Church, modelling nearly all of its institutions on the Roman ones) they too began to be intolerant to apostasy.]] There's another interesting 'blend' - the Roman pagan beliefs and how they worked their way into Christianity and out came Catholicism. I was raised Catholic, went to Catholic school and everything. I remember questioning the rituals and beliefs a lot. One thing that stood out was the whole "idols" thing, our church was a big circular room and all around the perimeter were white stone, Roman-looking statues of the saints. And on Mary's feast day they brought out a big statue of her and put it on the alter and all the kids would bring flowers to the statue as an offering. Very, very odd. [[I think the best thing to do with the extremists is simply to ignore them. Or at least as much as possible to ignore them. How can a religion be termed tolerant when it does not allow apostasy?]] I agree, unfortunately the media loves bad, crazy, violent news and that won't end. "Good news is bad and bad news is good" is pretty much the slogan of mainstream media. So those extremists' crazy actions and messages always get picked up by the media because they say and do 'shocking' things that make people want to read the article. I don't understand the whole death for apostates rule... especially when it's in a religion that professes to encourage free will and the "no compulsion" thing. It goes against those basic tenets. I have a feeling that you were right about tribal society not allowing members to leave or killing them if they tried, and that it is the tribal influence on some religions - especially the Abrahamic ones - that has infiltrated religion and created that rule. [[And here we come back to my preferred phrase: "change your mind in the face of evidence". Scientists are not liked because they do exactly that: they are very secure about what they do, but they always are in doubt. Most people cannot cope with that, they need certainty.]] I've been thinking about that idea a lot lately - people needing certainty. Its the only reason I can come up with for why people do what they do, think how they think, and don't question any of it. Are they drones? Pod people? What's going on? The only reasons they wouldn't question is because of laziness, lack of awareness/intelligence or fear. I'm guessing its the 'fear' part that is the strongest. So, people become conditioned to live and think in the way society or whatever circumstances they're in influences them to be... and after a while they don't even question it. Its comfortable and easy that way. [[I tend to agree that any religious group that does not study the books by the letter is better than those who do. What is necessary then, is that all those "holy books" are taken for what they are: just attempts at setting up a workable code for living in a society, with some practical and psychological guidelines, and that all that is in those books is open for interpretation and change. Without making any pro-Catholic statement, I think that the Vatican has somehow realised that and allows much of it. Except of course that they too have kept some hard limits: no women in priesthood, celibacy, no abortion, no birth control, ...At least they did apologise for Galileo, and they do admit the Earth is round and more than 6000 years old.]] I agree, religion is a guidebook for living successfully with other people and developing an inner peace/spiritualtiy/connection to life/the world/the creator. Regardless of whether or not their is a higher power, most religions have good, practical advice for living in general. I wish people would realize the 'intention' of religion as that - then they might express their religiosity in a more positive, friendly way. Not an excuse for hate, killing, war, violence... The whole world seems backwards and upside down. On the Catholic church, they are a little late with those apologies, but at least they admit that as the world, people, society changes some rules have to change as well. That's something that's absolutely forbidden in Islam - there should be NO innovation whatsoever. I think that idea was a reaction to Christianity - which from a Muslim perspective was corrupted when the Christians started worshipping Jesus as a God ("made it up" because he never said "I am GOD, worship me" He actually said the opposite, and behaved opposite - never subjugating people to himself that I know of). The other obvious innovation in Christianity was the pagan influence on the religion as it became 'official'. So I think the intention of the rule in Islam of "no innovation" was to keep the main ideas of the religion the same, unchanging - but you can still change HOW you do things with the times while keeping the original intention. So I think that was an over-reaction and has already caused lots of problems within the Muslim community... living in 500/600AD until the end of the world doesn't seem realistic. [[Did you actually read the text of the Koran?]] I haven't read the entire Quran, have you? That's another thing I think Muslims are a little too gung-ho about is claiming that the text is the "original words of God and haven't been changed or interpreted by man in any way". That's naive, and very problematic. Each word becomes law because of that - with no interpretation or acknowledgement that there might be 'metaphors' or whatever. It's really annoying to me, and frankly ignorant. Other than that, the text of the Quran that I have read is quite interesting. The surah of the Cave is one of my favorites. A lot of depth in that one. The other thing I appreciate about text is that no matter how strong or strict the punishments, its always followed by mercy. There's almost no sin that cannot be forgiven if a person repents, changes his/her behavior. (Besides apostating? haha) That's something I like about it. It ties in with experiences I've had and lessons I've learned in life as well. Growing up, making mistakes, doing stupid things, and how to deal with myself afterwards. Is there any point to constantly berating yourself for past mistakes? I don't think so, as soon as you have realised your mistake and changed behavior accordingly, its time to move on - forgiven. So I like that idea in the Quran as well. [[If they really studied and understood, they would not be religious. Being religious is opposite almost to being inquisitive.]] It's really puzzling to me that there seems to be no 'in between' when it comes to religion. The world (religion, society, religious people, atheists, etc..) says you either are religious or you're not. If you are religious, you have to believe in that religion with 100% faith, you have to accept EVERYTHING it says or else you are 'disagreeing with God' and therefore are outside of the religion. Then theres the phrase about "a-la carte religious" - picking and chosing what you want and are inspired by from a religion - and that's looked DOWN upon. Using your brain and awareness to be critical of something that even if it is from God, has inevitably been corrupted by humans. I think the whole blindly religious, non-questioning "because thats blasphemy" idea has ruined world spirituality. You should be able to look at a religion as a practical code for life and living and getting along with people, philosophical even, and take what you want from it. Why not? It shouldn't have to be black and white... which is another naive, ignorant way of viewing things - its either "this" or "that", it "is" or it "isn't". In reality, most things are in the grey area - things/life/religion/spirituality are complicated, multi-layered... in some ways it "is" and in other ways it "isn't". No one is willing to compromise. [[It is very difficult for the average person. Thinking is too difficult. And I am the first to agree that one does need a set of rules to go by, because it's just too time-consuming to examine each action beforehand. I get up in the morning and make my bowl of muesli and a cup of coffee. I've been doing it for 30 years now. I can't afford to think about it each day. Yet sometimes I do sit down and think about my habits to see if they are still adapted to the circumstances. I have also said to our children (well, young ladies) that I am a man of habits: I have many and change them all the time.I know a number of people who do their jobs well, but in fact have no clue at all about what it is they do or where it fits in a bigger picture. They have been taught sequences of motions and perhaps a small vocabulary, and they just repeat that every day. As soon as a problem crops up they are totally helpless. I think you must have observed such people too. They also need some form of religion or at least a set of simple rules in order to live within society.]] I agree 100% with everything you said there. "Pod people" are everywhere. Its really scary actually! [[We are on a path, dynamic and changeable. That's the only thing that gives me some hope that we will survive: that we do have the possibility to change.]] Its always nice to end on a positive note : ) But the truth is most people don't change until they have to, until it gets more uncomfortable for them to stay the same than it would be to change. I think, global climate-ly speking, that time is approaching fast. Let's hope the world can learn how to compromise and cooperate before then. Renee Renee Lewis ________________________________________ From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Tuesday, February 14, 2012 3:53 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: RE: Diverse problems >That's INSANE. I really hate the idea of not allowing free speech, >free thought. One of the main ideas in Islam is that there is no >compulsion in religion - it's written in the Quran. But it is also written explicitly that apostasy is not allowed and must be punished with death. I have reflected on this attitude. It is also recurring in commerce: you can get into Skype, Facebook etc. but you cannot get out. It seems that there are parallels here. States treat traitors with the death penalty too, but at least there is a crime committed in that case. Still, it is difficult to say "I don't want to be in your nation, I want to be in a different one". Soviet Russia and today Korea don't allow citizens to leave. By the way, the death penalty on apostasy is also in the Torah and in the Old Testament (Deuteronomy) If you look at anthropology I'm pretty certain you will find that most tribes did/do not allow leaving the tribe, and if you do they have the right to kill you. It seems to be built-in to our genes. >But somehow, there is a loop-hole for Muslims who either speak out >against the religion in any way or who decide to leave the religion. >I was talking to someone the other day who said that anyone who >leaves the religion should be put to death - this guy said it with a >straight face. He didn't even think on a human level, no empathy. It >was just a "rule" that had to be followed because it "came from >God". Then I looked it up and there are some scholars who agree with >that and some who don't. It doesn't make sense to me, and since >there are at least 4 main schools of Islamic (legal) thought in the >religion, there will always be some who are leniant and some who are >the complete opposite. Perhaps. Once Christians had "won" and taken over the Roman Empire (and replaced it with the Catholic Church, modelling nearly all of its institutions on the Roman ones) they too began to be intolerant to apostasy. >It always seems to be the crazies that get their ideas and names out >there in the media. Exactly. I think the best thing to do with the extremists is simply to ignore them. Or at least as much as possible to ignore them. How can a religion be termed tolerant when it does not allow apostasy? >It seems to me that if a religion and its followers were really >secure in their beliefs they wouldn't freak out every time someone >challenged them. And here we come back to my preferred phrase: "change your mind in the face of evidence". Scientists are not liked because they do exactly that: they are very secure about what they do, but they always are in doubt. Most people cannot cope with that, they need certainty. > But somehow, this kind of thing keeps happening... I really wish >there was more of a voice from the every-day Muslims in the world. It would help. I wish it were so. And also that over time there would not be again a separation into sects, some of which would become like Evangelicals. >...The US has an interesting Muslim community ... And I believe the >most representative of the true spirit of the religion. I tend to agree that any religious group that does not study the books by the letter is better than those who do. What is necessary then, is that all those "holy books" are taken for what they are: just attempts at setting up a workable code for living in a society, with some practical and psychological guidelines, and that all that is in those books is open for interpretation and change. Without making any pro-Catholic statement, I think that the Vatican has somehow realised that and allows much of it. Except of course that they too have kept some hard limits: no women in priesthood, celibacy, no abortion, no birth control, ... At least they did apologise for Galileo, and they do admit the Earth is round and more than 6000 years old. >It's too bad that the Muslim community is so fractured and isolated >globally because they have developed their own style of practicing >and enforcing on others that actually has no basis in the religion - >and goes against big themes - like the "no compulsion in religion" >thing. Did you actually read the text of the Koran? >It also seems to be a general theme among religious types - being >violent or threatening towards those who don't agree or challenge >their beliefs. If they really knew and understood what they believed >why would they be threatened? If they really studied and understood, they would not be religious. Being religious is opposite almost to being inquisitive. >... can't be bothered with inspecting and logically examining that >paradigm to see if there's anything missing, wrong, etc... It is very difficult for the average person. Thinking is too difficult. And I am the first to agree that one does need a set of rules to go by, because it's just too time-consuming to examine each action beforehand. I get up in the morning and make my bowl of muesli and a cup of coffee. I've been doing it for 30 years now. I can't afford to think about it each day. Yet sometimes I do sit down and think about my habits to see if they are still adapted to the circumstances. I have also said to our children (well, young ladies) that I am a man of habits: I have many and change them all the time. I know a number of people who do their jobs well, but in fact have no clue at all about what it is they do or where it fits in a bigger picture. They have been taught sequences of motions and perhaps a small vocabulary, and they just repeat that every day. As soon as a problem crops up they are totally helpless. I think you must have observed such people too. They also need some form of religion or at least a set of simple rules in order to live within society. >I think that religion is a personal, spiritual thing and that if >someone wants to believe something, its better if they just keep it >to themselves. What good can it do to show off or try to force other >people to believe the same as them? True, but it still affects me. Maybe I did or did not give this example, forgive me if I repeat myself. Some time ago when I flew out of Geneva to Dubai I had to state my preferences for on-board dinner. I had a choice of vegetarian, vegan, ..., kosher and "other". So I stated "non-halal, non-kosher, no live animals". I am definitely against undue harm to animals, so I will not eat meat from force-fed animals (foie-gras), live animals (oysters, monkey brains), and animals slaughtered while conscious. (we can discuss ritual slaughter and Chinese cuisine another time). However, the girl at the check-in desk told me all meat was halal, so as to provide me with the best service and experience. So I had to eat fish. I love fish, so it was not a big deal, but I was being discriminated against. If a practicing Jew flew a European or US airline that refused to serve kosher, there woudl be an outcry. >Religion in the public sphere has usually lead to violence and death Correct. > - and never just focuses on what brings us all together like the >religion professes to be about. I don't think religion itself is so >flawed, but humans are... very flawed. We are on a path, dynamic and changeable. That's the only thing that gives me some hope that we will survive: that we do have the possibility to change. Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Diverse problems Hi Renée: Interesting how many parallels there are. And the anthropological angle too. I find anthropology fascinating - I'm always observing the way people behave and express their culture, its so interesting to me... And the definition of culture. To many it includes religion and politics (together perhaps better called "ideologies"). Including those two has been insisted upon by dictatorial regimes especially. Then we have to "respect" them. But they use the lever of cuture to worm in manipulation. To me, the culture of a people means their cuisine, music, literature, other arts, sports, architecture, dress. But it does not include their belief set or political system. Because if you allow those in, you allow in repression. i would argue that even the list I gave is quite dependent on geography. For example, suppose there is a food that is a really important part of a people's cuisine, but that grows only in a certain area. You can't expect immigrants to have access when they are far away from it. Or, worse, expect the receiving country to subsidise transport or special growing of those foods. And even worse, suppose the plant or animal is a pest in the new country, like rabbits were when they were taken to Australia. There are many other examples of geography-bound pieces of "culture". I remember being struck by a scene in a film (a long time ago, can't remember anything else than that scene) in which a young woman inherits an estate far away from her native country. She goes there, and finds the place guarded by an old woman, and everything shuttered. She opens all the shutters, against the protests of the woman, "to let light in". The problem is that she is from the north, but the house is in a very hot climate where one shoudl keep the shutters closed during the day to keep the house cool. Conflict of "cultures", on a very minor scale, but even so. The old woman just followed custom, she could not explain why, the young one followed her custom, also without thinking. figuring out the general, stereotypical similarities in a people, and then seeing how those stereotypes are broken. Also, the gradual fade of one culture into a neighboring one - cultures don't just stop at some imaginary border and appear completely different on the other side. I like to see the blend between peoples. True, and you lend support to the geogrphy hypothesis. There's another interesting 'blend' - the Roman pagan beliefs and how they worked their way into Christianity and out came Catholicism. The interesting word here is "pagan", as if those beliefs were any worse than those of the Christians. Pagan is like peasant and other words with a slightly negative connotation, but they have to be used because there is no neutral word. Homosexuals sometimes say they are gay or homosexual, but heterosexuals never declare their heterosexuality. Hmm... interesting, I bet there are a lot of other such minority designations. An obvious one is "black", which at least is more neutral than "negro" (which of course also means black). I was raised Catholic, went to Catholic school and everything. So did I. I remember questioning the rituals and beliefs a lot. One thing that stood out was the whole "idols" thing, our church was a big circular room and all around the perimeter were white stone, Roman-looking statues of the saints. And on Mary's feast day they brought out a big statue of her and put it on the alter and all the kids would bring flowers to the statue as an offering. Very, very odd. If you think about it, it's very odd indeed. It is a form of entertainment and relaxation as well. And I'm pretty certain that Christ did spend some time in India where he picked up Buddhism. Too many parallels. I agree, unfortunately the media loves bad, crazy, violent news and that won't end. "Good news is bad and bad news is good" is pretty much the slogan of mainstream media. :) That is a very nice and simple summing up, I like it! I don't understand the whole death for apostates rule... especially when it's in a religion that professes to encourage free will and the "no compulsion" thing. It goes against those basic tenets. Somewhere I read something about intelligence being the ability to live with multiple conflicting ideas in your head. I found it an interesting idea. Perhaps true, because in order to make any progress in understanding you must indeed look at those conflicts to find out how they interact and which one is possibly false and which one possibly true. But you must first hold both. I have a feeling that you were right about tribal society not allowing members to leave or killing them if they tried, and that it is the tribal influence on some religions - especially the Abrahamic ones - that has infiltrated religion and created that rule. Yes. Very likely. Talking of Abraham, can you seen anyone today attempting to kill his son pretending God ordered him to? I think in most countries he would immediately be carried off to a psychiatric hospital. I've been thinking about that idea a lot lately - people needing certainty. Its the only reason I can come up with for why people do what they do, think how they think, and don't question any of it. Are they drones? Drones? So you did see Star Trek. ;) Pod people? What's going on? The only reasons they wouldn't question is because of laziness, lack of awareness/intelligence or fear. Or, as a physicist would say, a linear superposition of all of those. I'm guessing its the 'fear' part that is the strongest. So, people become conditioned to live and think in the way society or whatever circumstances they're in influences them to be... and after a while they don't even question it. Its comfortable and easy that way. It is also a very strong survival item. In a dangerous situation it is important to do the right thing immediately. Rephrasing that: take those actions that are the most likely to let you survive. After a few millions of years, those animals survived whose genes told them to do just that. The others died. The current hypothesis is that human behaviour was selected to suppress reasoning and make a "standard manoeuver" in dangerous circumstances, be that fleeing or agressing or whatever. And so you are right: fear is probably the strongest. Then, since we live in packs (tribes), it is also likely that those tribes with a strong leader who is unconditionally obeyed had better chances of survival. Let me rephrase that again, because I used unwarranted anthropomorphism there: individuals who by instinct joined into groups and who by instinct accepted the leadership of a strong (male) leader, had (individually!) more chance to survive. No, wrong again: those who didn't had a greater probability to die and NOT pass on their genes. Evolution is a negative thing, it weeds out bad stuff, it does NOT foster good stuff, though the latter way is our preferred human way of looking at it. So, most of us have it in their genes not to think but to follow simple principles. When I was 16 I was in a high-school debate group (which we had formed ourselves) and I had long discussions with a friend hwo argued that always consciously thinking about your actions stood in the way more than it helped. I still have difficulty accepting that, but there is certainly truth in it: when you are driving a car, if you had to think all the time about the traffic rules and what you were doing, you would probably cause accidents instead of getting where you wanted to be. I agree, religion is a guidebook for living successfully with other people and developing an inner peace/spiritualtiy/connection to life/the world/the creator. Regardless of whether or not their is a higher power, most religions have good, practical advice for living in general. Unfortunately, in some cases that advice (1)has been take to be a strict order, and (2) has been superceded by technologies. I wish people would realize the 'intention' of religion as that - then they might express their religiosity in a more positive, friendly way. Not an excuse for hate, killing, war, violence... The whole world seems backwards and upside down. Yet I also see some glimmers of hope. But yes, it's not going well, and it goes worse when material conditions are bad. On the Catholic church, they are a little late with those apologies, but at least they admit that as the world, people, society changes some rules have to change as well. Let me try this on you to see what you think: society changes only because of technology. [Robert's 1st Law? ;-)] No new technologies, no change. Find me a counterexample. That's something that's absolutely forbidden in Islam - there should be NO innovation whatsoever. I think that idea was a reaction to Christianity ... The other obvious innovation in Christianity was the pagan influence on the religion as it became 'official'. And we were lucky that happened. Interesting though that you say the rigidity is a reaction to the evolutions seen in Christianity. So could Islam then be seen as some sort of Evangelicalism "avant la lettre"? A sort of very rigid protestantism also? It seems probable. ... caused lots of problems within the Muslim community... living in 500/600AD until the end of the world doesn't seem realistic. Definitely. I always wonder how Muslims can live close to or above the Polar Circle, because they cannot observe the rules for darkness. I haven't read the entire Quran, have you? Yes. Extremely boring and repetitive. I have a project that is certainly blasphemous to some: see what remains if you eliminate all the repetitions. For example, take the New Testament: it comes in four books (more, if you count the apocryphal gospels), but they are almost the same four books. Roughly speaking there is a redundancy of almost a factor 4. One can reduce each sentence of a book to its fundamental meaning, using some abstract notation. Then, the sentences This guy did a lot of good works for his friends and the sentence There was a person living in a caring community, where he undertook actions to help its members would reduce to much the same mathematical expression, if not identical. I'm not saying I am capable of writing a program that could translate text into such formulae, but you can be sure that Google does, or attempts it. Computer translation is based on that. So you take the holy books and pass them through such a program. You get a list of formulae that capture the meaning, but are written in a standardised form. Now you sort that list in some way(*). Then you throw out all duplicates. What is left? Not much I think. (*) notice that it is not important what you use to do the sorting, after all an alphabetic sort is also arbitrary since the sequence of the alphabet is arbitrary: there is no logical reason why B follows A, or even why A needs to come first. That's another thing I think Muslims are a little too gung-ho about is claiming that the text is the "original words of God and haven't been changed or interpreted by man in any way". That's naive, and very problematic. Each word becomes law because of that - with no interpretation or acknowledgement that there might be 'metaphors' or whatever. It's really annoying to me, and frankly ignorant. Ignorant of them I hope. :) Yes, I have the same position on that. It is shocking. Having met quite a few Muslims (but not as many as you) and sometimes discussed the subject, I have found that the reaction is one of non-commitment, i.e. I think most of them don't really believe it but do not dare to say so openly. When I sense that I politely change the subject. ... There's almost no sin that cannot be forgiven if a person repents, changes his/her behavior. (Besides apostating? haha) And besides, perhaps, tricking people into financial crises. ... Is there any point to constantly berating yourself for past mistakes? No, as you say: if you realise and change or at least work on changing. Catholicism introduced the confession rite for that, and I know of no sin that is unforgiveable. Plus that the punishment is limited to some prayers in most cases. It's really puzzling to me that there seems to be no 'in between' when it comes to religion. The world (religion, society, religious people, atheists, etc..) says you either are religious or you're not. If you are religious, you have to believe in that religion with 100% faith, you have to accept EVERYTHING it says or else you are 'disagreeing with God' and therefore are outside of the religion. Yup. Just like Facebook. Try to disagree with them. I would propose the term "ideologists", because it is much the same for communists and capitalists (in their extremes anyway) ... I think the whole blindly religious, non-questioning "because thats blasphemy" idea has ruined world spirituality. Agreed. Some years ago the Dalai Lama visited CERN. Someone asked if he would change his views if some scientific experiment contradicted his beliefs. He answered yes, saying that he would never go against manifest and reproducible evidence. No wonder that most scientists who do practice some rituals are buddhists. You should be able to look at a religion as a practical code for life and living and getting along with people, philosophical even, and take what you want from it. Obviously. It may be a practical, simple way to give a framework to people who are not intellectually strong enough to face the complexities of reality. And I would say that is about half the population. Personally I derive my views from studying reality ("doing science" is an expression I want to avoid, because it is too theoretical). Why not? It shouldn't have to be black and white... Indeed. Let's note however that coming to grips with quantum mechanics was difficult for most scientists, because it showed that determinism is not true. Even Einstein had great trouble with it and tried to re-introduce determinism until the end. Feynman did not have that problem and went perhaps to the other extreme, although his methods of doing the calculations are still much in use. (did you ever read "Surely you're joking Mr. Feynman!" http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Surely_You're_Joking,_Mr._Feynman! Quite entertaining, especially the chapters on his stay in Los Alamos. A very strange character. I never met him, but he did lecture at CERN. [[It is very difficult for the average person. Thinking is too difficult....]] I agree 100% with everything you said there. "Pod people" are everywhere. Its really scary actually! If they are managed within a reasonable framework it's OK. If they are exploited by power-hungry manipulators it is frightening. ... we do have the possibility to change.]] Its always nice to end on a positive note : ) Star Trek. Here is a quote from one of the captains of the USS Enterprise: "villains who twirl their moustaches are easy to spot. Those who clothe themselves in good deeds are well camouflaged. " But the truth is most people don't change until they have to, until it gets more uncomfortable for them to stay the same than it would be to change. I think, global climate-ly speking, that time is approaching fast. Let's hope the world can learn how to compromise and cooperate before then. Yes. First the Greek crisis, then lock up the financial manipulators, then ... :) Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Date: Sat, 3 Mar 2012 18:51:04 +0300 Subject: RE: Diverse problems Hi, How's everything going? I'm back in Washington state for a bit while Al Jazeera renews my contract. So I have been jetlagged and totally out of it since I got back, now starting to come out of the fog! My hometown is a small town in southeast Washington - most famous for its nuclear reactor - ever heard of the Manhattan Project? Yep, thats why my grandparents came out here. We have an unusually high density of PhD's here because they are still trying to figure out how to clean up the nuclear waste and store it safely. The last effort I heard about was vitrification - don't know if it worked or if they've even finished developing or testing it. Anyways, one of our highschools here has a mascot of a B52 bomber and a mushroom cloud - the "Richland Bombers!" Believe it or not... [[ I remember being struck b ya scene in a film (a long time ago, can't remember anything else than that scene) in which a young woman inherits an estate far away from her native country. She goes there, and finds the place guarded by an old woman, and everything shuttered. She opens all the shutters, against the protests of the woman, "to let light in". The problem is that she is from the north, but the house is in a very hot climate where one shoudl keep the shutters closed during the day to keep the house cool. Conflict of "cultures", on a very minor scale, but even so. The old woman just followed custom, she could not explain why, the young one followed her custom, also without thinking.]] Its funny how many things we do we dont think about the intention of WHY we are doing them, they've become cultural habits/norms - and sometimes the point of has already expired - or are specific to a certain place or climate as in your example. >There's another interesting 'blend' - the Roman pagan beliefs and how they worked their way into Christianity and out came Catholicism. [[The interesting word here is "pagan", as if those beliefs were any worse than those of the Christians. Pagan is like peasant and other words with a slightly negative connotation, but they have to be used because there is no neutral word. Homosexuals sometimes say they are gay or homosexual, but heterosexuals never declare their heterosexuality. Hmm... interesting, I bet there are a lot of other such minority designations. An obvious one is "black", which at least is more neutral than "negro" (which of course also means black).]] Good point, so what is a neutral term for pre-Abrahamic beliefs? Pre-Abrahamic beliefs? Polytheistic, Animist.... [[If you think about it, it's very odd indeed. It is a form of entertainment and relaxation as well. And I'm pretty certain that Christ did spend some time in India where he picked up Buddhism. Too many parallels.]] Ive heard theories about Jesus having travelled to India, about Jesus being an incarnation of the Buddha, etc... Jesus was like the "hippy prophet" he was a much needed break from the fire and brimstone approach. Advocating loving of enemies, turning the cheek, etc... Definitely couldn't have come out of the Middle East hahaha [[Somewhere I read something about intelligence being the ability to live with multiple conflicting ideas in your head. I found it an interesting idea. Perhaps true, because in order to make any progress in understanding you must indeed look at those conflicts to find out how they interact and which one is possibly false and which one possibly true. But you must first hold both.]] I find this summation very interesting because Ive been discussing this subject with a lot of different people - What is intelligence? Its not people who do homework well or memorize enough information to score well on a test. That's all stuff a machine could do. So from there... we came up with ideas like the ability to question what your told, think critically about information received, common sense, ability to observe and interpret other people's words actions and underlying intentions... its a big question I think [[ Talking of Abraham, can you seen anyone today attempting to kill his son pretending God ordered him to? I think in most countries he would immediately be carried off to a psychiatric hospital.]] Thats the kind of story that makes me think, either people living in that age were EXTREMELY different than us orrrr... these are metaphors! >I've been thinking about that idea a lot lately people needing certainty. Its the only reason >I can come up with for why people do what they do, think how they think, and don't question any >of it. Are they drones? [[Drones? So you did see Star Trek. ;)]] Downloading the original series now. Thats the one you said to start with right? [[It is also a very strong survival item.... individuals who by instinct joined into groups and who by instinct accepted the leadership of a strong (male) leader, had (individually!) more chance to survive. No, wrong again: those who didn't had a greater probability to die and NOT pass on their genes. Evolution is a negative thing, it weeds out bad stuff, it does NOT foster good stuff, though the latter way is our preferred human way of looking at it. So, most of us have it in their genes not to think but to follow simple principles. When I was 16 I was in a high-school debate group (which we had formed ourselves) and I had long discussions with a friend hwo argued that always consciously thinking about your actions stood in the way more than it helped. I still have difficulty accepting that, but there is certainly truth in it: when you are driving a car, if you had to think all the time about the traffic rules and what you were doing, you would probably cause accidents instead of getting where you wanted to be.]] Thats true, nothing is black and white - even though its easier to set things out and understand them that way. There are circumstances where you can trust your habitual behavior to take over in most cases, like traffic rules. An interesting side note: Which do you think is safer? Jay-walking across a busy street (not on the pedestrian cross-walk) or waiting at the cross walk for the "green" symbol that you can go? More people actually get hit by cars crossing at a cross walk than jay walking. Why? Because at a cross walk, your habits take over and when you see the green guy walking you walk. You don't look, it says go so you go because 99% of the time its safe for you to walk because cars will respect their red light and not hit you. But, when jaywalking, you are taking responsibility for your own life, no one is watching out for you, so you look both ways and keep your eyes on what nearby cars are doing. [[Unfortunately, in some cases that advice (1)has been take to be a strict order, and (2) has been superceded by technologies.]] Whats an example of religious advice being superceded by technologies? [[Let me try this on you to see what you think: society changes only because of technology. [Robert's 1st Law? ;-)] No new technologies, no change. Find me a counterexample.]] What about religion? Religion changes societies without new technology... Islam changed a lot of how Arab tribal society worked. Introduced a lot of reforms (which are admittedly now outdated, like women having the right to own property and divorce, not allowed to kill female babies if you don't want them, rules of engagement, etc...) What about communism in the Soviet Union? Didn't that change society? [[And we were lucky that happened. Interesting though that you say the rigidity is a reaction to the evolutions seen in Christianity. So could Islam then be seen as some sort of Evangelicalism "avant la lettre"? A sort of very rigid protestantism also? It seems probable.]] Yes according to Islam, Judaism was the first message from God in the Holy land (there were other messengers all over the world, but their messages were "corrupted"). Then after thousands of years Judaism was finally corrupted, the message got changed by people, practices changed and were no longer valid. So Christianity was a message of correction to Judaism. Reminding the people of the intention of the message. Then according to Islam, Christianity was also corrupted after a few hundred years, people added and deleted from the message as they saw fit, so God had to send a final messenger to correct the message for the last time - Mohammed. Its all the same religion, literally, its just older versions were corrupted and had to be corrected. [[Definitely. I always wonder how Muslims can live close to or above the Polar Circle, because they cannot observe the rules for darkness.]] I asked about that too, Muslims go by the same times as Mecca when there is no sun. >I haven't read the entire Quran, have you? [[Yes. Extremely boring and repetitive. I have a project that is certainly blasphemous to some: see what remains if you eliminate all the repetitions....]] I had an idea of doing something similar to that years ago. But my intention was not to show that when you get rid of the repetitions theres hardly anything left, but to get rid of the repetitions, boil down to the intention of the message and compare all major world religions to show they are all saying the same damn thing. I see religion like a language - humans are all different, we have different cultures, religions, languages, we are all expressing the same basic emotions and thoughts and intentions in different ways. Language is one of the most obvious metaphors. You say Ciao, I say Hello. Saying the same thing in a different way. I think that religion is the same thing, religious people all want to worship the one who created them and live successfully with other people - help other people, be good people. According to what culture they are, they have different paths to achieve those goals - different books that speak to their cultural, historical backgrounds in a way they understand. I met a priest once who admitted Christianity may not be "THE ONE TRUE RELIGION" but he followed it with the clear understanding that it was the religion he was raised in and taught about since childhood so he had a better chance at understanding it fully than any other foreign religion. [[Agreed. Some years ago the Dalai Lama visited CERN. Someone asked if he would change his views if some scientific experiment contradicted his beliefs. He answered yes, saying that he would never go against manifest and reproducible evidence. No wonder that most scientists who do practice some rituals are buddhists.]] Thats cool, I think the Dalai Lama is a very good guy... and you can tell by what he says about religion and spirituality that his intention is good - he really just wants to connect with the spiritual reality and live in peace with others. He visited my college when I was there and I got to go see him speak. Not many people have an actual aura of positivity around them to the extent that he does. He seemed so happy and peaceful and uncorrupted. It could be an exaggeration but that's what I got from him. I also liked when someone asked him about how to make the world a better place, what to do, what to focus on... He immediately said that you have to start from within. If everyone was at peace with themselves there wouldn't be as much violence and anger in the world. I thought that was profound at a time when I was trying to figure out "what difference I could make in the world" after graduation. The thing is, I am a part of the world, so if I make myself better I have made a positive change in the world. [[Indeed. Let's note however that coming to grips with quantum mechanics was difficult for most scientists, because it showed that determinism is not true. Even Einstein had great trouble with it and tried to re-introduce determinism until the rend. Feynman did not have that problem and went perhaps to the other extreme, although his methods of doing the calculations are still much in use. (did you ever read "Surely you're joking Mr. Feynman!"http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Surely_You're_Joking,_Mr._Feynman! Quite entertaining, especially the chapters on his stay in Los Alamos.A very strange character. I never met him, but he did lecture at CERN.]] Will check that book out... Renee Lewis ________________________________________ From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Tuesday, February 21, 2012 3:45 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: RE: Diverse problems Hi Renée: >Interesting how many parallels there are. And >the anthropological angle too. I find >anthropology fascinating - I'm always observing >the way people behave and express their culture, >its so interesting to me... And the definition of culture. To many it includes religion and politics (together perhaps better called "ideologies"). Including those two has been insisted upon by dictatorial regimes especially. Then we have to "respect" them. But they use the lever of cuture to worm in manipulation. To me, the culture of a people means their cuisine, music, literature, other arts, sports, architecture, dress. But it does not include their belief set or political system. Because if you allow those in, you allow in repression. i would argue that even the list I gave is quite dependent on geography. For example, suppose there is a food that is a really important part of a people's cuisine, but that grows only in a certain area. You can't expect immigrants to have access when they are far away from it. Or, worse, expect the receiving country to subsidise transport or special growing of those foods. And even worse, suppose the plant or animal is a pest in the new country, like rabbits were when they were taken to Australia. There are many other examples of geography-bound pieces of "culture". I remember being struck by a scene in a film (a long time ago, can't remember anything else than that scene) in which a young woman inherits an estate far away from her native country. She goes there, and finds the place guarded by an old woman, and everything shuttered. She opens all the shutters, against the protests of the woman, "to let light in". The problem is that she is from the north, but the house is in a very hot climate where one shoudl keep the shutters closed during the day to keep the house cool. Conflict of "cultures", on a very minor scale, but even so. The old woman just followed custom, she could not explain why, the young one followed her custom, also without thinking. > figuring out the general, stereotypical >similarities in a people, and then seeing how >those stereotypes are broken. Also, the gradual >fade of one culture into a neighboring one - >cultures don't just stop at some imaginary >border and appear completely different on the >other side. I like to see the blend between >peoples. True, and you lend support to the geogrphy hypothesis. >There's another interesting 'blend' - the Roman >pagan beliefs and how they worked their way into >Christianity and out came Catholicism. The interesting word here is "pagan", as if those beliefs were any worse than those of the Christians. Pagan is like peasant and other words with a slightly negative connotation, but they have to be used because there is no neutral word. Homosexuals sometimes say they are gay or homosexual, but heterosexuals never declare their heterosexuality. Hmm... interesting, I bet there are a lot of other such minority designations. An obvious one is "black", which at least is more neutral than "negro" (which of course also means black). > I was raised Catholic, went to Catholic school and everything. So did I. > I remember questioning the rituals and beliefs >a lot. One thing that stood out was the whole >"idols" thing, our church was a big circular >room and all around the perimeter were white >stone, Roman-looking statues of the saints. And >on Mary's feast day they brought out a big >statue of her and put it on the alter and all >the kids would bring flowers to the statue as an >offering. Very, very odd. If you think about it, it's very odd indeed. It is a form of entertainment and relaxation as well. And I'm pretty certain that Christ did spend some time in India where he picked up Buddhism. Too many parallels. >I agree, unfortunately the media loves bad, >crazy, violent news and that won't end. "Good >news is bad and bad news is good" is pretty much >the slogan of mainstream media. :) That is a very nice and simple summing up, I like it! >I don't understand the whole death for apostates >rule... especially when it's in a religion that >professes to encourage free will and the "no >compulsion" thing. It goes against those basic >tenets. Somewhere I read something about intelligence being the ability to live with multiple conflicting ideas in your head. I found it an interesting idea. Perhaps true, because in order to make any progress in understanding you must indeed look at those conflicts to find out how they interact and which one is possibly false and which one possibly true. But you must first hold both. > I have a feeling that you were right about >tribal society not allowing members to leave or >killing them if they tried, and that it is the >tribal influence on some religions - especially >the Abrahamic ones - that has infiltrated >religion and created that rule. Yes. Very likely. Talking of Abraham, can you seen anyone today attempting to kill his son pretending God ordered him to? I think in most countries he would immediately be carried off to a psychiatric hospital. >I've been thinking about that idea a lot lately >- people needing certainty. Its the only reason >I can come up with for why people do what they >do, think how they think, and don't question any >of it. Are they drones? Drones? So you did see Star Trek. ;) > Pod people? What's going on? The only reasons >they wouldn't question is because of laziness, >lack of awareness/intelligence or fear. Or, as a physicist would say, a linear superposition of all of those. >I'm guessing its the 'fear' part that is the >strongest. So, people become conditioned to live >and think in the way society or whatever >circumstances they're in influences them to >be... and after a while they don't even question >it. Its comfortable and easy that way. It is also a very strong survival item. In a dangerous situation it is important to do the right thing immediately. Rephrasing that: take those actions that are the most likely to let you survive. After a few millions of years, those animals survived whose genes told them to do just that. The others died. The current hypothesis is that human behaviour was selected to suppress reasoning and make a "standard manoeuver" in dangerous circumstances, be that fleeing or agressing or whatever. And so you are right: fear is probably the strongest. Then, since we live in packs (tribes), it is also likely that those tribes with a strong leader who is unconditionally obeyed had better chances of survival. Let me rephrase that again, because I used unwarranted anthropomorphism there: individuals who by instinct joined into groups and who by instinct accepted the leadership of a strong (male) leader, had (individually!) more chance to survive. No, wrong again: those who didn't had a greater probability to die and NOT pass on their genes. Evolution is a negative thing, it weeds out bad stuff, it does NOT foster good stuff, though the latter way is our preferred human way of looking at it. So, most of us have it in their genes not to think but to follow simple principles. When I was 16 I was in a high-school debate group (which we had formed ourselves) and I had long discussions with a friend hwo argued that always consciously thinking about your actions stood in the way more than it helped. I still have difficulty accepting that, but there is certainly truth in it: when you are driving a car, if you had to think all the time about the traffic rules and what you were doing, you would probably cause accidents instead of getting where you wanted to be. >I agree, religion is a guidebook for living >successfully with other people and developing an >inner peace/spiritualtiy/connection to life/the >world/the creator. Regardless of whether or not >their is a higher power, most religions have >good, practical advice for living in general. Unfortunately, in some cases that advice (1)has been take to be a strict order, and (2) has been superceded by technologies. > I wish people would realize the 'intention' of >religion as that - then they might express their >religiosity in a more positive, friendly way. >Not an excuse for hate, killing, war, >violence... The whole world seems backwards and >upside down. Yet I also see some glimmers of hope. But yes, it's not going well, and it goes worse when material conditions are bad. >On the Catholic church, they are a little late >with those apologies, but at least they admit >that as the world, people, society changes some >rules have to change as well. Let me try this on you to see what you think: society changes only because of technology. [Robert's 1st Law? ;-)] No new technologies, no change. Find me a counterexample. > That's something that's absolutely forbidden in >Islam - there should be NO innovation >whatsoever. I think that idea was a reaction to >Christianity ... The other obvious innovation in >Christianity was the pagan influence on the >religion as it became 'official'. And we were lucky that happened. Interesting though that you say the rigidity is a reaction to the evolutions seen in Christianity. So could Islam then be seen as some sort of Evangelicalism "avant la lettre"? A sort of very rigid protestantism also? It seems probable. >... caused lots of problems within the Muslim >community... living in 500/600AD until the end >of the world doesn't seem realistic. Definitely. I always wonder how Muslims can live close to or above the Polar Circle, because they cannot observe the rules for darkness. >I haven't read the entire Quran, have you? Yes. Extremely boring and repetitive. I have a project that is certainly blasphemous to some: see what remains if you eliminate all the repetitions. For example, take the New Testament: it comes in four books (more, if you count the apocryphal gospels), but they are almost the same four books. Roughly speaking there is a redundancy of almost a factor 4. One can reduce each sentence of a book to its fundamental meaning, using some abstract notation. Then, the sentences This guy did a lot of good works for his friends and the sentence There was a person living in a caring community, where he undertook actions to help its members would reduce to much the same mathematical expression, if not identical. I'm not saying I am capable of writing a program that could translate text into such formulae, but you can be sure that Google does, or attempts it. Computer translation is based on that. So you take the holy books and pass them through such a program. You get a list of formulae that capture the meaning, but are written in a standardised form. Now you sort that list in some way(*). Then you throw out all duplicates. What is left? Not much I think. (*) notice that it is not important what you use to do the sorting, after all an alphabetic sort is also arbitrary since the sequence of the alphabet is arbitrary: there is no logical reason why B follows A, or even why A needs to come first. > That's another thing I think Muslims are a >little too gung-ho about is claiming that the >text is the "original words of God and haven't >been changed or interpreted by man in any way". >That's naive, and very problematic. Each word >becomes law because of that - with no >interpretation or acknowledgement that there >might be 'metaphors' or whatever. It's really >annoying to me, and frankly ignorant. Ignorant of them I hope. :) Yes, I have the same position on that. It is shocking. Having met quite a few Muslims (but not as many as you) and sometimes discussed the subject, I have found that the reaction is one of non-commitment, i.e. I think most of them don't really believe it but do not dare to say so openly. When I sense that I politely change the subject. >... There's almost no sin that cannot be >forgiven if a person repents, changes his/her >behavior. (Besides apostating? haha) And besides, perhaps, tricking people into financial crises. >... Is there any point to constantly berating yourself for past mistakes? No, as you say: if you realise and change or at least work on changing. Catholicism introduced the confession rite for that, and I know of no sin that is unforgiveable. Plus that the punishment is limited to some prayers in most cases. >It's really puzzling to me that there seems to >be no 'in between' when it comes to religion. >The world (religion, society, religious people, >atheists, etc..) says you either are religious >or you're not. If you are religious, you have to >believe in that religion with 100% faith, you >have to accept EVERYTHING it says or else you >are 'disagreeing with God' and therefore are >outside of the religion. Yup. Just like Facebook. Try to disagree with them. I would propose the term "ideologists", because it is much the same for communists and capitalists (in their extremes anyway) >... I think the whole blindly religious, >non-questioning "because thats blasphemy" idea >has ruined world spirituality. Agreed. Some years ago the Dalai Lama visited CERN. Someone asked if he would change his views if some scientific experiment contradicted his beliefs. He answered yes, saying that he would never go against manifest and reproducible evidence. No wonder that most scientists who do practice some rituals are buddhists. >You should be able to look at a religion as a >practical code for life and living and getting >along with people, philosophical even, and take >what you want from it. Obviously. It may be a practical, simple way to give a framework to people who are not intellectually strong enough to face the complexities of reality. And I would say that is about half the population. Personally I derive my views from studying reality ("doing science" is an expression I want to avoid, because it is too theoretical). > Why not? It shouldn't have to be black and white... Indeed. Let's note however that coming to grips with quantum mechanics was difficult for most scientists, because it showed that determinism is not true. Even Einstein had great trouble with it and tried to re-introduce determinism until the end. Feynman did not have that problem and went perhaps to the other extreme, although his methods of doing the calculations are still much in use. (did you ever read "Surely you're joking Mr. Feynman!" http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Surely_You're_Joking,_Mr._Feynman! Quite entertaining, especially the chapters on his stay in Los Alamos. A very strange character. I never met him, but he did lecture at CERN. >[[It is very difficult for the average person. >Thinking is too difficult....]] > >I agree 100% with everything you said there. >"Pod people" are everywhere. Its really scary >actually! If they are managed within a reasonable framework it's OK. If they are exploited by power-hungry manipulators it is frightening. >... we do have the possibility to change.]] > >Its always nice to end on a positive note : ) Star Trek. Here is a quote from one of the captains of the USS Enterprise: "villains who twirl their moustaches are easy to spot. Those who clothe themselves in good deeds are well camouflaged. " >But the truth is most people don't change until >they have to, until it gets more uncomfortable >for them to stay the same than it would be to >change. I think, global climate-ly speking, that >time is approaching fast. Let's hope the world >can learn how to compromise and cooperate before >then. Yes. First the Greek crisis, then lock up the financial manipulators, then ... :) Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Diverse problems Hi, How's everything going? Fine. I did get my pilot's medical renewed (had some doubts, re heart but it was nothing serious) and have been out a few times, once with my wife (finally). The weather has been beautiful. I'm back in Washington state for a bit while Al Jazeera renews my contract. So I have been jetlagged Melatonin? 2x3mg at 20:00 hours od destination time. My hometown is a small town in southeast Washington - most famous for its nuclear reactor - ever heard of the Manhattan Project? Yes, but was that not in Chicago? I have visited Los Alamos lab of course. Yep, thats why my grandparents came out here. Giving away your age? We have an unusually high density of PhD's here because they are still trying to figure out how to clean up the nuclear waste and store it safely. It's easy, but it is not politically acceptable: put it in a deep mine, e.g. Yucca mountain. It does work, but no-one wants to believe it. Everyone is so afraid that they prefer a far riskier solution: leave it out in the open air... ... a mascot of a B52 bomber and a mushroom cloud - the "Richland Bombers!" Believe it or not... I do. Good point, so what is a neutral term for pre-Abrahamic beliefs? Pre-Abrahamic beliefs? Polytheistic, Animist.... Maybe just "freethinking" ? It took me quite a long time to realise that the "Free" in "Brussels Free University" meant "not bound by Christian ideologies". Just the fact that a word like "freethinking" had to be used shows how much these Abrahamic thoughts have been ingrained. Ive heard theories about Jesus having travelled to India, about Jesus being an incarnation of the Buddha, etc... Jesus was like the "hippy prophet" he was a much needed break from the fire and brimstone approach. Advocating loving of enemies, turning the cheek, etc... Definitely couldn't have come out of the Middle East hahaha Funnily I thought of these things myself, unaided, a very long time ago. Then discovered that others had too. Perhaps not too surprising. ...What is intelligence? ... That's all stuff a machine could do. Watch out!! Voyager's doctor and the Enterprise's Lieutenant-commander Data would disagree with you. It's all stuff a machine can do right now. So from there... we came up with ideas like the ability to question what your told, think critically about information received, common sense, ability to observe and interpret other people's words actions and underlying intentions... its a big question I think But I'm pretty certain a machine can do all these other things as well. I remember another thing from my discussions in a debate-club when I was still at school. We were having this argument about what computers could and could not do. It was about the time of Eliza (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/ELIZA). My conclusion was that attempts at artificial intelligence would miserably fail as long as the computer (or robot or machine) did not have enough sensory inputs nor ways of moving around. I.e. to succeed there must be vision (interpretation of an image), and motion (being able to approach something) and other ways to examine the environment. Vision especially requires massive parallel computing of the kind done by neural nets. We're getting there, but we're still some way off. Then there must be a lot of associative memory. That too is coming (yesterday, cleaning up in the basement I found a large hard drive from about ten years ago: 1GB... The same volume would now hold 4000GB and it would cost half the price). I also remember attemps at voice recognition. They all failed, and people would say "we need faster and bigger computers to do voice processing. But that is not at all the problem: when I say "this book was read" I'm using context to distinguish it from "this book was red". Knowing when to use the past tense of "to read" and when to use the colour will be based on other knowledge. If you dictate that phrase to a computer, it almost has to spend time with you for a while so it can know which situation you were talking about. Humans are no better: it takes a new recruit a long time to adapt to the working environment, and even the best ones need to slowly "move up the ladder" because they need to absorb all that information that we do not look upon as information. Humans make so many errors all the time because of lack of context, but when a machine does, they just snicker at its behaviour. Just think of "culture shock" which happens when you are in an unfamiliar environment, yet it is a human environment. In the web conference committee we once had a very large misunderstanding with dire consequences: it was agreed to "table the motion" and go for a coffee break. During the break two camps formed: the Americans on one side and the rest of us on the other side. We did not understand why there was this growing mistrust over coffee. It turned out that the Americans understood the motion had been turned down, whereas we thought it had been accepted for discussion. Talk about voice recognition! Each side would have written down the words correctly, yet they derived opposite conclusions. Machines could not do that? I would bet that machines would actually know that there were two opposite interpretations and probably, noting there were non-Americans in the room, warn about a possible misunderstanding before the coffee break. Over history we have always thought our place in the universe was central, and we have been proved wrong over and over again. First the land was in the centre (the Chinese still talk of the Middle Empire, but other countries also always made maps with them in the middle and even today world maps have Europe on top and in the centre), then Earth was the centre and people were burned at the stake for thinking otherwise. Then the Sun was. Now we know that we are near an average star, somewhere in a corner of an arm of the Galaxy etc. But the ideology of putting humans at the centre then took up a stand in a different realm: we were the pinnacle of creation, then of evolution. It turns out we are not, but now we are intelligent, and conciousness is uniquely human. I bet it will turn out we are not very intelligent (we can't get our brains around quantum mechanics) and not very conscious either. Thats the kind of story that makes me think, either people living in that age were EXTREMELY different than us orrrr... these are metaphors! Or maybe a linear superposition of both: they had much less time to think, needed a book of simple rules to be efficient, and made up these stories by embellishing or exaggerating example cases. I have annexed an article by David Eagleman. Maybe you should interview him once! BTW: your interview with me has already been mentioned often and even as the reason for an invitation to talk at a conference! [[Drones? So you did see Star Trek. ;)]] Downloading the original series now. Thats the one you said to start with right? Yes. I think the best ones are later, but the original sets the tone, even though the acting and plots are somewhat dated now. ... Which do you think is safer? Jay-walking across a busy street (not on the pedestrian cross-walk) or waiting at the cross walk for the "green" symbol that you can go? We were given a variant of that example at a traffic course: long straight roads have more accidents than curvy ones with little visibility, because people pay more attention. True. Whats an example of religious advice being superceded by technologies? Ritual slaughter and not eating pork or seafood: in the first case the reason was to ensure the animal was alive and healty at the moment of slaughter (but we now have means to prevent the pain without altering the meat quality); pigs are not very good in hot climates; seafood must be properly refrigerated, and, as they say here, the refrigeration-chain must not be broken, i.e. there must not be a period without refrigeration. When I was a kid you simply could not eat seafood unless you went to the seaside. Now we can eat mussels in Geneva, because they can be flown in. Circumcision is probably another one. No new technologies, no change. Find me a counterexample. What about religion? Religion changes societies without new technology... Islam changed a lot of how Arab tribal society worked. Introduced a lot of reforms (which are admittedly now outdated, like women having the right to own property and divorce, not allowed to kill female babies if you don't want them, rules of engagement, etc...) What about communism in the Soviet Union? Didn't that change society? You have a point. I would tend to say that communism was a result of exploitation in the industrial revolution and hence an indirect consequence of technologies. Islam and Christianity are more difficult to argue. I do include slavery as a technology, so to what extent was the cultural development of ancient Greece the result of more spare time due to the employment of slaves? Did Christianity spread as a reaction against the Roman's military technology (including administration and organised standing armies, another technology albeit "software" more than hardware)? Hmm... more complex than I thought. Yes, one should include resistance against oppression. That will happen whatever the technological levels. Yes according to Islam, ... Its all the same religion, literally, its just older versions were corrupted and had to be corrected. Therefore rigidity is at the very fundamental level. Worrying. Very worrying. I asked about that too, Muslims go by the same times as Mecca when there is no sun. Yes, I knew the answer, but it is an interpretation and could be viewed as a corruption. The solution is one of convenience, not one of admitting that the spirit of the rule is different. We'll always run into that problem with all ideologies. I had an idea of doing something similar to that years ago. But my intention was not to show that when you get rid of the repetitions theres hardly anything left, but to get rid of the repetitions, boil down to the intention of the message and compare all major world religions to show they are all saying the same damn thing. Well, "damn" is perhaps not the right word. :) Somewhere I came across a question once asked a rabbi: if you had to sum up your religion in all you can say while you can balance yourself on the tip of one foot, what would it be? and his answer was: "don't do to others what you don't want to be done to you." Slightly negative, but good. And probably a result of evolution. I see religion like a language ... I met a priest once who admitted Christianity may not be "THE ONE TRUE RELIGION" but he followed it with the clear understanding that it was the religion he was raised in and taught about since childhood so he had a better chance at understanding it fully than any other foreign religion. Indeed. And frankly I don't care, as long as the believers do not impose their rituals on others. It's the rituals I'm worried about. I have a granddaughter from an Egyptian father. My wife and I both dread the idea that some day she may be taken to Egypt and have to undergo circumcision rituals there. I'm pretty certain the danger of that happening is not zero. And tell me what you thought of Eagleman's view. There is also the danger to view everything as a religion. This is the ploy that tries to get rid of evolution and global warming. It is the same ploy that some philosophers and sociologists use to label science as a human invention with no more truth in it than can be found in any other belief. (note that I just fell into their trap by writing "other belief" as if the laws of nature are also a belief system) Thats cool, I think the Dalai Lama is a very good guy... and you can tell by what he says about religion and spirituality that his intention is good - he really just wants to connect with the spiritual reality and live in peace with others. He visited my college when I was there and I got to go see him speak. Lucky you. I was not at CERN when he was there. Not many people have an actual aura of positivity around them to the extent that he does. He seemed so happy and peaceful and uncorrupted. It could be an exaggeration but that's what I got from him. I also liked when someone asked him about how to make the world a better place, what to do, what to focus on... He immediately said that you have to start from within. If everyone was at peace with themselves there wouldn't be as much violence and anger in the world. That is correct: all the troubles we have with our Egyptian son-in-law come from his inability to find peace with himsself. I thought that was profound at a time when I was trying to figure out "what difference I could make in the world" after graduation. The thing is, I am a part of the world, so if I make myself better I have made a positive change in the world. That is the whole of the Star Trek theme. It's a beautiful day here, but no way to go flying: too much traffic with all the holiday skiiers going in and out, so there are weekend restrictions on what small planes can do. Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: technology as the origin of change Protestantism certainly was the result of book printing. The come-back of conservative Republicans in the US was the result of air conditioning. Feminism was the result of employing women which was driven by factories. Astronomy influenced loads of changes indirectly. OK, these are positive examples. Many social changes followed "class struggle" of some sort. So another great force is the resistance to exploitation by others. R. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Date: Sun, 4 Mar 2012 21:43:35 +0300 Subject: RE: technology as the origin of change I have to hear about the air conditioning facilitating the conservative come back! Renee Lewis ________________________________________ From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Sunday, March 04, 2012 11:33 AM To: Renee Lewis Subject: technology as the origin of change Protestantism certainly was the result of book printing. The come-back of conservative Republicans in the US was the result of air conditioning. Feminism was the result of employing women which was driven by factories. Astronomy influenced loads of changes indirectly. OK, these are positive examples. Many social changes followed "class struggle" of some sort. So another great force is the resistance to exploitation by others. R. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: technology as the origin of change I have to hear about the air conditioning facilitating the conservative come back! According to the analysis, the air conditioner made life in the South more bearable, giving more hours a day for active work and thinking (read scheming I guess) at least to the important people. I do not remember where I read that, but it was a serious source. Don't know of an in-depth study with figures and data, but it sounded believable. In 1970, when I was trying to find a job in a developing country as a substitute for my obligatory military service, I was worried because all qualifying jobs were in hot countries. I did imagine that I might possibly survive if I could have an office with air conditioning. So when I read that analysis about twenty years later, I accepted it as plausible. Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Date: Mon, 14 May 2012 16:52:54 +0300 Subject: RE: Diverse problems Hello... Sorry for the extreme delay in responding. My contract ended with Al Jazeera and while I was waiting for our notoriously slow HR to renew my contract for another 6 months I was on leave in the States and Colombia for almost 2 months. During which time my AJE email account was shut down - and your emails and address were temporarily lost. Anyways... now I am back in Doha and getting settled into work again after a very long, relaxing vacation in 'normal' countries. Did take a 3 week trip to check out Colombia while on leave - it was my first trip to South America and made me want to get back there as soon as possible, but also showed me you need a bit of time to really explore the entire continent. 3 weeks just in 3 cities of Colombia felt a bit rushed. I started out in Bogota - which felt like a South American Seattle to me - very artsy and kind of a dark vibe - lots of clouds on most days. But HUGE and tons of different neighborhoods with different feels to explore and walk around. Also, the rumors about Colombia being extremely dangerous are in my opinion exaggerations or government propaganda meant to keep the people in line. It was odd, every night when I tried to leave the hotel the woman at reception would try to stop me from going out (I wasn't alone either) after dark saying "muy peligroso!" - very dangerous. And she was really scared for us, I could tell. But I would walk around in the streets at night with my boyfriend pretty much on a daily basis, and although there are a lot of street people who probably have mental issues, they are easily avoided. There was one close call but that was our stupidity - Colombia seems safer than NYC to me, but is also a place where you have to be smart and be aware of your surroundings. I also visited Medellin - which has a completely different vibe than Bogota. Its sunny, the people there are very separtist and nationalistic - calling themselves the "Paisas" as if they are their own people different than the rest of Colombians. They do have more Arab and Jewish influence than any other city in Colombia - which makes the place very interesting. I would say, for the most part, Colombians were extremely friendly and open - even to foreigners, which surprised me. Its easy to meet them and talk to them, and if you need help they will go out of their way. Very cool people. But Medellin, along with Kali - another city in Colombia, is the center of the drug cartels. So you can see all the Narco-girlfriends - Medellin is known for having some of the most beautiful women in the world - who have everything from breast implants to butt implants and appear perfect and wear flashy clothes and jewelry. Strange ... and annoying to those real life women who come in contact with them Im sure... But my favorite part of Colombia was a tip from a friend, Santiago, who I had met on a family vacation in Europe while I was in college. I met up with him in Bogota and he made sure to recommend a place called "Minca" in the north on the Caribbean coast in the mountainous jungles. He described it first as a hippy commune and that's all he needed to say to have me convinced. I talked my boyfriend into it and we took off for Santa Marta - the coastal city near Minca. Kind of a party, beach town. Nothing too special but pretty relaxed and nice. From there, we took a car up the partially dirt, potholed road to the village of Minca. We had gotten in contact with Oscar, the owner of the hostel/commune beforehand through Santiago and he was in the village to meet us. First of all the village was amazing. Right in the jungle up in the mountains, isolated and small. With a real feeling of community. There are a couple bars with pool tables where all the men hang out, there are a couple coffee shops for the few ex-pats that have moved there or any random tourists like myself who manage to find out about the place. Very few foreigners there, although some ex-pats are trying to get the place on the map for extreme sports tours - like mountain biking down a mountain, "extreme" mule rides, and that kind of thing. Luckily, there are very few tourists so far and nothing is spoiled. From the small village, we walked/hiked about 20 minutes with all our bags down through the jungle, across a stream, and up through the jungle again to get to Oscar's place. He worked as a computer programmer for years in California before returning to his native Colombia and buying a bunch of land up in the mountains by Minca. So he owns this long piece of land on a mountain ridge that goes down towards the coast and from his land you have a 360 degree view of beautiful mountains and jungle, and down below in the distance Santa Marta and the sea. Amazing view, and his land has one main house he built himself, with one room in it to rent out, a nice basic kitchen with no refrigerator or modern appliances, he and his wife sleep on the roof in a sort of half open room, only thing modern is the bathroom which is always a good exception to primitive life ; ) The shower was open on one side to the mountains with an incredible view - no need for a wall there because youre in the middle of nowhere. Amazing! Then he built some huts with mosquito nets as walls for people to stay in, which is what I did. Couldn't believe the natural beauty there. And Oscar dug a well, made a big tank in the ground that doubles as a swimming pool on hot afternoons to store the well water, and he uses the water to make his own electricity! He also has a few mules which are his new obsession, training them and everything. And he grows some of his own food and plants for medicinal uses - like when I got massacred by mosquitoes, Oscar just chopped off a big leaf of some plant, sliced it open and told me to put the gel inside on the bites. It was magical... Really got me thinking about leaving society again and living off the land outside of civilization... but most people I tell the idea to say, oh yeah it sounds amazing but shouldn't you be trying to change the world for the better instead of leaving it? What do you think? Its something Im really struggling with right now. I kind of got disallussioned to the whole "save the world" idea after my years living in Palestine and working for NGOs that were corrupt (like pretty much all other NGOs, and pretty much anything in the world actually, ha)... realizing how much power and weapons the ones in charge of this world have made me question the point/logic of trying to fight them. Can anyone really change the world, should they try? Anyways... that's the update on me. What's new with you? Renee Lewis ________________________________________ From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Tuesday, February 14, 2012 3:53 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: RE: Diverse problems >That's INSANE. I really hate the idea of not allowing free speech, >free thought. One of the main ideas in Islam is that there is no >compulsion in religion - it's written in the Quran. But it is also written explicitly that apostasy is not allowed and must be punished with death. I have reflected on this attitude. It is also recurring in commerce: you can get into Skype, Facebook etc. but you cannot get out. It seems that there are parallels here. States treat traitors with the death penalty too, but at least there is a crime committed in that case. Still, it is difficult to say "I don't want to be in your nation, I want to be in a different one". Soviet Russia and today Korea don't allow citizens to leave. By the way, the death penalty on apostasy is also in the Torah and in the Old Testament (Deuteronomy) If you look at anthropology I'm pretty certain you will find that most tribes did/do not allow leaving the tribe, and if you do they have the right to kill you. It seems to be built-in to our genes. >But somehow, there is a loop-hole for Muslims who either speak out >against the religion in any way or who decide to leave the religion. >I was talking to someone the other day who said that anyone who >leaves the religion should be put to death - this guy said it with a >straight face. He didn't even think on a human level, no empathy. It >was just a "rule" that had to be followed because it "came from >God". Then I looked it up and there are some scholars who agree with >that and some who don't. It doesn't make sense to me, and since >there are at least 4 main schools of Islamic (legal) thought in the >religion, there will always be some who are leniant and some who are >the complete opposite. Perhaps. Once Christians had "won" and taken over the Roman Empire (and replaced it with the Catholic Church, modelling nearly all of its institutions on the Roman ones) they too began to be intolerant to apostasy. >It always seems to be the crazies that get their ideas and names out >there in the media. Exactly. I think the best thing to do with the extremists is simply to ignore them. Or at least as much as possible to ignore them. How can a religion be termed tolerant when it does not allow apostasy? >It seems to me that if a religion and its followers were really >secure in their beliefs they wouldn't freak out every time someone >challenged them. And here we come back to my preferred phrase: "change your mind in the face of evidence". Scientists are not liked because they do exactly that: they are very secure about what they do, but they always are in doubt. Most people cannot cope with that, they need certainty. > But somehow, this kind of thing keeps happening... I really wish >there was more of a voice from the every-day Muslims in the world. It would help. I wish it were so. And also that over time there would not be again a separation into sects, some of which would become like Evangelicals. >...The US has an interesting Muslim community ... And I believe the >most representative of the true spirit of the religion. I tend to agree that any religious group that does not study the books by the letter is better than those who do. What is necessary then, is that all those "holy books" are taken for what they are: just attempts at setting up a workable code for living in a society, with some practical and psychological guidelines, and that all that is in those books is open for interpretation and change. Without making any pro-Catholic statement, I think that the Vatican has somehow realised that and allows much of it. Except of course that they too have kept some hard limits: no women in priesthood, celibacy, no abortion, no birth control, ... At least they did apologise for Galileo, and they do admit the Earth is round and more than 6000 years old. >It's too bad that the Muslim community is so fractured and isolated >globally because they have developed their own style of practicing >and enforcing on others that actually has no basis in the religion - >and goes against big themes - like the "no compulsion in religion" >thing. Did you actually read the text of the Koran? >It also seems to be a general theme among religious types - being >violent or threatening towards those who don't agree or challenge >their beliefs. If they really knew and understood what they believed >why would they be threatened? If they really studied and understood, they would not be religious. Being religious is opposite almost to being inquisitive. >... can't be bothered with inspecting and logically examining that >paradigm to see if there's anything missing, wrong, etc... It is very difficult for the average person. Thinking is too difficult. And I am the first to agree that one does need a set of rules to go by, because it's just too time-consuming to examine each action beforehand. I get up in the morning and make my bowl of muesli and a cup of coffee. I've been doing it for 30 years now. I can't afford to think about it each day. Yet sometimes I do sit down and think about my habits to see if they are still adapted to the circumstances. I have also said to our children (well, young ladies) that I am a man of habits: I have many and change them all the time. I know a number of people who do their jobs well, but in fact have no clue at all about what it is they do or where it fits in a bigger picture. They have been taught sequences of motions and perhaps a small vocabulary, and they just repeat that every day. As soon as a problem crops up they are totally helpless. I think you must have observed such people too. They also need some form of religion or at least a set of simple rules in order to live within society. >I think that religion is a personal, spiritual thing and that if >someone wants to believe something, its better if they just keep it >to themselves. What good can it do to show off or try to force other >people to believe the same as them? True, but it still affects me. Maybe I did or did not give this example, forgive me if I repeat myself. Some time ago when I flew out of Geneva to Dubai I had to state my preferences for on-board dinner. I had a choice of vegetarian, vegan, ..., kosher and "other". So I stated "non-halal, non-kosher, no live animals". I am definitely against undue harm to animals, so I will not eat meat from force-fed animals (foie-gras), live animals (oysters, monkey brains), and animals slaughtered while conscious. (we can discuss ritual slaughter and Chinese cuisine another time). However, the girl at the check-in desk told me all meat was halal, so as to provide me with the best service and experience. So I had to eat fish. I love fish, so it was not a big deal, but I was being discriminated against. If a practicing Jew flew a European or US airline that refused to serve kosher, there woudl be an outcry. >Religion in the public sphere has usually lead to violence and death Correct. > - and never just focuses on what brings us all together like the >religion professes to be about. I don't think religion itself is so >flawed, but humans are... very flawed. We are on a path, dynamic and changeable. That's the only thing that gives me some hope that we will survive: that we do have the possibility to change. Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Diverse problems Renee: Sorry for the extreme delay in responding. And me for mine. Too many things happening. Anyways... now I am back in Doha and getting settled into work again after a very long, relaxing vacation in 'normal' countries. Did take a 3 week trip to check out Colombia while on leave - it was my first trip to South America and made me want to get back there as soon as possible, but also showed me you need a bit of time to really explore the entire continent. "It's Thursday, this must be Belgium". 3 weeks just in 3 cities of Colombia felt a bit rushed. And of course that's only cities. I avoid cities. I started out in Bogota - which felt like a South American Seattle to me - very artsy and kind of a dark vibe - lots of clouds on most days. No doubt, given where it is. But HUGE Unfortunately. Far too many people again. and tons of different neighborhoods with different feels to explore and walk around. Also, the rumors about Colombia being extremely dangerous are in my opinion exaggerations or government propaganda meant to keep the people in line. It was odd, every night when I tried to leave the hotel the woman at reception would try to stop me from going out (I wasn't alone either) after dark saying "muy peligroso!" - very dangerous. And she was really scared for us, I could tell. "Do not put in the microwave; Batteries not included; no user serviceable parts inside; ..." But I would walk around in the streets at night with my boyfriend pretty much on a daily basis, and although there are a lot of street people who probably have mental issues, they are easily avoided. There was one close call but that was our stupidity - Colombia seems safer than NYC to me, but is also a place where you have to be smart and be aware of your surroundings. Agreed. One always has to be aware of one's surroundings. I have had only four problems of that kind: one on a bus in Hungary, where it was very clear and nothing untoward happened (except the guy managed to pickpocket a small camera), and the other three times were in Geneva city. Once my handbag (with all my papers in it...) got stolen inside a restaurant in the centre of town, and I suspect the two old ladies at the next table because all other explanations have been eliminated. Another time my car got vandalised while being parked on a normal street in a residential area, but we suspect it was because it had French number plates and there was a big anti-foreigner mood. And then I got swindled for about 15'000 dollars by a very chic lady who rented my appartment but never paid the rent, and it took me 6 months just to get her out. She was driving a Mercedes coupé, had a manicured poodle and Hermes scarves. It turned out later that I was not the only one she swindled, and a little later again that Geneva City now subsidises her, because she has no means of living; no job and no income. But a Swiss passport in a well-known Swiss family. Muy pericoloso indeed. I also visited Medellin Drugs. Or rather, that's what the world thinks. ... So you can see all the Narco-girlfriends - Medellin is known for having some of the most beautiful women in the world - who have everything from breast implants to butt implants and appear perfect and wear flashy clothes and jewelry. Strange ... and annoying to those real life women who come in contact with them Im sure... But would you want to be one of them? Muy pericoloso I suppose. ... he made sure to recommend a place called "Minca" ... First of all the village was amazing. Right in the jungle up in the mountains, isolated and small. With a real feeling of community. There are a couple bars with pool tables where all the men hang out, Ah, so classical then. ... , only thing modern is the bathroom which is always a good exception to primitive life ; ) Yes, I am a bathroom freak. Bathrooms have to work. The shower was open on one side to the mountains with an incredible view - no need for a wall there because youre in the middle of nowhere. I have a friend who has (had) a similar bathroom in Hawaii... Amazing indeed. ... Couldn't believe the natural beauty there. No people to destroy it. Really got me thinking about leaving society again and living off the land outside of civilization... Er... Perhaps. But what does Oscar do for a living? Surely he must generate some money in order to buy things he cannot make himself. Or does he still use what he saved while being a programmer? That would then be "inside" civilisation, no? but most people I tell the idea to say, oh yeah it sounds amazing but shouldn't you be trying to change the world for the better instead of leaving it? What do you think? Remember that in 2003 I went to explore Tasmania to be as far away from coming troubles as possible (or maybe I never mentioned that). Its something Im really struggling with right now. I kind of got disallussioned to the whole "save the world" idea after my years living in Palestine and working for NGOs that were corrupt (like pretty much all other NGOs, and pretty much anything in the world actually, ha)... realizing how much power and weapons the ones in charge of this world have made me question the point/logic of trying to fight them. Can anyone really change the world, should they try? Yes, I think one can, and one should try. When I get somehow disillusioned I think not of where I would like to live, but when. And history is not so good. The best period is probably now. So in my case it's considering which time period would be better that makes me more or less optimistic again. I would not want to go back to anywhere in the 20th century. We are just back from some holidays at the Belgian coast. I visited a museum about the Atlantikwal, the string of fortresses the Nazis built to keep the allies out. That was just before I was born. No, thank you. And then there was the whole cold war stuff. Thanks again. Before those times it was perhaps better but only if you were inexcellent healt and never got a wound, because there were no antibiotics. The times of the industrial revolution were good for very few, the majority had to work extremely hard. Before that there were constant wars everywhere (not just Europe). Agreed that Doha is not "normal", but in time that too will change. I just hope we get the cllimate and the population density under control. Otherwise not much news. We'll see how Hollande will do with Merkel, and also how the US elections will go. Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Date: Sun, 3 Jun 2012 16:45:41 +0300 Subject: SUSPECT: RE: Diverse problems Hi, How is everything? Things here are getting a little crazy as the temperature gets higher and higher, above 50 = danger for civilization! One example, the government sent out a warning telling people not to fill up their car's gas tanks all the way full because when the temperature gets above 50C that can explode! That's not even mentioning the series of fires that have happened in Doha. Im sure you heard about the "Doha Mall Fire" last week. It was in one of the more upscale malls here called the Villaggio - modeled after the Bellaggio and Venetian Las Vegas hotels/casinos. So the ceiling is painted as a sky (can't put any pesky fire sprinklers up there because it "wouldn't LOOK good"... one of the reasons the fire got so big at the mall) and there are mock venetian apartments above the stores, as well as a fake canal with motorized gondolas you can take around the mall (sooo lame!). But, hey, its Doha. So anyways, there was a small fire at the Villaggio the DAY BEFORE and no one took that as a warning (by no one, Im referring to the non-existent safety and codes people which I really think this country forgot to implement... like so many things) and the next day a bigger fire caught. The daycare center, which was actually owned by a friend of mine - a very nice Qatari woman named Eman, is tucked back in an old storage room - literally. If you're walking down the main drag in the mall, theres a narrow hallway that goes off to the side in between a couple stores. From there, you walk up a flimsy staircase (which burned quickly and was the only escape route) and then on the second floor you walk all the way down a corridor with no windows until you get to the daycare center. Eman was there about 10 mins before the fire started, she had just walked outside to meet a relative when she noticed smoke billowing and people being evacuated. She was on the phone with the 4 teachers that worked for her from then until they died. There were 2 firemen that died and the rest of the 19 casualties were small children. Eman is traumatized and basically hospitalized because of the shock of losing those people and feeling responsible for their deaths. The first police to talk to her told her she was a 'murderer'. After that, she collapsed and was taken to the hospital where she still is. My question: Why would it be Eman's fault? The person who gave her the license to open the business there is the one who is responsible for making sure of the overall safety of the building, making sure it complies with health and safety codes. But the thing is, I dont think Qatar even HAS health/safety codes. I suddenly feel SO unsafe. They are not prepared for anything. The rescue crew was running around for ONE HOUR looking for a map of the building so they could tell where to hack through the roof to get to the children and teachers. There were some men on the roof in thobes (the long white dress) and were tripping and slowed down by their thobes but wouldn't take it off to try to save the kids faster because they are so incompetent. They didn't save one of the people trapped inside. 3 of the children were triplets from an expat family from New Zealand. I can't imagine what they are going through. The bigger picture of the government blaming Eman for the deaths, in my opinion, and their complete lack of taking responsibility for a COMPLETELY avoidable tragedy (which they said in the press conference the night of the fire was "not completely avoidable"... idiots) is because of the World Cup they are supposed to host in 2020 or something around there. This country is being built FOR the world cup... everything they are doing to try and look "modernized" (while having absolutely no idea what they are doing but still building "pretty" things) is to impress the international community and make them think that Qatar is modern and western and civilized. But its top down. They have no experience, they have no idea of the details behind civilization. Building safety codes is one example. "Dont let a daycare set up in an old storage room down a long corridor with no way to escape in a fire!!!!" The other example is the skyline - if you haven't seen it, try to google the Doha skyline. From a distance, it looks pretty cool. Very futuristic architecture and lots of pretty colors and lights. But if you want to walk around this seemingly "downtown" area, you will find.... NOTHING. The buildings are 80% empty, but that doesnt matter when you have 100 more years of free money (aka gas). In a REAL city, like New York, things were built from the bottom up. First there were small houses and shacks and a few churches and bigger buildings here and there. Everything on ground level filled in as the population grew. There are apartments, shops, restaurants, cafes, bars, etc... all on ground level to walk around. Then, as time passed, they started building upwards due to lack of space. So buildings became taller and skyscrapers were born. But at the bottom on street level there is a whole community and city and things to do. In Doha, the downtown is like a Hollywood set, like the Emir was like daydreaming one day and stenciled out a skyline and said "build this so I can look out my window and see a real city with a real skyline" but had no idea what the POINT of a skyscraper is. Do you need it when the ground level is sparse and empty. NO. You can't even walk around downtown, there's no sidewalks, theres nothing to do or see on street level. Just a bunch of big, empty, cool-looking skyscrapers. Insanity. Thats the end of my rant about Doha ; ) >Really got me thinking about leaving society >again and living off the land outside of >civilization... Er... Perhaps. But what does Oscar do for a living? Surely he must generate some money in order to buy things he cannot make himself. Or does he still use what he saved while being a programmer? That would then be "inside" civilisation, no? Remember that in 2003 I went to explore Tasmania to be as far away from coming troubles as possible (or maybe I never mentioned that). >> By the way, Oscar only has to make a couple hundred dollars a month for basics he needs, including health insurance in case something happens! haha. So he rents out the huts and hammocks and for the most part his only purchases are basic food items (no fridge) and extras like alcohol or a coffee in "town". He lives a very VERY simple lifestyle. Spends half the day taking his mules to an open pasture, taking them back. Going into the village nearby for food, coffee or to see other humans. Rest of the day working on different projects like a primitive stable, new huts, gathering firewood for the night fire, and chilling under the stars at night. What happened to your Tasmania plan? It wasn't the right spot or you gave up on leaving civilization? Renee Lewis ________________________________________ From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Thursday, May 24, 2012 9:36 AM To: Renee Lewis Subject: RE: Diverse problems Renee: >Sorry for the extreme delay in responding. And me for mine. Too many things happening. >Anyways... now I am back in Doha and getting >settled into work again after a very long, >relaxing vacation in 'normal' countries. Did >take a 3 week trip to check out Colombia while >on leave - it was my first trip to South America >and made me want to get back there as soon as >possible, but also showed me you need a bit of >time to really explore the entire continent. "It's Thursday, this must be Belgium". > 3 weeks just in 3 cities of Colombia felt a bit rushed. And of course that's only cities. I avoid cities. >I started out in Bogota - which felt like a >South American Seattle to me - very artsy and >kind of a dark vibe - lots of clouds on most >days. No doubt, given where it is. > But HUGE Unfortunately. Far too many people again. > and tons of different neighborhoods with >different feels to explore and walk around. >Also, the rumors about Colombia being extremely >dangerous are in my opinion exaggerations or >government propaganda meant to keep the people >in line. It was odd, every night when I tried to >leave the hotel the woman at reception would try >to stop me from going out (I wasn't alone >either) after dark saying "muy peligroso!" - >very dangerous. And she was really scared for >us, I could tell. "Do not put in the microwave; Batteries not included; no user serviceable parts inside; ..." >But I would walk around in the streets at night >with my boyfriend pretty much on a daily basis, >and although there are a lot of street people >who probably have mental issues, they are easily >avoided. There was one close call but that was >our stupidity - Colombia seems safer than NYC to >me, but is also a place where you have to be >smart and be aware of your surroundings. Agreed. One always has to be aware of one's surroundings. I have had only four problems of that kind: one on a bus in Hungary, where it was very clear and nothing untoward happened (except the guy managed to pickpocket a small camera), and the other three times were in Geneva city. Once my handbag (with all my papers in it...) got stolen inside a restaurant in the centre of town, and I suspect the two old ladies at the next table because all other explanations have been eliminated. Another time my car got vandalised while being parked on a normal street in a residential area, but we suspect it was because it had French number plates and there was a big anti-foreigner mood. And then I got swindled for about 15'000 dollars by a very chic lady who rented my appartment but never paid the rent, and it took me 6 months just to get her out. She was driving a Mercedes coupé, had a manicured poodle and Hermes scarves. It turned out later that I was not the only one she swindled, and a little later again that Geneva City now subsidises her, because she has no means of living; no job and no income. But a Swiss passport in a well-known Swiss family. Muy pericoloso indeed. >I also visited Medellin Drugs. Or rather, that's what the world thinks. >... So you can see all the Narco-girlfriends - >Medellin is known for having some of the most >beautiful women in the world - who have >everything from breast implants to butt implants >and appear perfect and wear flashy clothes and >jewelry. Strange ... and annoying to those real >life women who come in contact with them Im >sure... But would you want to be one of them? Muy pericoloso I suppose. >... he made sure to recommend a place called >"Minca" ... First of all the village was >amazing. Right in the jungle up in the >mountains, isolated and small. With a real >feeling of community. There are a couple bars >with pool tables where all the men hang out, Ah, so classical then. >... , only thing modern is the bathroom which is >always a good exception to primitive life ; ) Yes, I am a bathroom freak. Bathrooms have to work. > The shower was open on one side to the >mountains with an incredible view - no need for >a wall there because youre in the middle of >nowhere. I have a friend who has (had) a similar bathroom in Hawaii... Amazing indeed. >... Couldn't believe the natural beauty there. No people to destroy it. >Really got me thinking about leaving society >again and living off the land outside of >civilization... Er... Perhaps. But what does Oscar do for a living? Surely he must generate some money in order to buy things he cannot make himself. Or does he still use what he saved while being a programmer? That would then be "inside" civilisation, no? > but most people I tell the idea to say, oh yeah >it sounds amazing but shouldn't you be trying to >change the world for the better instead of >leaving it? What do you think? Remember that in 2003 I went to explore Tasmania to be as far away from coming troubles as possible (or maybe I never mentioned that). > Its something Im really struggling with right >now. I kind of got disallussioned to the whole >"save the world" idea after my years living in >Palestine and working for NGOs that were corrupt >(like pretty much all other NGOs, and pretty >much anything in the world actually, ha)... >realizing how much power and weapons the ones in >charge of this world have made me question the >point/logic of trying to fight them. Can anyone >really change the world, should they try? Yes, I think one can, and one should try. When I get somehow disillusioned I think not of where I would like to live, but when. And history is not so good. The best period is probably now. So in my case it's considering which time period would be better that makes me more or less optimistic again. I would not want to go back to anywhere in the 20th century. We are just back from some holidays at the Belgian coast. I visited a museum about the Atlantikwal, the string of fortresses the Nazis built to keep the allies out. That was just before I was born. No, thank you. And then there was the whole cold war stuff. Thanks again. Before those times it was perhaps better but only if you were inexcellent healt and never got a wound, because there were no antibiotics. The times of the industrial revolution were good for very few, the majority had to work extremely hard. Before that there were constant wars everywhere (not just Europe). Agreed that Doha is not "normal", but in time that too will change. I just hope we get the cllimate and the population density under control. Otherwise not much news. We'll see how Hollande will do with Merkel, and also how the US elections will go. Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Date: Fri, 8 Jun 2012 17:38:33 +0300 Subject: RE: SUSPECT: RE: Diverse problems Hi, ||After having sent my previous reply, I wondered about this: You did visit the day care centre at least once. From what you then casually observed, would you have found it a place full of risk? I ask this, because your friend may or may not have seen risk. Observing risk is a difficult thing and depends on many factors, which makes it difficult to know who was responsible and for what fraction. There are: -- one's own education in the matter, for which one is not responsible (must we all obligatorily be drilled in risk perception? probably not) -- one's own alertness, -- hidden flaws (a famous clause in most contracts of property transfer or renting), which by their nature cannot be taken into account, -- security measures (e.g. flammable goods are stored in spaces with more security measures than others, escape ladders help in built up areas, smoke alarms help, fire brigade proximity and training help (e.g. the CERN fire brigade is autonomous and specially trained in handling the special materials we have on the site)) -- one's own capacity to deal with an emergency, e.g. a fit person may be easily able to escape, but a less fit person who also has to care for a number of children may not, so the risk is higher to one than to the other, and one may be willing to take a bigger risk than the other, -- you raised the important point of cultural awareness and cultural attitudes to risk taking, and so on. Very complex. But what did you se when you went there?|| When I was walking through the mall, I saw the Gympanzee place... its a narrow little hallway that goes back in between two regular mall shops like Puma or something. I walked down the hall way a bit because a friend wanted to show me a picture of his nephew that was up in the entrance. I didn't know at that point that you not only had to walk down that hallway, but up a flight of stairs, and down to the end of a corridor on the second floor. That's something I found out after the fire. And no, safety or lack thereof didn't even cross my mind, although I remember thinking it was weird that a daycare center was down a dark hallway with no windows. But it was a fleeting thought unfortunately. I think if I was planning a business and was going there to check it out I would think about safety though... although I don't blame Eman at all, because the one who gave her the business license or permit should be the one in charge of safety and emergency planning. Eman's own children stayed there, so obviously she thought the place was safe for some reason... ||>My question: Why would it be Eman's fault? The person who gave her >the license to open the business there is the one who is responsible >for making sure of the overall safety of the building, making sure >it complies with health and safety codes. True, but your friend also has to inspect and push for safety. Or, when it cannot be obtained, not set up business there. But I do agree that it is tempting to overlook such aspects, especially if one has not really been brought up to look into such details. (see also later towards the end) This worries me greatly: youngsters are not paying attention to safety as much as we did, one reason may be that the world looks like it is safe to start with.|| What a good point... about the younger generations just assuming things are alright and safe and someone else thought about it already. We are not the most responsible generation in history... at least the Western middle-class and up. I mean, if you are poor its more likely youve had to really watch your own back and can't fall back on other people as easily. In the West, life is set up to look perfect... like Disneyland. Every time I go back to the states from "developing" countries I can't get over how 'fake' everything looks - like its too perfect. I think that really messes with peoples' heads. My generation and below (in the West, middle class and up) were given a lot... we didn't need to think as much, just do what we were told so that we too could live this perfect fairy tale life. As I get older, I realize how college until now has been a constant stream of disallussionments and a process of "unlearning" all the lies about life I was taught in school, by my parents to some extent (things are black and white, this is good, this is bad... no grey areas - while I have now realized life is a grey area... ha) and of course by the thing that taught my generation the most about life - way more than our parents or school ever did about what to expect from life and careers and love and everything... TV, movies, music, etc... They have set up this unattainable happiness and perfection and fairtale life that we will never possess. As we grow older, we start to realize that, and get disallussioned. Did you experience this? In what way? Well, my taxis here to pick me up so I will continue later! Hope you are well... Renee Lewis ________________________________________ From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Monday, June 04, 2012 10:46 AM To: Renee Lewis Subject: Re: SUSPECT: RE: Diverse problems >... not to fill up their car's gas tanks all the way full because >when the temperature gets above 50C that can explode! ?!? I am trying to figure out what the mechanism could be? Overflow perhaps. >... the ceiling is painted as a sky (can't put any pesky fire >sprinklers up there because it "wouldn't LOOK good"... one of the >reasons the fire got so big at the mall) We have been in one of those in Las Vegas. Form over Function will always die first. >... was on the phone Yes, mobile phones are much more important than safety regulations. > with the 4 teachers that worked for her from then until they died. >There were 2 firemen that died and the rest of the 19 casualties >were small children. Eman is traumatized and basically hospitalized >because of the shock of losing those people and feeling responsible >for their deaths. The first police to talk to her told her she was a >'murderer'. How could they say that? >My question: Why would it be Eman's fault? The person who gave her >the license to open the business there is the one who is responsible >for making sure of the overall safety of the building, making sure >it complies with health and safety codes. True, but your friend also has to inspect and push for safety. Or, when it cannot be obtained, not set up business there. But I do agree that it is tempting to overlook such aspects, especially if one has not really been brought up to look into such details. (see also later towards the end) This worries me greatly: youngsters are not paying attention to safety as much as we did, one reason may be that the world looks like it is safe to start with. > But the thing is, I dont think Qatar even HAS health/safety codes. >I suddenly feel SO unsafe. They are not prepared for anything. The >rescue crew was running around for ONE HOUR looking for a map of the >building And in a high-tech environment such a map should have been at the fire station and in electronic form in many places. >... men on the roof in thobes (the long white dress) and were >tripping and slowed down by their thobes but wouldn't take it off to >try to save the kids faster because they are so incompetent. Form over Function and a lot of attention to what other people might think rather than getting the job done. >The bigger picture of the government blaming Eman for the deaths, in >my opinion, and their complete lack of taking responsibility for a >COMPLETELY avoidable tragedy (which they said in the press >conference the night of the fire was "not completely avoidable"... >idiots) is because of the World Cup they are supposed to host in >2020 or something around there. This tragedy seems to have many parallels to the plane crash of the Polish president. He had put so much pressure on the pilot to land because of this historic ceremony where he wished to show himself, that everyone died. The Polish government (and its people) then tried to put the blame on all sorts of things; the airport, the traffic controllers, the pilot, but not on the president. However, the pilot was to a certain extent responsible: after FOUR failed attempts to land in impossible weather conditions, he should have flown to the alternate airport and stood up to the political pressure. Of course, his predecessor got fired for a similar incident a few years earlier, and of course if you do land safely at the alternate airport, then you cannot prove that it was truly impossible to land at the original destination. That proof comes only when everyone dies. > This country is being built FOR the world cup... They have no >experience, they have no idea of the details behind civilization. ... It takes a long time for attitudes to change, at least two generations, and then it also has to be built into the school system and then you have to constantly watch over it. Otherwise it gets attacked by the manipulators. That is why religious and ideological groups always try to set up their own school system. >The other example is the skyline - if you haven't seen it, I have, I was there for a WEF conference once. >... In a REAL city, like New York, things were built from the bottom up. Or Paris, or London, or Berlin. They took over 2000 years. But they also had their city-wide fires... >... Just a bunch of big, empty, cool-looking skyscrapers. >Insanity. Form over Function. >Thats the end of my rant about Doha ; ) I understand. Money warps everything. Coming back briefly to your friend Eman: I don't know what her background is, what her family is like, how much education she had, how aware she is about technology. So it is very difficult to know if she should have seen warning signs and set up her centre elsewhere. It is also not clear to me what started the fire. Candles on a birthday cake? An electric fire? A cigarette? > >> By the way, Oscar only has to make a couple hundred dollars a month... OK. >What happened to your Tasmania plan? It wasn't the right spot or you >gave up on leaving civilization? Well, it is a very nice spot, with good wine and cheese and fish. However, the Antarctic is too close by: when the icebergs start falling off those shelves and start floating North, it could get pretty cold there. Plus that Susan does not want to be so far away from the "children". Etc. In the end, it's probably not too bad here. Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: Re: SUSPECT: RE: Diverse problems ... not to fill up their car's gas tanks all the way full because when the temperature gets above 50C that can explode! ?!? I am trying to figure out what the mechanism could be? Overflow perhaps. ... the ceiling is painted as a sky (can't put any pesky fire sprinklers up there because it "wouldn't LOOK good"... one of the reasons the fire got so big at the mall) We have been in one of those in Las Vegas. Form over Function will always die first. ... was on the phone Yes, mobile phones are much more important than safety regulations. with the 4 teachers that worked for her from then until they died. There were 2 firemen that died and the rest of the 19 casualties were small children. Eman is traumatized and basically hospitalized because of the shock of losing those people and feeling responsible for their deaths. The first police to talk to her told her she was a 'murderer'. How could they say that? My question: Why would it be Eman's fault? The person who gave her the license to open the business there is the one who is responsible for making sure of the overall safety of the building, making sure it complies with health and safety codes. True, but your friend also has to inspect and push for safety. Or, when it cannot be obtained, not set up business there. But I do agree that it is tempting to overlook such aspects, especially if one has not really been brought up to look into such details. (see also later towards the end) This worries me greatly: youngsters are not paying attention to safety as much as we did, one reason may be that the world looks like it is safe to start with. But the thing is, I dont think Qatar even HAS health/safety codes. I suddenly feel SO unsafe. They are not prepared for anything. The rescue crew was running around for ONE HOUR looking for a map of the building And in a high-tech environment such a map should have been at the fire station and in electronic form in many places. ... men on the roof in thobes (the long white dress) and were tripping and slowed down by their thobes but wouldn't take it off to try to save the kids faster because they are so incompetent. Form over Function and a lot of attention to what other people might think rather than getting the job done. The bigger picture of the government blaming Eman for the deaths, in my opinion, and their complete lack of taking responsibility for a COMPLETELY avoidable tragedy (which they said in the press conference the night of the fire was "not completely avoidable"... idiots) is because of the World Cup they are supposed to host in 2020 or something around there. This tragedy seems to have many parallels to the plane crash of the Polish president. He had put so much pressure on the pilot to land because of this historic ceremony where he wished to show himself, that everyone died. The Polish government (and its people) then tried to put the blame on all sorts of things; the airport, the traffic controllers, the pilot, but not on the president. However, the pilot was to a certain extent responsible: after FOUR failed attempts to land in impossible weather conditions, he should have flown to the alternate airport and stood up to the political pressure. Of course, his predecessor got fired for a similar incident a few years earlier, and of course if you do land safely at the alternate airport, then you cannot prove that it was truly impossible to land at the original destination. That proof comes only when everyone dies. This country is being built FOR the world cup... They have no experience, they have no idea of the details behind civilization. ... It takes a long time for attitudes to change, at least two generations, and then it also has to be built into the school system and then you have to constantly watch over it. Otherwise it gets attacked by the manipulators. That is why religious and ideological groups always try to set up their own school system. The other example is the skyline - if you haven't seen it, I have, I was there for a WEF conference once. ... In a REAL city, like New York, things were built from the bottom up. Or Paris, or London, or Berlin. They took over 2000 years. But they also had their city-wide fires... ... Just a bunch of big, empty, cool-looking skyscrapers. Insanity. Form over Function. Thats the end of my rant about Doha ; ) I understand. Money warps everything. Coming back briefly to your friend Eman: I don't know what her background is, what her family is like, how much education she had, how aware she is about technology. So it is very difficult to know if she should have seen warning signs and set up her centre elsewhere. It is also not clear to me what started the fire. Candles on a birthday cake? An electric fire? A cigarette? >> By the way, Oscar only has to make a couple hundred dollars a month... OK. What happened to your Tasmania plan? It wasn't the right spot or you gave up on leaving civilization? Well, it is a very nice spot, with good wine and cheese and fish. However, the Antarctic is too close by: when the icebergs start falling off those shelves and start floating North, it could get pretty cold there. Plus that Susan does not want to be so far away from the "children". Etc. In the end, it's probably not too bad here. Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: Doha fire Renée: After having sent my previous reply, I wondered about this: You did visit the day care centre at least once. From what you then casually observed, would you have found it a place full of risk? I ask this, because your friend may or may not have seen risk. Observing risk is a difficult thing and depends on many factors, which makes it difficult to know who was responsible and for what fraction. There are: -- one's own education in the matter, for which one is not responsible (must we all obligatorily be drilled in risk perception? probably not) -- one's own alertness, -- hidden flaws (a famous clause in most contracts of property transfer or renting), which by their nature cannot be taken into account, -- security measures (e.g. flammable goods are stored in spaces with more security measures than others, escape ladders help in built up areas, smoke alarms help, fire brigade proximity and training help (e.g. the CERN fire brigade is autonomous and specially trained in handling the special materials we have on the site)) -- one's own capacity to deal with an emergency, e.g. a fit person may be easily able to escape, but a less fit person who also has to care for a number of children may not, so the risk is higher to one than to the other, and one may be willing to take a bigger risk than the other, -- you raised the important point of cultural awareness and cultural attitudes to risk taking, and so on. Very complex. But what did you se when you went there? Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: SUSPECT: RE: Diverse problems When I was walking through the mall, I saw the Gympanzee place... its a narrow little hallway that goes back in between two regular mall shops like Puma or something. I walked down the hall way a bit because a friend wanted to show me a picture of his nephew that was up in the entrance. I didn't know at that point that you not only had to walk down that hallway, but up a flight of stairs, and down to the end of a corridor on the second floor. That's something I found out after the fire. Ah. And no, safety or lack thereof didn't even cross my mind, although I remember thinking it was weird that a daycare center was down a dark hallway with no windows. But it was a fleeting thought unfortunately. I think if I was planning a business and was going there to check it out I would think about safety though... although I don't blame Eman at all, because the one who gave her the business license or permit should be the one in charge of safety and emergency planning. Eman's own children stayed there, so obviously she thought the place was safe for some reason... Perhaps. I'll quote again what physicists usually say: "it's a linear superposition of all possibilities", meaning in this case that the 100% of responsibility is divided over many people and nobody is entirely free of any. Even the people on the other side of the planet, who drive a car they fuel with petrol that gave revenue to Doha so that they became rich too quickly and built these places without much understanding. I think part of why Eman is in such a psychological state is that she realises (even if subconsciously) that she should have looked out better. But it is difficult to be painstakingly rigourous when one also has a business to run. What a good point... Yes, and thanks for making me think of it. life is set up to look perfect... like Disneyland. :| Every time I go back to the states from "developing" countries I can't get over how 'fake' everything looks - like its too perfect. I think that really messes with peoples' heads. But there are imperfect places in the US. I've seen many. ... I realize how college until now has been a constant stream of disallussionments and a process of "unlearning" all the lies about life I was taught in school, This reads like it comes straight out of a Kurt Vonnegut story. ... I have now realized life is a grey area... ha) A linear superposition. ... They have set up this unattainable happiness and perfection and fairtale life that we will never possess. As we grow older, we start to realize that, and get disallussioned. Did you experience this? In what way? I did, but less so than you. Remember, I'm from the 50s/60s (By the way: do I know how old you are and what you look like?) I've had some disillusions, but nothing like what this generation is going through. We did have job stability and there was much less virtuality than there is now. Of course there was TV and so, but not much. And certainly not as much advertising as now. I try to keep focusing on projects, building things (not necessarily physical stuff) and always learning and finding out how things tick, whether that is s real gizmo or a social group of people or whatever. Like why this fire accident happened and what the causes could be. My biggest disillusions have been with human nature. But I stil have some hope too. R. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Date: Tue, 3 Jul 2012 13:54:01 +0300 Subject: Higgs Boson Hi, How's it going? I just read on Al Jazeera news that US physicists said they found "strong hints" of the Higgs Boson particle and expect Europe to confirm their results in the next few days. What do you think? Renee Lewis From ???@??? Wed Jul 04 07:40:23 2012 To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: Re: Higgs Boson Hi, How's it going? I just read on Al Jazeera news that US physicists said they found "strong hints" of the Higgs Boson particle and expect Europe to confirm their results in the next few days. What do you think? Hi Renee, (we are in Galloway, near Atlantic City and we lived through the storm last week that took out a lot of electric power, but at least for the hotel where we are it is now restored) Heuer (our Director General) announced it today. The Tevatron at Fermilab has claimed to have seen something for years. But from my understanding the Tevatron is not nearly powerful enough to sort the wheat from the chaff so to speak. That is why the SSC (Superconducting SuperCollider) was planned, alongside the LHC. But Clinton stopped it. Then all the effort went into the LHC. 5 sigma is quite a high probability, so this must be very interesting. However, it now remains to be seen if the signals seen at the Tevatron are consistent with the stuff from the LHC. And if they are, who claims what? It is like the Tevatron hearing noises in the forest, but not knowing what it might be, and the LHC then catching a bear and bringing the animal to display in the village. But the Tevatron could have heard a squirrel too. OK, I obviously make this up, but it's something like that. We are certain to hear more precise stories this week. I knew since last week that a number of conference rooms all over the world had been set up with video conferencing and special invitations. Before one announces a 5 sigma event, a huge amount of data correlation must be made, and so this must have been in the works for quite some time. If you want to know the real story I'm afraid you will have to talk to a physicist. I'm going to listen too. Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: Ice Hi, How are you? Check this out: "Shock Greenland ice thaw has experts gushing" http://www.aljazeera.com/news/europe/2012/07/201272565759801478.html What do you think? Cyclical event or global warming? It's a part of both. Things go up and down. There is a perverse "procession" in the city of Echternach: the faithful walk to the church but to show their devotion they go three steps forwards and then two steps backwards. Eventually they get there, of course, but they will have walked 5 times as much. Whenever the climate goes cold (steps backwards) those who deny global warming scream global warming clearly is a hoax and we can continue burning fossil fuels, and whenever the climate goes forwards those who are activists scream that it is already too late. But, unfortunately, like in Echternach, global warming will eventually get there. Also unfortunately it is difficult for the general public to see the trend in all the swings up and down. Plus that it's really very difficult to predict which parts of the world will get really hot and which may cool down for a while. For example, if some models are right, then one effect is that the Gulf stream will stop, and that means Europe will get a lot colder and wetter. This seems effectively to be so from what I have observed in my lifetime. Europe is of course very high in the North (I think I already mentioned that Geneva is north of Montreal, or North of Portland, Oregon, and Oslo is about the same latitude as Anchorage.) so our climate here is a freak of the Gulf stream. We may get colder here for a while, but on average the world is definitely heating up, and fast too. It is not a cyclical event, rather an unusual event (like throwing heads five times in a row) that on average so far seems to have occurred about once every 150 years. The scientist Lora Koenig made a very bad error in public communication by adding "this event is right on time" where she should have said nothing at all. It is a pure coincidence that it happened almost exactly after 150 years, and she could not resist talking about that coincidence. Bad communication, but something that a journalist would jump on. Unless I have misunderstood, the spacing of the events is random, so they are not cyclical, but if you look at a space of 1500 years you will have a high probability of observing about ten of them. She then continued with a statement she should have elaborated on: "if we continue to observe melting events like this in upcoming years, it will be worrisome" And that too she should have rephrased to: "if we're beginning to observe them more frequently than in the past, it is a sign of global warming". People just do not understand statistics and probability, and even scientists have very great difficulty talking about them. Sigh. Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Date: Thu, 26 Jul 2012 08:53:50 +0300 Subject: RE: Higgs Boson Hi, How are you? Check this out: "Shock Greenland ice thaw has experts gushing" http://www.aljazeera.com/news/europe/2012/07/201272565759801478.html What do you think? Cyclical event or global warming? Renee Lewis ________________________________________ From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Wednesday, July 04, 2012 2:40 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: Re: Higgs Boson >Hi, > >How's it going? > >I just read on Al Jazeera news that US physicists said they found >"strong hints" of the Higgs Boson particle and expect Europe to >confirm their results in the next few days. > >What do you think? Hi Renee, (we are in Galloway, near Atlantic City and we lived through the storm last week that took out a lot of electric power, but at least for the hotel where we are it is now restored) Heuer (our Director General) announced it today. The Tevatron at Fermilab has claimed to have seen something for years. But from my understanding the Tevatron is not nearly powerful enough to sort the wheat from the chaff so to speak. That is why the SSC (Superconducting SuperCollider) was planned, alongside the LHC. But Clinton stopped it. Then all the effort went into the LHC. 5 sigma is quite a high probability, so this must be very interesting. However, it now remains to be seen if the signals seen at the Tevatron are consistent with the stuff from the LHC. And if they are, who claims what? It is like the Tevatron hearing noises in the forest, but not knowing what it might be, and the LHC then catching a bear and bringing the animal to display in the village. But the Tevatron could have heard a squirrel too. OK, I obviously make this up, but it's something like that. We are certain to hear more precise stories this week. I knew since last week that a number of conference rooms all over the world had been set up with video conferencing and special invitations. Before one announces a 5 sigma event, a huge amount of data correlation must be made, and so this must have been in the works for quite some time. If you want to know the real story I'm afraid you will have to talk to a physicist. I'm going to listen too. Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Date: Wed, 15 Aug 2012 18:05:26 +0300 Subject: RE: Ice Hi, How are you? Surviving the summer? Check out this article: "The odds that natural variability created these extremes are minuscule, vanishingly small. To count on those odds would be like quitting your job and playing the lottery every morning to pay the bills." http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/climate-change-is-here--and-worse-than-we-thought/2012/08/03/6ae604c2-dd90-11e1-8e43-4a3c4375504a_story.html?socialreader_check=0&denied=1 Pretty hard-hitting article on climate change... and I found the website of the National Science Academy that released the report with evidence to prove it: http://nas-sites.org/americasclimatechoices/new-resources-about-climate-change/ I just returned to Doha from 2 weeks in Palestine for a vacation. I used to work in Ramallah for a couple years as a journalist and in NGOs, so I got to see all of my good friends that are still living there and see what's changed in terms of the occupation. Many checkpoints, some of the worst in the West Bank actually, were dismantled. But now the Israeli military sets up flying checkpoints in random places and at random times to train their new soldiers on West Bank protocol. There are 3 zones of control in the West Bank, Area A is Palestinian Authority, Area B is no mans land, and Area C is Israeli controlled. Area C makes up about 60% of the West Bank. There are still Palestinians living on land in Area C and they are constantly being harrassed by the Israeli settlers and military. They get demolition orders on entire villages and towns. The Bedouin are especially hard hit by this policy... I visited some Bedouin villages in the South Hebron Hills that have pending demolition orders. There are 8 of these villages due to be demolished in the coming months. These are Bedouin communities made of tents and the people have nothing but some animals for income. Many of my friends said that the Israelis are planning to officially annex Area C soon, and then what's left will be the future "state" of Palestine. If they do that, it will probably start the 3rd Intifada because what's left will be isolated 'bantustans' of Area A land that aren't contiguous and won't really control their borders completely. Anyways... lots happening over there. Let me know what you think about the climate change articles! Renee Lewis ________________________________________ From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Thursday, July 26, 2012 10:24 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: Ice >Hi, > >How are you? > >Check this out: "Shock Greenland ice thaw has experts gushing" > >http://www.aljazeera.com/news/europe/2012/07/201272565759801478.html > >What do you think? Cyclical event or global warming? It's a part of both. Things go up and down. There is a perverse "procession" in the city of Echternach: the faithful walk to the church but to show their devotion they go three steps forwards and then two steps backwards. Eventually they get there, of course, but they will have walked 5 times as much. Whenever the climate goes cold (steps backwards) those who deny global warming scream global warming clearly is a hoax and we can continue burning fossil fuels, and whenever the climate goes forwards those who are activists scream that it is already too late. But, unfortunately, like in Echternach, global warming will eventually get there. Also unfortunately it is difficult for the general public to see the trend in all the swings up and down. Plus that it's really very difficult to predict which parts of the world will get really hot and which may cool down for a while. For example, if some models are right, then one effect is that the Gulf stream will stop, and that means Europe will get a lot colder and wetter. This seems effectively to be so from what I have observed in my lifetime. Europe is of course very high in the North (I think I already mentioned that Geneva is north of Montreal, or North of Portland, Oregon, and Oslo is about the same latitude as Anchorage.) so our climate here is a freak of the Gulf stream. We may get colder here for a while, but on average the world is definitely heating up, and fast too. It is not a cyclical event, rather an unusual event (like throwing heads five times in a row) that on average so far seems to have occurred about once every 150 years. The scientist Lora Koenig made a very bad error in public communication by adding "this event is right on time" where she should have said nothing at all. It is a pure coincidence that it happened almost exactly after 150 years, and she could not resist talking about that coincidence. Bad communication, but something that a journalist would jump on. Unless I have misunderstood, the spacing of the events is random, so they are not cyclical, but if you look at a space of 1500 years you will have a high probability of observing about ten of them. She then continued with a statement she should have elaborated on: "if we continue to observe melting events like this in upcoming years, it will be worrisome" And that too she should have rephrased to: "if we're beginning to observe them more frequently than in the past, it is a sign of global warming". People just do not understand statistics and probability, and even scientists have very great difficulty talking about them. Sigh. Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Ice ... "The odds that natural variability created these extremes are minuscule, vanishingly small. To count on those odds would be like quitting your job and playing the lottery every morning to pay the bills."... Yes, I have always thought that the scientists were far too timid and cautious. They are driven by peer opinions, so if they make a wrong statement then their careers are severely damaged. Hence they will only go for what is proved. However, they all know the situation is far, far, worse than they can scientifically prove. So they are not as outspoken as they should be. This is bad in one sense. Yet if they were more outspoken and then even a tiny detail is wrong, the global warming deniers will just have won the entire argument. :-( I think we have loused up the planet, and while I will freely admit that Europe loused up the world with the wars of the 20th century, the US is lousing up the world now, with denial of global warming. (so are the Chinese and the Indians) So... what to do to survive? I think we'll soon see massive catastrophes. Billions of people dying. I give it another ten years before all hell breaks loose. I just returned to Doha from 2 weeks in Palestine for a vacation. Sounds good. Many checkpoints, some of the worst in the West Bank actually, were dismantled. But now the Israeli military sets up flying checkpoints in random places and at random times to train their new soldiers on West Bank protocol. It's a mess. Anyone who has not understood that the State of Israel is the cause of all the troubles in the Middle East and much of Islamic fundamentalism, just has no brains. These guys just keep building and annexing and creating fait-accomplis. And they get away with it each time. ... These are Bedouin communities made of tents and the people have nothing but some animals for income. It's difficult when the adversary has all the power of the West behind them. Many of my friends said that the Israelis are planning to officially annex Area C soon, and then what's left will be the future "state" of Palestine. If they do that, it will probably start the 3rd Intifada because what's left will be isolated 'bantustans' of Area A land that aren't contiguous and won't really control their borders completely. Absolutely. But anytime one dares to say anything against Israel they are accused of antisemitism. Did you see the stuff about the German state that declared that circumcision was bodily harm done to minors? Immediately the rabbis cried "Shoah" (which is of course irrelevant, but Judaism is extremely good at mixing everything with everything). And of course the Muslims advanced the argument of religious freedom. And of course circumcision *IS* bodily harm done to non-consenting minors. Or rather minors who even do not yet have the awareness to be consenting or non-consenting. Religious freedom? For the mutilated little kids? Those kids have no religious freedom whatever. (*) Anyways... lots happening over there. Yes. And the temperature is rising too. Well, I'm going to watch "University Challenge" in half an hour. Some fun at least. Robert. (*) there is also the argument of enhanced sexual pleasure. But how can that be measured? How many men have had a great sex life before circumcision, then had it done and then had another great time with sex? Only those have any right to talk about it. Similar to the crap (sorry, "well-founded opinion") that meat from ritually slaughtered animals is so much better. I have eaten both, and I can testify that badly cooked bad meat is badly cooked bad meat, and good meat is good meat, irrespective of how it was killed. But those who argue in favur are usually those who have not even had non-halal or non-kosher meat. So they are talking about it in the same way the Pope is talking about marital sex. Bah. I'm getting carried away again. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Date: Thu, 23 Aug 2012 18:28:23 +0300 Subject: RE: Ice Hi, Summary of world news: fuel crises, droughts, food prices up/world-wide food riots predicted, war mongering that could possibly lead to WWIII, floods, extreme weather.... Ughh... That makes sense what you said about scientists not wanting to risk their reputation on something they are not 100% sure about... but at the same time, we need something to wake up the world. Something strong enough so that people pressure the people making millions and billions and trillions off of the oil and natural gas industry to stop/switch to green and renewable energy. They can make money there too can't they?? What is their deal? So, I agree with your 10 year theory... except I don't expect it to take that long! I think things are going to start accelerating rapidly downhill soon. We are just seeing the rumbles at this point of something really big. But then there are the people who say, "Oh everyone thinks their time is "especially bad" and that they will see the end of the world! How are we any different?!" What would you say to those people? I mean, I would start with the environmental damage we have inflicted since the Industrial 'Revolution' as being completely unprecedented. We used up most of the oil we could find in about 100 years - oil that has taken billions (?) of years to accumulate... and we used it that fast. That's definitely strange, unprecedented. The extreme weather... it seems obvious to me, I don't really know what to say to people who deny it. I think the fact that we have consolidated power into larger and larger nation-states means increased ability to do some real damage to people, and the fact that we have nuclear weapons and chemical weapons - all of which are more destructive than anything I have heard about. Another factor is the homogenization of the world. Diversity is an evolutionary tactic, we should be as diverse as possible as a species in terms of what we eat, how we live, etc... that way if one way of life collapses there are still other options. But now we are moving towards all living the same way - a very destruction of the earth-intensive way.... that will inevitably collapse as we destroy the environment. That means MASS deaths because everyone's trying to live the same way. Exceptions being some rural villagers/tribal societies.... On a slightly related note, have you heard of the Bilderberg Group? New World Order and all that good stuff.... their plan is to (at some point in the near future) convince the world that its better to all live under ONE government/leadership/monetary system. What would world leaders/elite have to do to make that happen? Mass chaos and destruction to the point where people would "need" them to come in and create order. David Rockefeller (A member of Bilderberg) Sept. 23, 1994: "This present window of opportunity, during which a truly peaceful and interdependent world order might be built, will not be open for too long — We are on the verge of a global transformation. All we need is the right major crisis and the nations will accept the New World Order." What do you think? Too conspiratorial? Renee Lewis ________________________________________ From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Monday, August 20, 2012 9:33 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: RE: Ice >... "The odds that natural variability created these extremes are >minuscule, vanishingly small. To count on those odds would be like >quitting your job and playing the lottery every morning to pay the >bills."... Yes, I have always thought that the scientists were far too timid and cautious. They are driven by peer opinions, so if they make a wrong statement then their careers are severely damaged. Hence they will only go for what is proved. However, they all know the situation is far, far, worse than they can scientifically prove. So they are not as outspoken as they should be. This is bad in one sense. Yet if they were more outspoken and then even a tiny detail is wrong, the global warming deniers will just have won the entire argument. :-( I think we have loused up the planet, and while I will freely admit that Europe loused up the world with the wars of the 20th century, the US is lousing up the world now, with denial of global warming. (so are the Chinese and the Indians) So... what to do to survive? I think we'll soon see massive catastrophes. Billions of people dying. I give it another ten years before all hell breaks loose. >I just returned to Doha from 2 weeks in Palestine for a vacation. Sounds good. >Many checkpoints, some of the worst in the West Bank actually, were >dismantled. But now the Israeli military sets up flying checkpoints >in random places and at random times to train their new soldiers on >West Bank protocol. It's a mess. Anyone who has not understood that the State of Israel is the cause of all the troubles in the Middle East and much of Islamic fundamentalism, just has no brains. These guys just keep building and annexing and creating fait-accomplis. And they get away with it each time. >... These are Bedouin communities made of tents and the people have >nothing but some animals for income. It's difficult when the adversary has all the power of the West behind them. >Many of my friends said that the Israelis are planning to officially >annex Area C soon, and then what's left will be the future "state" >of Palestine. If they do that, it will probably start the 3rd >Intifada because what's left will be isolated 'bantustans' of Area A >land that aren't contiguous and won't really control their borders >completely. Absolutely. But anytime one dares to say anything against Israel they are accused of antisemitism. Did you see the stuff about the German state that declared that circumcision was bodily harm done to minors? Immediately the rabbis cried "Shoah" (which is of course irrelevant, but Judaism is extremely good at mixing everything with everything). And of course the Muslims advanced the argument of religious freedom. And of course circumcision *IS* bodily harm done to non-consenting minors. Or rather minors who even do not yet have the awareness to be consenting or non-consenting. Religious freedom? For the mutilated little kids? Those kids have no religious freedom whatever. (*) >Anyways... lots happening over there. Yes. And the temperature is rising too. Well, I'm going to watch "University Challenge" in half an hour. Some fun at least. Robert. (*) there is also the argument of enhanced sexual pleasure. But how can that be measured? How many men have had a great sex life before circumcision, then had it done and then had another great time with sex? Only those have any right to talk about it. Similar to the crap (sorry, "well-founded opinion") that meat from ritually slaughtered animals is so much better. I have eaten both, and I can testify that badly cooked bad meat is badly cooked bad meat, and good meat is good meat, irrespective of how it was killed. But those who argue in favur are usually those who have not even had non-halal or non-kosher meat. So they are talking about it in the same way the Pope is talking about marital sex. Bah. I'm getting carried away again. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Ice Hi, Summary of world news: fuel crises, droughts, food prices up/world-wide food riots predicted, war mongering that could possibly lead to WWIII, floods, extreme weather.... Ughh... Yes. That's why ten years ago I tried to find a place on the planet to survive these storms. Could not find one though. That makes sense what you said about scientists not wanting to risk their reputation on something they are not 100% sure about... It is a very unfortunate thing that they are generally so bad at communication. but at the same time, we need something to wake up the world. Something strong enough so that people pressure the people making millions and billions and trillions off of the oil and natural gas industry to stop/switch to green and renewable energy. They can make money there too can't they?? What is their deal? I agree, but short of a very bloody revolution in which about half the people die, it seems there is not much hope. So, I agree with your 10 year theory... except I don't expect it to take that long! And I thought I was pessimistic. I think things are going to start accelerating rapidly downhill soon. We are just seeing the rumbles at this point of something really big. But then there are the people who say, "Oh everyone thinks their time is "especially bad" and that they will see the end of the world! How are we any different?!" Quite. What would you say to those people? I mean, I would start with the environmental damage we have inflicted since the Industrial 'Revolution' as being completely unprecedented. Nice phrase. May I use it in my talks? We used up most of the oil we could find in about 100 years - oil that has taken billions (?) No, but hundreds of millions. A factor ten less. of years to accumulate... and we used it that fast. That's definitely strange, unprecedented. Indeed. I remember my professor of organic chemistry making remarks about it, and that was 1966. The extreme weather... it seems obvious to me, I don't really know what to say to people who deny it. You can't say anything. I think it's a waste of time. One just has to do things instead, concentrate on results, and avoid arguments with deniers. I just read an article in Scientific American (or was it New Scientist?) which gives a very simple calculation. It goes like this: In our temperate zones there is a drop of 5¼C in the average temperature for about every 800km you go North. (being a good scientist, I checked this by looking up average temperatures for Porthsmouth in the south of the UK and for places in Scotland in the North; and it is indeed 5 degrees and they are approx. 800km apart). If the average temperature goes up by 5¼C but it takes a century to do so, then all the environmental conditions move north by 800km. Animals and plants that need colder climes will have to migrate North. Fine, but 800km in a century is 8km per year or 8000metres per year or 22metres PER DAY. The article said that squirrels might be able to keep up with that, but oaks and earthmorms could not. I think neither could ants. Bees might just do it: if they make a nest one year, then the next year they have to fly 8km north to build the next nest. But I don't know if it works that way. There are other effects though: Switzerland has "marmottes", a kind of ground burrowing rodent that is cuddly and toy marmottes are sold as stuffed animals for kids or for tourists: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marmot However, because they prefer the cold mountains, they are now all doomed: to get from one moutain to another, they have to travel down the valley and then up again. The valleys are now too hot, so they stay on their moutains. It's much like the sea rising and the land becoming split into islands. So all populations are now disconnected, inbreeding and going down rapidly. Etc. I think the fact that we have consolidated power into larger and larger nation-states means increased ability to do some real damage to people, and the fact that we have nuclear weapons and chemical weapons - all of which are more destructive than anything I have heard about. Correct. Too large states and not quite a world state yet. (According to Star Trek policy of the United Federation of Planets, a planet must first have achieved a single global government before it can apply for membership in the Federation). The United Nations was a good attempt, but unfortunately it is genuinely supported only by the smaller states. The big ones don't like it: Russia, the US, China) Another factor is the homogenization of the world. Diversity is an evolutionary tactic, Is it? I'd like to hear your argument. we should be as diverse as possible as a species in terms of what we eat, how we live, etc... that way if one way of life collapses there are still other options. This has indeed been put forward, but I'm not sure I believe it is true. or rather,... see below: But now we are moving towards all living the same way - a very destruction of the earth-intensive way.... that will inevitably collapse as we destroy the environment. I think there are two different mechanisms possible for dealing with change: one is to observe the change and modify ways of living accordingly. That is what most migrating peoples have done over history. The other is to cramp up and stubbornly stick to "traditional" ways, denying the necessity for change. To my knowledge all societies who did that perished. Your solution of diversity proposes implicitly that people normally cramp up, and therefore when change comes most societies die, leaving only those who by coincidence have the right way of life to cope with the change. But to survive the next change, the survivors of the first have to diversify fast, before that next change hits. That is the slow mechanism of evolution. I agree it is one method, but is it not rather a sad method, that denies that we can think. Some of us anyway. Perhaps what will really happen is that the long-term thinkers and most aware, ingenious people will survive and the cramped deniers will perish? Then we would have another step in evolution of the human species. That means MASS deaths because everyone's trying to live the same way. Exceptions being some rural villagers/tribal societies.... Curiously, another article in the September issue of Scientific American argues the same: if we run out of resources, will we fall back to tribal societies and endless wars? Note: the September issue is always an issue with a single theme. this one is interesting and perhaps you should buy it. Its cover is grey, with the title "Beyond the Limits of Science". It just arrived in the post yesterday and I have not read it all. On a slightly related note, have you heard of the Bilderberg Group? New World Order and all that good stuff.... their plan is to (at some point in the near future) convince the world that its better to all live under ONE government/leadership/monetary system. As said, we need that before we can apply to the United Federation of Planets, and we will not be allowed to travel outside our solar system before wwe have achieved it. ;-) David Rockefeller (A member of Bilderberg) Sept. 23, 1994: "This present window of opportunity, during which a truly peaceful and interdependent world order might be built, will not be open for too long Ñ We are on the verge of a global transformation. All we need is the right major crisis and the nations will accept the New World Order." What do you think? Too conspiratorial? Good intention. However, between the lines I can see a perverse, subconscious urge: to create that major crisis on purpose in order to achieve the goal. It has been attempted before. Dangerous. The end result is however necessary. Problem is who will be the police? We have been attempting a mini-version of that in Europe after WW2. But it is difficult, and after 60 years still very much a work in progress. :-| Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: Re: Hey! Hi, How are you? I just saw that Al Jazeera TV did an interview with you! Awesome! You must have had a hand in it I suppose. (where/how can I see it??) Now, I have met several Al Jazeera journalists, and they are invariably women. Here is Charlie Angela and the cameraman Ben Mitchell: They are standing in front of a display that includes the replica/twin of the original first web server. The picture was taken in the CERN computing centre, where in fact the web development never was. Somehow journalists always come to CERN with their mind made up that it all happened in the computing centre. So I took them to all the relevant places, but they had to go see the centre. Fine, I obliged. And we did the interview there. I do admit that the original web server is now in the "globe" and displayed in a totally ridiculous way, unsuited for shooting, so the replica in the computing centre reception hall was better as a background. It was quite surprising to me that "Charlie" is the first name of a girl, and "Angela" her family name. But that probably shows my age more than anything else. They arrived roughly at 13:00, and I took them back to the airport by 18:00. They did not see much of CERN, but the encounter was very nice (at least, it was to me!). So, with you, Jessica Baldwin and Charlie Angela I now have a sample of 3 females out of three. But that is good. I have always thought that women are more powerful than men in many ways. With my wife, three daughters and a granddaughter, I am perhaps biased. (BTW: this is Nora, the granddaughter, when she was a few months old. You can already see the full attention, determination, and perhaps stubbornness as well: You are not going to fool this kid! I love her, she is very sweet, but at 3.5 years now, also a manipulator and intelligent. We are great accomplices. Future Al Jazeera investigator? :) Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Hey!, etc. At 3:23 PM +0000 12/13/12, Renee Lewis wrote: Just saw this, they put me on the global email list so I now receive hundreds of emails every day and most of the time I don't have the patience to sort through thoroughly... You can make "filters" so that mail arrives automatically in a special mailbox reserved for it, then you can look at that when you want. You can even filter inside that too. I saw your interview! Very cool! I just uploaded it to our YouTube channel so it can be more widely viewed for those who don't get Al Jazeera English on TV. Here's the link: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hzJvXFsno8Y Ah, yes, thanks, I saw it, but it's true that I saw this message only after the earlier one, and I responded to the earlier one first to get the link. Thanks. Shows that I too do not go through everyhting consecutively... Will send you a photo of myself soon to be fair! :) Here is one of hte entire family (which I may have sent before, I don't remember) from left to right: me, my daughter Ariane, my wife Susan, her daughter Sophie, granddaughter Nora-the-devil, and finally Nora's mother Stéphanie, the second daughter of Susan. R. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Hey!, etc. I have tried to make filters but I think I need to bring IT down to help me figure it out ;) hahaha IT? You manage to get help from IT? I have a couple of photos attached... Thanks. I find it difficult to chat with someone if I have no clue what they are like. You have a great looking family! And I can see what you mean about your granddaughter ;) She will be fun as a teenager! Here she is when she was only a few months old: No way your'e going to fool that kid. But she is usually sweet: And I let her do too many things, at least when she was very little, like walking on my desk: She loves airplanes but her mother would never let her go up with me: Voilˆ. (I guess you can sense she has a very proud grandfather, even if he is not at all genetically connected.) Thanks, Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: Hey! Hi, How are you? I just saw that Al Jazeera TV did an interview with you! Awesome! Hope you are doing well! Renee Lewis From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Hello! Thread-Topic: Hello! Hi, How's it going? Just saw this, they put me on the global email list so I now receive hundreds of emails every day and most of the time I don't have the patience to sort through thoroughly... I saw your interview! Very cool! I just uploaded it to our YouTube channel so it can be more widely viewed for those who don't get Al Jazeera English on TV. Here's the link: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hzJvXFsno8Y Will send you a photo of myself soon to be fair! Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Monday, December 10, 2012 10:36 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: RE: Hello! How's it going? Very hectic... Hence very late reply. Check this out: http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2012/06/120625-sea-level-rise-east-coast-us-science-nature-climate-change/ (When I posted this on Facebook, I got a comment from a friend saying its because Americans are becoming so obese that when they go in the ocean they cause the rise... if only!) Well, it's not far off I think. ;) However, I just read that the quickest rise we can expect is 1m per century. But... those calculations are based on fossil measurements of what happened after the last ice age. That took a long time, whereas the current melting of Greenland and Antarctica is much much faster. So I don't believe this: I think we're in for 1m per decade, and "real soon now". BTW, one of your colleagues has asked for an interview for Al Jazeera on Wednesday. About the ITU conference currently going on in Dubai. I don't know too much about it, but she thought I was interesting enough to send a reporter to CERN. I will say a few things, and then point out that the climate conference in Doha is much more important. It is in fact strange that it is easier to stir up interest for internet governance than for global warming. Sigh. About the floods in the UK we had a similar, yet opposite, experience this summer in the Northwest US... all of Washington state was on fire while I was back home with my family in SE Washington. There were several large fires that merged into one superfire - at which point humans can't do anything about it but try to contain it with fire lines. Indeed. Well, we could if we had Star Trek type technology. I think the fires are getting more and more intense because humans don't allow natural burning of the underbrush because we want to control everything. So the underbrush gets thicker and thicker and then when summer comes around and a fire starts there's an unnatural amount of fuel so the fire gets massive. That is indeed one of the reasons. ... like parsley has become a garnish now, but people used to put it on their food for a reason - because it helps with digestion... now its just a decoration and we hardly even eat it I hate parsley. I love chervil. (but I digress too) Especially because we now have such a big population as humans, if we all try to live the same way it will completely overwhelm the earth... which we are already seeing. Its because the way most people want to live these days is the American/Western model of consuming and consuming and consuming... so its a bad way and now everyone's doing it. The root of it is the monetary system. Because of automated production goods are cheaper to produce and the margin of profit falls. Yet you need just as much for certain other things such as housing or medical services. So we need to comsume more and more in order to still get the profit to pay for those non-automated things. We need to find a way to change the value of, say, paper towels, so that they cost a lot more than they do. But it is difficult except by regulations. Have you heard of the book Ishmael by Daniel Quinn? He talks about the "takers" versus "leavers"... Our civilization is made of Takers... and Tribal/Indigenous people are the leavers. It's more complicated than that, but it certainly began like that. Most of us now are takers. I had not heard of Quinn. Looking up the Wikipedia article I was amused to read "he underwent two unsuccessful marriages". I'm undergoing my marriage? Interesting view, I'm sure my wife does not agree. I also noted he wanted to become a Trappist monk but failed. He certainly is an "original" if not quite eccentric. ... Tribal people lived in a relative balance with the environment and at least understood the impact on the environment of what they did... Yes, though tribes were also constantly at war with each other. It was not peaceful. And certainly not comfortable. He also discusses tribal wars. ... So maybe a couple would die but it wasn't thousands or millions dying in these tribal wars. A "couple". Say two in a tribe of 100. That's 2%. In WWII there were 2.5% causalties. Does not sound very different to me. Tribal systems are closer to animal societies. They dont kill for fun, they kill when they are hungry and eat everything. If a lion came up to an impala and wasn't hungry, he might practice pouncing on it and play around with it but it wouldn't kill it in most cases. Have you seen this happen? Anyways, Daniel Quinn's books are really good in my opinion. Almost like an alien view of our 'modern civilization' and not a nice view either. One of his other books called Story of B is about the institutionalized religions that came along with civilization... the main character is a priest who is sent to investigate a man who the church thinks is the anti-Christ. Not to speak of what goes on in the much more dangerous monotheism of Islam. Very interesting books... Indeed. They at least put some existing stuff into a very new perspective. (which is what I also appreciated in Star Trek) Hopefully I answered the questions that you meant... Some indeed. The one I'm most curious about is to know what you look like, since you know what I look like. :) Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Hey! Hi, Sent it to you earlier but here it is again :) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F40xUfMX1zw Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Thursday, December 13, 2012 10:38 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: Re: Hey! Hi, How are you? I just saw that Al Jazeera TV did an interview with you! Awesome! You must have had a hand in it I suppose. (where/how can I see it??) Now, I have met several Al Jazeera journalists, and they are invariably women. Here is Charlie Angela and the cameraman Ben Mitchell: They are standing in front of a display that includes the replica/twin of the original first web server. The picture was taken in the CERN computing centre, where in fact the web development never was. Somehow journalists always come to CERN with their mind made up that it all happened in the computing centre. So I took them to all the relevant places, but they had to go see the centre. Fine, I obliged. And we did the interview there. I do admit that the original web server is now in the "globe" and displayed in a totally ridiculous way, unsuited for shooting, so the replica in the computing centre reception hall was better as a background. It was quite surprising to me that "Charlie" is the first name of a girl, and "Angela" her family name. But that probably shows my age more than anything else. They arrived roughly at 13:00, and I took them back to the airport by 18:00. They did not see much of CERN, but the encounter was very nice (at least, it was to me!). So, with you, Jessica Baldwin and Charlie Angela I now have a sample of 3 females out of three. But that is good. I have always thought that women are more powerful than men in many ways. With my wife, three daughters and a granddaughter, I am perhaps biased. (BTW: this is Nora, the granddaughter, when she was a few months old. You can already see the full attention, determination, and perhaps stubbornness as well: You are not going to fool this kid! I love her, she is very sweet, but at 3.5 years now, also a manipulator and intelligent. We are great accomplices. Future Al Jazeera investigator? :) Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Hey!, etc. Hi, How's it going? I have tried to make filters but I think I need to bring IT down to help me figure it out ;) hahaha I have a couple of photos attached, don't have many recent ones so they are random! The first is at my cousins wedding last spring: Left to Right: Sister (Rachel) Brother in law (Kole) Sister (Teri) Cousin (Liz) and her husband Eric, Mom, Dad, then me The second photo was just a few days ago at a hotel restaurant here in Doha with a friend of mine, EJ You have a great looking family! And I can see what you mean about your granddaughter ;) She will be fun as a teenager! Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Friday, December 14, 2012 11:48 AM To: Renee Lewis Subject: RE: Hey!, etc. Just saw this, they put me on the global email list so I now receive hundreds of emails every day and most of the time I don't have the patience to sort through thoroughly... You can make "filters" so that mail arrives automatically in a special mailbox reserved for it, then you can look at that when you want. You can even filter inside that too. I saw your interview! Very cool! I just uploaded it to our YouTube channel so it can be more widely viewed for those who don't get Al Jazeera English on TV. Here's the link: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hzJvXFsno8Y Ah, yes, thanks, I saw it, but it's true that I saw this message only after the earlier one, and I responded to the earlier one first to get the link. Thanks. Shows that I too do not go through everyhting consecutively... Will send you a photo of myself soon to be fair! :) Here is one of hte entire family (which I may have sent before, I don't remember) from left to right: me, my daughter Ariane, my wife Susan, her daughter Sophie, granddaughter Nora-the-devil, and finally Nora's mother Stéphanie, the second daughter of Susan. R. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: Photos I should have added that you all look brilliant, and far much younger than I had thought. R. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Hello! Hi, How's it going? Check this out: http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2012/06/120625-sea-level-rise-east-coast-us-science-nature-climate-change/ (When I posted this on Facebook, I got a comment from a friend saying its because Americans are becoming so obese that when they go in the ocean they cause the rise... if only!) Thanks for the link about Heinrich events... makes sense and is VERY scary. Considering that ice in the northern hemisphere is disappearing fast, faster than they even thought it could! http://science.howstuffworks.com/environmental/earth/geophysics/arctic-ice.htm And some of the current satellite images compared to what they expected: http://nsidc.org/arcticseaicenews/ About the floods in the UK we had a similar, yet opposite, experience this summer in the Northwest US... all of Washington state was on fire while I was back home with my family in SE Washington. There were several large fires that merged into one superfire - at which point humans can't do anything about it but try to contain it with fire lines. I think the fires are getting more and more intense because humans don't allow natural burning of the underbrush because we want to control everything. So the underbrush gets thicker and thicker and then when summer comes around and a fire starts there's an unnatural amount of fuel so the fire gets massive. I like the human-triggered disasters term... because I think most of what we call natural disasters are human triggered because we are so out of whack with the earth in these times. Our progressing 'civilization' is so unnatural, from the little things like how we eat (choosing foods separate from their function and purpose, as opposed to eating food and treating it like medicine... like parsley has become a garnish now, but people used to put it on their food for a reason - because it helps with digestion... now its just a decoration and we hardly even eat it). But I digress... I don't know which questions you meant when you said there were some unanswered. I did see a couple though so hopefully they are what you were talking about. >What would you say to those people? I mean, I >would start with the environmental damage we >have inflicted since the Industrial 'Revolution' >as being completely unprecedented. Nice phrase. May I use it in my talks? Yep! >Diversity as an evolutionary tactic? Especially because we now have such a big population as humans, if we all try to live the same way it will completely overwhelm the earth... which we are already seeing. Its because the way most people want to live these days is the American/Western model of consuming and consuming and consuming... so its a bad way and now everyone's doing it. If it was just one country that chose a dangerous path they would be the ones who face the consequences and the rest would live on. But now, its spreading around the world... and since its a bad way to live (earth-wise, health-wise...) and everyone wants to live that way we will meet the limit soon and collapse in my opinion. Then it will just be small tribes and indigenous people left that never assimilated into this "civilization" - thats IF the earth is still habitable at that point... >Falling into tribal societies and endless wars... Have you heard of the book Ishmael by Daniel Quinn? He talks about the "takers" versus "leavers"... Our civilization is made of Takers... and Tribal/Indigenous people are the leavers. I dont think that our civilization and the direction its going is good for the earth or humans... we take more than we need and don't think about the consequences. Tribal people lived in a relative balance with the environment and at least understood the impact on the environment of what they did... they had a whole different mindset on their relationship with the earth. They thought about the next generations and leaving enough for them. Many civilized people dont even think about leaving enough for their own friends/family... He also discusses tribal wars. Although they may have been more frequent they were not as intense and destructive. Basically they would spar with neighboring tribes every once in a while just to remind them of the unmarked borders and to prove the other tribe couldn't come in to their land without a fight. So maybe a couple would die but it wasn't thousands or millions dying in these tribal wars. Tribal systems are closer to animal societies. They dont kill for fun, they kill when they are hungry and eat everything. If a lion came up to an impala and wasn't hungry, he might practice pouncing on it and play around with it but it wouldn't kill it in most cases. Anyways, Daniel Quinn's books are really good in my opinion. Almost like an alien view of our 'modern civilization' and not a nice view either. One of his other books called Story of B is about the institutionalized religions that came along with civilization... the main character is a priest who is sent to investigate a man who the church thinks is the anti-Christ. So the priest goes to all this guy's talks and by the end he ends up agreeing with what this guy says (very anti-organized religion but not necessarily anti-spirituality) and that he is the anti-Christ but thats not a bad thing.... Very interesting books... Hopefully I answered the questions that you meant... Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Wednesday, October 24, 2012 11:18 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: Re: Hello! How are you? Well, and you? I'm back in Doha again with Al Jazeera after a break back in the US spending time with my family... I just came across this article saying that groundwater extraction can cause earthquakes: http://www.ouramazingplanet.com/3665-earthquake-triggered-by-humans.html It made me wonder what else *(besides fracking... already know about that one...) we do that causes natural disasters. What do you think? Yes, certainly extracting groundwater at rates higher than it can be replenished can (will) cause earthquakes. Plausible, no? Global warming -> ice shelf danger of Heinrich events (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heinrich_event) When I learned of those, I really got frightened. The recent floods in the UK were predicted more than a decade ago as the plausible effect of drying up floodplains. And then building on them (which is why they were dried up in the first place) of course makes victims as soon as there is a lot of water that the plain will no longer absorb. But nobody listened of course. In fact these disasters should not be called natural disasters, but human-triggered disasters. I believe the dust-bowl disasters in the US were also human triggered. The current ecological state of Greece finds its origin in severe deforestation about two millennia ago (unless I am remembering something wrongly). Switzerland stopped all deep geothermal drilling (the Basel experiment) because of possible earthquakes. As Kurt Vonnegut would have said: "and on and on". Robert. PS: Note that in previous messages there are some of my questions you have left unanswered. :) To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Hello! How's it going? Very hectic... Hence very late reply. Check this out: http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2012/06/120625-sea-level-rise-east-coast-us-science-nature-climate-change/ (When I posted this on Facebook, I got a comment from a friend saying its because Americans are becoming so obese that when they go in the ocean they cause the rise... if only!) Well, it's not far off I think. ;) However, I just read that the quickest rise we can expect is 1m per century. But... those calculations are based on fossil measurements of what happened after the last ice age. That took a long time, whereas the current melting of Greenland and Antarctica is much much faster. So I don't believe this: I think we're in for 1m per decade, and "real soon now". BTW, one of your colleagues has asked for an interview for Al Jazeera on Wednesday. About the ITU conference currently going on in Dubai. I don't know too much about it, but she thought I was interesting enough to send a reporter to CERN. I will say a few things, and then point out that the climate conference in Doha is much more important. It is in fact strange that it is easier to stir up interest for internet governance than for global warming. Sigh. About the floods in the UK we had a similar, yet opposite, experience this summer in the Northwest US... all of Washington state was on fire while I was back home with my family in SE Washington. There were several large fires that merged into one superfire - at which point humans can't do anything about it but try to contain it with fire lines. Indeed. Well, we could if we had Star Trek type technology. I think the fires are getting more and more intense because humans don't allow natural burning of the underbrush because we want to control everything. So the underbrush gets thicker and thicker and then when summer comes around and a fire starts there's an unnatural amount of fuel so the fire gets massive. That is indeed one of the reasons. ... like parsley has become a garnish now, but people used to put it on their food for a reason - because it helps with digestion... now its just a decoration and we hardly even eat it I hate parsley. I love chervil. (but I digress too) Especially because we now have such a big population as humans, if we all try to live the same way it will completely overwhelm the earth... which we are already seeing. Its because the way most people want to live these days is the American/Western model of consuming and consuming and consuming... so its a bad way and now everyone's doing it. The root of it is the monetary system. Because of automated production goods are cheaper to produce and the margin of profit falls. Yet you need just as much for certain other things such as housing or medical services. So we need to comsume more and more in order to still get the profit to pay for those non-automated things. We need to find a way to change the value of, say, paper towels, so that they cost a lot more than they do. But it is difficult except by regulations. Have you heard of the book Ishmael by Daniel Quinn? He talks about the "takers" versus "leavers"... Our civilization is made of Takers... and Tribal/Indigenous people are the leavers. It's more complicated than that, but it certainly began like that. Most of us now are takers. I had not heard of Quinn. Looking up the Wikipedia article I was amused to read "he underwent two unsuccessful marriages". I'm undergoing my marriage? Interesting view, I'm sure my wife does not agree. I also noted he wanted to become a Trappist monk but failed. He certainly is an "original" if not quite eccentric. ... Tribal people lived in a relative balance with the environment and at least understood the impact on the environment of what they did... Yes, though tribes were also constantly at war with each other. It was not peaceful. And certainly not comfortable. He also discusses tribal wars. ... So maybe a couple would die but it wasn't thousands or millions dying in these tribal wars. A "couple". Say two in a tribe of 100. That's 2%. In WWII there were 2.5% causalties. Does not sound very different to me. Tribal systems are closer to animal societies. They dont kill for fun, they kill when they are hungry and eat everything. If a lion came up to an impala and wasn't hungry, he might practice pouncing on it and play around with it but it wouldn't kill it in most cases. Have you seen this happen? Anyways, Daniel Quinn's books are really good in my opinion. Almost like an alien view of our 'modern civilization' and not a nice view either. One of his other books called Story of B is about the institutionalized religions that came along with civilization... the main character is a priest who is sent to investigate a man who the church thinks is the anti-Christ. Not to speak of what goes on in the much more dangerous monotheism of Islam. Very interesting books... Indeed. They at least put some existing stuff into a very new perspective. (which is what I also appreciated in Star Trek) Hopefully I answered the questions that you meant... Some indeed. The one I'm most curious about is to know what you look like, since you know what I look like. :) Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: Happy New Years! Hi, How are you? Just wanted to wish you a Happy New Year! Hope you are celebrating with family and friends :) I am at work on the night shift, have watched a few New Years celebrations starting from Australia already and will be celebrating with my news desk colleagues with a shot of espresso at midnight :) Renee Lewis To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: Re: Happy New Years! Just wanted to wish you a Happy New Year! Hope you are celebrating with family and friends :) Nora & her mother have just left yesterday after a week here (exhausting!). Unfortunately the poor kid contracted chickenpox a few days before coming, you can still see some spots: As I expected, the illness did not at all affect her liveliness and energy. So we were exhausted when she left and need to recuperate now... ;-) I am at work on the night shift, have watched a few New Years celebrations starting from Australia already and will be celebrating with my news desk colleagues with a shot of espresso at midnight :) Have fun. It's really stupid, is it not, to celebrate the new year in this way: (a) at different times on the planet, (b) at the same time in each time zone, whereby time zones have rather arbitrary contours, (c) at some arbitrary day of the year, when the actual passing of the Earth through one of the important points of its orbit was ten days ago, the difference being accumulated by various historic accidents and political/religious manipulations. As Spock of Star Trek would say: "You (Earthlings) are after all essentially irrational." Have fun, say hello to anyone I know, Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Picture in wishes Date: Mon, 24 Dec 2012 15:01:16 +0000 Awesome! Happy Holidays! Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Friday, December 21, 2012 10:48 PM Subject: Picture in wishes Dear all, some of you have queried about the picture of the woman at the bottom left in the solstice wishes: I myself do not(yet) read Arabic, and I suppose most of you do not either. It says: "Uprising of Women in the Arab World". I forgot to include the relevant link: http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?fbid=501327303231431&set=a.279290865435077.72328.279245495439614&type=1&theater (glide the pointer over the picture, a left and right arrow appear and you can click through a number of pictures.) It is this movement that was the cause of my optimism. :-) Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Happy New Years! Date: Mon, 18 Mar 2013 08:45:54 +0000 Hi, How are you? It's been a while! Hope everything is good with you in Europe... been pretty cold lately, odd isn't it? Also the stuff about Cyprus going on right now is pretty interesting... making the people bail out the banks, literally taking money from their savings accounts. I have a Cypriot friend who said he will lose about 2,000 euros if they don't change the tax rate they already stated for accounts with less than 100,000 euros (6.7%). Now, with all of the backlash, the ministers are trying to lower that rate by half and raise the rate for those with more than 100,000 to about 12% from 9.9. Headed in the right direction but I think the rich peoples' tax rate should be more like 30% ... kind of like it used to be in the US before Reagan when the rich people paid even more than that and our country was not buried in debt like today. But overall, I think that Cypriots should reject this idea flat out and follow Iceland's lead and say they will not bail out the banks for the banks' own greed. Apparently, Cypriot banks were buying up Greek bonds before the crash like crazy and that's the main reason why they are failing now. So why should someone have to lose part of their life savings because of that?? Iceland is doing quite well now I think, the rebuilt the financial institutions from scratch and replaced the leaders who thought the people should have to pay for the banks' mistakes. I wonder why no one made a big deal out of Iceland... even Al Jazeera didn't cover it much as I recall. A few features or op-eds every now and then but compared to what the people accomplished there we didn't do much to promote it. Things are good here in Doha... I am waiting to hear about a job with Al Jazeera America at the moment. I hope to get the job and transfer to San Francisco, although NYC and DC are also places they might place me if I get the job. I would really rather not live in either of those cities though, and since my family is in Washington state on the West coast I'd rather be there. I should hear back in a week or two about that... I also just got back from a vacation to Palestine. I think I told you I worked there for 2 years before I came to Al Jazeera in Doha. I went at the end of February when there was a lot of protesting and talk of a 'third Intifada' going around. The last intifada ended in 2005, and thousands of Palestinians died... The Israeli military pretty much flattened the West Bank and of course some Palestinian militant groups did suicide attacks in Israel, I think they lost a couple hundred people during that time. Its not necessarily a good thing if a new Intifada starts for either side, but at the same time maintaining the status quo, for Palestinians, just means they will continue to lose land, rights and continue to be under a brutal military occupation.... The protests recently have been about the Palestinian prisoners who are on hunger strike in protest of Israel's policy of 'administrative detention' - meaning Israel can indefinitely detain any Palestinian without trial or charges or even evidence. Samer Issawi has been on an on and off hunger strike for almost 250 days - on and off because at times he was force fed by the military doctors... he was released in the 2011 Prisoner Swap deal where Israel released over 1,000 Palestinian prisoners (and hundreds bodies of prisoners who died in prison over the decades that they were holding on to to further anger and intimidate...) in exchange for captured Israeli soldier Gilad Shalit. Samer Issawi (along with about a dozen others who were released in the deal) were rearrested soon after for dubious reasons.... and now they say he has to finish his 30 year sentence. In addition to rearresting some of those released soon after the deal, Israel also went on an arresting rampage across the West Bank and occupied East Jerusalem and soon filled up the emtpied slots.... oh Israel! One of the other hunger strikers, Ayman Sharawna - who striked on and off for over 200 days, was just released by Israel but under the condition that he would be exiled to the Gaza Strip - which is pretty much just another prison because Israel has been illegally blockading it since they "left" the strip in 2005. They also regularly attack the territory from air, land and sea.... as well as prevent necessary items from being allowed in to reconstruct destroyed buildings, infrastructure - even the sewage treatment plant cant be fixed and was targeted by Israel so now waste just collects in lakes that flood every once in a while or simply run into the mediterranean sea.... so bad! So Ayman has to go to Gaza... he is from the West Bank - where his wife, children and extended family and friends all are. So he is exiled to Gaza for 10 years away from everyone he knows and in an unsafe and hard place to live.... Anyways... The West Bank was protesting every day when I got there to free the hunger striking prisoners and anyone held under administrative detention. But it cooled off by the end of my trip, as usual... Check out my photos from the trip: https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.10101856735878318.1073741826.10703406&type=1&l=da0d826a61 And if you get the chance, I recommend two documentaries about Israel/Palestine... the first is 5 Broken Cameras - I know the filmmaker from my time covering the protests in his village, Bil'in. His film is amazing... really shows the struggle the village went through. Israel "annexed" over half of their village's land (most of the agricultural land they need to survive) to build illegal Israeli settlements and the Wall. They began protesting every week ... and faced sometimes brutal repression from the Israeli military. I was at one protest when a villager and friend of mine named Bassem Abu Rahmah was killed when an Israeli soldier shot him from about 20m with a high velocity teargas canister into his chest. What was Bassem doing at the time? He was shouting in Hebrew "Reka!" (stop) because the soldiers had trapped Israeli activists between fences and they were choking on teargas. The trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q_93nOqwmhU The other is "The law in these parts" which is a really good Israeli-made documentary about how the Israeli Supreme Court legitimizes what the military does and all about the legal system they made to govern the occupied people... and how it denies the Palestinians justice and fair trials. The trailer: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rzEy-FPw-iQ Alright, gotta get back to work. Looking forward to hearing back from you... and getting back into the apocalyptic, conspiracy talks ;) Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Monday, December 31, 2012 10:57 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: Re: Happy New Years! Just wanted to wish you a Happy New Year! Hope you are celebrating with family and friends :) Nora & her mother have just left yesterday after a week here (exhausting!). Unfortunately the poor kid contracted chickenpox a few days before coming, you can still see some spots: As I expected, the illness did not at all affect her liveliness and energy. So we were exhausted when she left and need to recuperate now... ;-) I am at work on the night shift, have watched a few New Years celebrations starting from Australia already and will be celebrating with my news desk colleagues with a shot of espresso at midnight :) Have fun. It's really stupid, is it not, to celebrate the new year in this way: (a) at different times on the planet, (b) at the same time in each time zone, whereby time zones have rather arbitrary contours, (c) at some arbitrary day of the year, when the actual passing of the Earth through one of the important points of its orbit was ten days ago, the difference being accumulated by various historic accidents and political/religious manipulations. As Spock of Star Trek would say: "You (Earthlings) are after all essentially irrational." Have fun, say hello to anyone I know, Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Happy New Years! It's been a while! Hope everything is good with you in Europe... been pretty cold lately, odd isn't it? Not so much cold as just miserable weather. Fog mostly. Also the stuff about Cyprus going on right now is pretty interesting... making the people bail out the banks, literally taking money from their savings accounts. I have a Cypriot friend who said he will lose about 2,000 euros if they don't change the tax rate they already stated for accounts with less than 100,000 euros (6.7%). The problem is: where did he get his savings from? According to what I hear & read there is a problem with Russian money, overspending on projects etc. Suppose that the government overspends on some fairly useless project, and your friend (this is all hypothetical, I am just sketching a possibility, not accusing him of anything) has a business that prospered on that money (e.g. he runs a contracting business that built part of a building that has no real use). He cannot really complain. It would be worse if there had been nothing at all. Also, what happens (again, I am not defending the measures, nor am I blaming your friend, just pointing out how things may be more complex) if there is no bail-out at all? Because this tax is only a small part of the deal. The rest of the money comes from people like me, paying taxes and never having set foot in Cyprus. If there is no bailout, then will Cyprus go completely bankrupt? I guess so. Like Greece. I am paying taxes on my savings. I do agree that the people to really tax are those who made the bad loans to Greece and other bad deals. Now, with all of the backlash, the ministers are trying to lower that rate by half and raise the rate for those with more than 100,000 to about 12% from 9.9. Headed in the right direction but I think the rich peoples' tax rate should be more like 30% ... kind of like it used to be in the US before Reagan when the rich people paid even more than that and our country was not buried in debt like today. Quite. We are not rich, we have a moderate income, but we pay 33%. That is only the income tax. But there are a lot more. I think in general the people in the countries in trouble, mainly in the South, have spent too much too fast, without thinking, and the people in the North have not insisted enough on fiscal controls. But overall, I think that Cypriots should reject this idea flat out and follow Iceland's lead and say they will not bail out the banks for the banks' own greed. Agreed in some sense, but the money is gone. Apparently, Cypriot banks were buying up Greek bonds before the crash like crazy and that's the main reason why they are failing now. So why should someone have to lose part of their life savings because of that?? Because they did not deposit their savings in deposito banks but in banks that gave them some interest. If you get interest then obviously the bank has to get that interest money from someone else, i.e. they "invest" it in something that is more or less risky. When I did have some savings in the Swiss UBS bank, but on my currency account, at 0%, I was constantly called to put it into a savings account, or to invest it. I talked several times to them, listened to their proposals to buy shares or money investments, but I could not understand at all how this would work, sometimes not even what they were saying. So I stayed out of what I could not myself uderstand as a positive investment. Luckily. Iceland is doing quite well now I think, the rebuilt the financial institutions from scratch and replaced the leaders who thought the people should have to pay for the banks' mistakes. But Iceland is one of the world's oldest democracies (I visited Thingvellir ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thingvellir ) ), it is a small nation of less than half a million people, very much used to being extremely organised because of the winters and the dangerous environment. Also very highly educated. And not part of the Eurozone, so they could not apply for a bailout from anyone else anyway. Plus that their economy does not really depend on financial instruments. But I guess also that everyone lost a lot of money anyway. If not in actual numbers, then through inflation and devaluation. Look at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:EUR_against_ISK_2000-2009.png Between 2008 and 2010 the value of the krona more than halved. In addition there is 5% inflation (meaning things double in price in less than 13 years). If I had a million krona in the bank begin 2008, worth 12'500 euros, then now I still have a million krona, but they are worth only 5'550 euros now. So although I have not lost a single krona, I have effectively lost more than half of my fortune IF I want to spend it outside Iceland. Inside Iceland I am still OK: my income as a number of krona is still the same. If I want to buy a house or a piece of land, those prices have changed very little. But I'll probably have to keep driving my old car because a new one will cost me twice what I would have paid in 2008. So in effect, because they are on an island (literally) and have their own money, they do not perceive the crisis in the same way. But it is just as bad! Cyprus cannot devalue that way, because they use euros. So the only way to get things straight for them is that the wages drop dramatically. That is the only thing they can do. That and tax their savings, which is the equivalent of losing money through devaluation. Then they should (a) confront the bankers with the mistakes they made (put them in prison, fine them, fire them, whatever else they did in Iceland, (b) learn that you should understand what is going on instead of spending what you do not have (especially my money). The other alternative is to get out of the eurozone, but that would not help at all: (1) they would have to print their own money again, which is a total waste of effort, because nobody can eat that or build anything with it, (2) they would suffer immediate and massive devaluation the day after the new money was put in circulation, all imported products would rise enormously in price. (3) nobody would offer to bail them out. (4) there would be great inflation too. So, unfortunately 12% tax on monetary values is not much compared with the above catastrophes. With wages dropping but staying in the eurozone, there is also another benefit: Cyprus then becomes more attractive for investors, and those investors can still count in euros. I wonder why no one made a big deal out of Iceland... even Al Jazeera didn't cover it much as I recall. A few features or op-eds every now and then but compared to what the people accomplished there we didn't do much to promote it. Because it was just a simple case of a massive break with devaluation and inflation. Has happened before in history many times in many countries. Cyprus, Greece etc. are interesting because they are in the euro. Europe has no (not yet) agreed system of systematically subsidising weak parts of its territory. We will have to make such a system. It exists in all federal nations. Australia is constantly taking money from the rich states and pumping it into the poor ones. The same is happening all the time in the US too, but since the systems have been in place for a long time, nobody notices. Maybe you should research this once, I have not done any research about how it works in the US, but I'm sure there are US states that need funds to survive. They get subsidies all the time. The word subsidiy is not used perhaps, and there must be many mechanisms such as different tax rates, special exemptions, and a whole set of rules. But it comes down to the same thing: permanent flow of money from the rich states to the poor ones. We need to do this in the EU too, but have failed to put it into place. ... waiting to hear about a job with Al Jazeera America... Good luck! I also just got back from a vacation to Palestine. I think I told you I worked there for 2 years before I came to Al Jazeera in Doha. I went at the end of February when there was a lot of protesting and talk of a 'third Intifada' going around. The last intifada ended in 2005, and thousands of Palestinians died... The only recent thing I heard was that the UN Marathon was cancelled because Hamas forbade women to participate. Really retrograde those guys. The Israeli military pretty much flattened the West Bank and of course some Palestinian militant groups did suicide attacks in Israel, I think they lost a couple hundred people during that time. Its not necessarily a good thing if a new Intifada starts for either side, but at the same time maintaining the status quo, for Palestinians, just means they will continue to lose land, rights and continue to be under a brutal military occupation.... While the US and others continue to support a racist state. Then again, I would not want to live under Hamas rule either! Samer Issawi ... oh Israel! I recently saw a news item on a woman who saved a lot of Jews from the holocaust and got her name among the list of "righteous gentiles" in Israel. While I would have done the same, I would have refused to be labeled "gentile" which I consider a racist word. I would have accepted "citizen", but not a qualification that categorises me as not-belonging-to-a-race. ... Anyways... The West Bank was protesting every day when I got there to free the hunger striking prisoners and anyone held under administrative detention. But it cooled off by the end of my trip, as usual... And all these protests, while justified, also take away effort, emotion and energy from building a successful Palestinian economy. Check out my photos from the trip: https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.10101856735878318.1073741826.10703406&type=1&l=da0d826a61 Interesting. ... to build illegal Israeli settlements and the Wall. I don't know why the US and others support them. ... The other is "The law in these parts" which is a really good Israeli-made documentary about how the Israeli Supreme Court legitimizes what the military does and all about the legal system they made to govern the occupied people... and how it denies the Palestinians justice and fair trials. Yes, not all Israelis are bad. Like not all South African whites were supporting Apartheid. And not all Muslims are religious extremists. Nora was here again for a week. Exhausting. We keep worrying about her future. She saw water turned to ice for the first time. She had been playing with water outside, pretending to "make soup". At the end of play, she left a little plastic shovel in the pail with water (the "soup"). Next morning she went outside to play again, and immediately came back in, screaming: "there is a big worm in my soup!" Susan and I could not understand what had happened, until we realised that she meant "there is a big piece of glass in my soup", as the words for glass and worm are pronounced the same in French (verre and ver). The water had frozen during the night, and when she pulled the shovel out of the pail, the ice had come with it and she thought it was glass: Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: Re: Hello! Hi, How is everything? Hope everything is good! Yes, apart from the weather. It is end June, and I just switched the heating in the bathroom on again: 10.8C this morning. Things have been pretty crazy for me the past months. Al Jazeera announced they are going to launch an American channel based in New York. So I applied and got the job! Congratulations! .. Is been pretty intense, lots of training, workshops, meetings with our team of lawyers hahaha. Lawyers. We realize that not everyone in America is happy that "Al Jazeera" is going to be on cable TV - mostly out of ignorance - and a lot of people will be critical of our work so we can't make any major mistakes. Indeed. You will have to tell me more about Al Jazeera's take on things. We did not really discuss that ever. We'll practicing and working out any issues we come across for the next couple months before we launch. In the meantime I'm just trying to figure out New York and get an apartment - which is a whole different story! New York is not part of the US, as you know. It's like Paris is not in France, and London is not in England. ... my parents ... not too far from CERN! I was hoping you might be around to meet them, either at CERN or they could meet you for a coffee in your town. I think you and my Dad could have interesting conversations, and I know they would be excited to meet you. I'd love to do that. They will be driving from Switzerland to France and could be in the area on Friday afternoon, after 3pm. Are you in the area, and think you may have time? Let me know, thanks! Unfortunately that is bad timing: we're not in on Friday until later in the afternoon. It might or might not work. It's the birthday of Sophie, one of our daughters, and some time ago we booked a restaurant for lunch on Friday and this will not be over before 16:00 at the earliest. Under other circumstances we might envisage to go for dinner, but I can assure you that after a lunch in that restaurant we do not want to eat anything for a day... Can you give me more details? Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: Hello! Date: Thu, 27 Jun 2013 02:40:59 +0000 Hi, How is everything? Hope everything is good! Things have been pretty crazy for me the past months. Al Jazeera announced they are going to launch an American channel based in New York. So I applied and got the job! So I finished out my contract in Doha and went back home to Washington state for about a month to visit my family. And I just moved out here to New York a couple weeks ago! Is been pretty intense, lots of training, workshops, meetings with our team of lawyers hahaha. We realize that not everyone in America is happy that "Al Jazeera" is going to be on cable TV - mostly out of ignorance - and a lot of people will be critical of our work so we can't make any major mistakes. We'll practicing and working out any issues we come across for the next couple months before we launch. In the meantime I'm just trying to figure out New York and get an apartment - which is a whole different story! On a different topic, my parents have been traveling around Europe for the past few weeks and they are in Switzerland, somewhere not too far from CERN! I was hoping you might be around to meet them, either at CERN or they could meet you for a coffee in your town. I think you and my Dad could have interesting conversations, and I know they would be excited to meet you. They will be driving from Switzerland to France and could be in the area on Friday afternoon, after 3pm. Are you in the area, and think you may have time? Let me know, thanks! Renee Lewis From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Did this not come through? Date: Fri, 28 Jun 2013 17:32:31 +0000 Hi, No I didn't get a response till now... Too bad the timing didn't work, wouldn't have wanted them to crash your daughter's birthday though haha. Hope you had fun. If I can get ahold of my parents I will see what their plan is now, and where they are. Renee Lewis ________________________________________ From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Friday, June 28, 2013 8:27 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: Did this not come through? Hi Renée: You wrote, and I replied: ----------------------------------- >They will be driving from Switzerland to France >and could be in the area on Friday afternoon, >after 3pm. >Are you in the area, and think you may have time? Let me know, thanks! Unfortunately that is bad timing: we're not in on Friday until later in the afternoon. It might or might not work. It's the birthday of Sophie, one of our daughters, and some time ago we booked a restaurant for lunch on Friday and this will not be over before 16:00 at the earliest. Under other circumstances we might envisage to go for dinner, but I can assure you that after a lunch in that restaurant we do not want to eat anything for a day... Can you give me more details? ------------------------------------ It is now 19:26 here. We did indeed come back from the restaurant late, and very full. If your parents are still in the area, tell me more! Robert. ________________________________ To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: Did this not come through? Hi Renée: You wrote, and I replied: ----------------------------------- They will be driving from Switzerland to France and could be in the area on Friday afternoon, after 3pm. Are you in the area, and think you may have time? Let me know, thanks! Unfortunately that is bad timing: we're not in on Friday until later in the afternoon. It might or might not work. It's the birthday of Sophie, one of our daughters, and some time ago we booked a restaurant for lunch on Friday and this will not be over before 16:00 at the earliest. Under other circumstances we might envisage to go for dinner, but I can assure you that after a lunch in that restaurant we do not want to eat anything for a day... Can you give me more details? ------------------------------------ It is now 19:26 here. We did indeed come back from the restaurant late, and very full. If your parents are still in the area, tell me more! Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Did this not come through? If I can get ahold of my parents I will see what their plan is now, and where they are. OK. Strange that did not come through, because I sent it yesterday evening! (maybe the NSA got it...) R. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Did this not come through? I guess it did not work out... Too bad, I'd have liked to meet your parents. Some other time I hope! Robert. If I can get ahold of my parents I will see what their plan is now, and where they are. OK. Strange that did not come through, because I sent it yesterday evening! (maybe the NSA got it...) R. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: After several Renee: Thanks for writing back... too bad it didn't work out. Maybe next time, they would definitely like to meet you! OK. Anyways, I have been very busy with my new job.... Good luck... The company was built from scratch..., TV is also piloting but not on air. That seems the way to do it: rehearsal. There are definitely a lot of kinks to work out but I think we will be ready by launch... "inshallah" (god-willing) I always quote an old saying from over here: "God helps those who help themselves" Other than that, I've been busy finding an apartment -- which is a HUUUUUUGE hassle in New York, its like a sport, a marathon actually to find a good place for a good price. New York is not a place I would want to live in, unless I had about a million a year to spend. I finally found one in Queens in a nice Puerto Rican, family neighborhood. Its right by Brooklyn, near this neighborhood called Bushwick which is the center of the bohemian/artistic/musical NYC culture which is pretty cool. Sounds good for an upcoming young person. What's new in Europe? How's your family? We are OK. I was down with a very bad cold, still not entirely gone. Weather has been awful since last year November. Right now it is hot and sunny, but there are huge clouds too, and last night there was an awful thunderstorm. No flying. However, from 8 to 16 we were on holidays at the Belgian coast, with our grandchild Nora. It was hot and sunny and we got a good tan. Using Google Streetview with the attached location file, you can see the hotel we were in (but there is no longer a street with car acces, the seafront is now all pedestrian) She had never seen the sea or the beach. Nor, through living in Paris, had she ever seen the horizon. So, as our hotel rooms had seaview, and as the sun set in the west over the North Sea, ... she made her first astronomical observation: "the sun is on the floor!" (remember she is four) She loved the Belgian Waffles (which have nothing to do with what is sold in the US under that name) (remember also that this beach is at the latitude of Calgary!) Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: After several ...That is so cute about what Nora said about the sun! It is strange to live in a city and not be able to see the horizon, I think it gives us perspective and when you can't see it I personally feel trapped. All big cities are traps. The bigger they are, the worse the trap. Something to study, maybe do a show about. Unfortunately, big cities also create The good thing about my neighborhood in Queens is that none of the buildings are over 4 stories tall (similar to Paris, hahaha) so from the roof, there is actually a decent view. I can see Manhattan skyline and for quite a distance in other directions, so I like that. :) Thanks for the photos! The beach looks amazing despite being on the same latitude as Calgary. So weird! No: it is because of the Gulf Stream which brings warm waters from the Mexican Gulf all the way up to Scotland. Unfortunately, because of global warming, this current is now changing and has diminished a lot. That has two important consequences: (1) Europe will get closer to the climate of Canada, colder and also wetter, (2) public opinion will be even more difficult to convince about warming. :-( There are actually a couple decent beaches in NYC that I had no idea about. The best and biggest is Rockaway beach on a barrier island on the south-eastern side of brooklyn. Its miles long, sandy beach with waves that you can surf on. It has a nice boardwalk too... Yes, I know. Though I have not visited them, let alone surfed there. The North Sea is not good for surfing: it is too shallow for big waves. I was thinking about renting an apt out there because it was so cheap, but its over an hour from Manhattan on the subway and after Hurricane Sandy last year, Rockaway got really messed up and the subway didn't run for months, so people out there had to drive, take the bus to another station. I ended up deciding against that apt ;) I guess so. And those hurricanes are going to get worse too. Attached is a photo from the 4th of July, ... Crazy night! Cute. What did they give as reason for stopping the party? R. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: After several Interesting about the unexpected and counter-intuitive effects of climate change... You seem to know a lot about that. I've been following it for 40 years. Do you have predictions for how long until we cross the point of no return? We have crossed it. It depends of course on what one means, but in any case: -- change is always there, there is never "return" (e.g. as in "back to the dinosaur age", -- change in itself is OK, but if it is too fast then life cannot evolve to adapt, it dies. And at the moment things go far too fast. Temperatures can go up by several degrees and life on Earth will survive, provided it takes several million years, but not if it is in a few decades. There will be mass extinctions. They are already happening. So I think we will lose all the big wildlife in the tropical areas, and much of the plant life too. And a lot in the oceans. I have seen it dwindle: I was on several wildlife trips in Africa over 30 years, and each time there was less and less, and more and more humans. What is worse is that the "new humans" i.e. the people from the already overpopulated Asian regions, the youngsters from the emerging countries, and the Muslim world just don't give a damn (in general, there are of course exceptions), all they want is their part of the cake. One can (and should) of course argue that the industrial revolution in the west was what started it all. It took people in Europe and the US a long time before they began to care about the environment. It's going to be a tough job to save anything, because anything that stands in the way of producing food will just be bulldozed over. Very sad. The cops, as usual in NYC, did not give a reason. Everyone things they just wanted the roof. Almost every roof in that area of brooklyn had parties bigger than ours going on, and they werent shut down. So.... You mean they can get away with not giving a valid reason? I'm sure they have to! Whatever, you had fun. R. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: Did this not come through? Date: Wed, 24 Jul 2013 14:24:45 +0000 Hi, Thanks for writing back... too bad it didn't work out. Maybe next time, they would definitely like to meet you! Anyways, I have been very busy with my new job in New York, I transferred to Al Jazeera's new America channel -- we're finally going to be on U.S. cable TV! I'm working with the website still, writing news articles and features from time to time. We haven't launched yet, we have less than a month until launch and we are all running around trying to make everything work before the end of August. The company was built from scratch in less than a year, we are just finishing the hiring and on-boarding process and have been piloting (pretending) the news day as if it were real. So that means, writing news stories for the website, commissioning features and opinions, TV is also piloting but not on air. There are definitely a lot of kinks to work out but I think we will be ready by launch... "inshallah" (god-willing) Other than that, I've been busy finding an apartment -- which is a HUUUUUUGE hassle in New York, its like a sport, a marathon actually to find a good place for a good price. I finally found one in Queens in a nice Puerto Rican, family neighborhood. Its right by Brooklyn, near this neighborhood called Bushwick which is the center of the bohemian/artistic/musical NYC culture which is pretty cool. I have a friend here from my hometown who also went to University of Washington at the same time as me who has lived in Bushwick for a few years so I have met a lot of new friends through him and explored the neighborhood. What's new in Europe? How's your family? Renee Lewis ________________________________________ From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Wednesday, July 03, 2013 6:02 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: RE: Did this not come through? I guess it did not work out... Too bad, I'd have liked to meet your parents. Some other time I hope! Robert. >If I can get ahold of my parents I will see what their plan is now, >and where they are. OK. Strange that did not come through, because I sent it yesterday evening! (maybe the NSA got it...) R. ________________________________ From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: After several Date: Wed, 24 Jul 2013 15:54:23 +0000 Hi, Hope you feel better soon! The weather around here has been pretty crazy, a lot of people were sick with a weird cold but not from cold weather, from hot, muggy weather that trapped bad air. We finally got some rain which broke the heat wave a few days ago and its been much more pleasant since then. That is so cute about what Nora said about the sun! It is strange to live in a city and not be able to see the horizon, I think it gives us perspective and when you can't see it I personally feel trapped. The good thing about my neighborhood in Queens is that none of the buildings are over 4 stories tall (similar to Paris, hahaha) so from the roof, there is actually a decent view. I can see Manhattan skyline and for quite a distance in other directions, so I like that. Thanks for the photos! The beach looks amazing despite being on the same latitude as Calgary. So weird! There are actually a couple decent beaches in NYC that I had no idea about. The best and biggest is Rockaway beach on a barrier island on the south-eastern side of brooklyn. Its miles long, sandy beach with waves that you can surf on. It has a nice boardwalk too... I was thinking about renting an apt out there because it was so cheap, but its over an hour from Manhattan on the subway and after Hurricane Sandy last year, Rockaway got really messed up and the subway didn't run for months, so people out there had to drive, take the bus to another station. I ended up deciding against that apt ;) Attached is a photo from the 4th of July, I went to a roof top party in Bushwick, Brooklyn and they had bands playing, lots of people, and a great view of Manhattan for the fireworks. However, 5 mins before sunset, the police showed up and kicked us all out. Everyone, including me, thinks they were pissed off they had to work on the 4th and took over the roof because of the amazing view. Meanwhile, we had to run back to another building's roof to catch the fireworks. Crazy night! Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Wednesday, July 24, 2013 5:54 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: After several Renee: Thanks for writing back... too bad it didn't work out. Maybe next time, they would definitely like to meet you! OK. Anyways, I have been very busy with my new job.... Good luck... The company was built from scratch..., TV is also piloting but not on air. That seems the way to do it: rehearsal. There are definitely a lot of kinks to work out but I think we will be ready by launch... "inshallah" (god-willing) I always quote an old saying from over here: "God helps those who help themselves" Other than that, I've been busy finding an apartment -- which is a HUUUUUUGE hassle in New York, its like a sport, a marathon actually to find a good place for a good price. New York is not a place I would want to live in, unless I had about a million a year to spend. I finally found one in Queens in a nice Puerto Rican, family neighborhood. Its right by Brooklyn, near this neighborhood called Bushwick which is the center of the bohemian/artistic/musical NYC culture which is pretty cool. Sounds good for an upcoming young person. What's new in Europe? How's your family? We are OK. I was down with a very bad cold, still not entirely gone. Weather has been awful since last year November. Right now it is hot and sunny, but there are huge clouds too, and last night there was an awful thunderstorm. No flying. However, from 8 to 16 we were on holidays at the Belgian coast, with our grandchild Nora. It was hot and sunny and we got a good tan. Using Google Streetview with the attached location file, you can see the hotel we were in (but there is no longer a street with car acces, the seafront is now all pedestrian) She had never seen the sea or the beach. Nor, through living in Paris, had she ever seen the horizon. So, as our hotel rooms had seaview, and as the sun set in the west over the North Sea, ... she made her first astronomical observation: "the sun is on the floor!" (remember she is four) She loved the Belgian Waffles (which have nothing to do with what is sold in the US under that name) (remember also that this beach is at the latitude of Calgary!) Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: After several Date: Wed, 24 Jul 2013 18:14:58 +0000 Interesting about the unexpected and counter-intuitive effects of climate change... You seem to know a lot about that. Do you have predictions for how long until we cross the point of no return? The cops, as usual in NYC, did not give a reason. Everyone things they just wanted the roof. Almost every roof in that area of brooklyn had parties bigger than ours going on, and they werent shut down. So.... Renee Lewis ________________________________________ From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Wednesday, July 24, 2013 8:54 PM To: Renee Lewis Subject: RE: After several >...That is so cute about what Nora said about the sun! It is strange >to live in a city and not be able to see the horizon, I think it >gives us perspective and when you can't see it I personally feel >trapped. All big cities are traps. The bigger they are, the worse the trap. Something to study, maybe do a show about. Unfortunately, big cities also create >The good thing about my neighborhood in Queens is that none of the >buildings are over 4 stories tall (similar to Paris, hahaha) so from >the roof, there is actually a decent view. I can see Manhattan >skyline and for quite a distance in other directions, so I like that. :) >Thanks for the photos! The beach looks amazing despite being on the >same latitude as Calgary. So weird! No: it is because of the Gulf Stream which brings warm waters from the Mexican Gulf all the way up to Scotland. Unfortunately, because of global warming, this current is now changing and has diminished a lot. That has two important consequences: (1) Europe will get closer to the climate of Canada, colder and also wetter, (2) public opinion will be even more difficult to convince about warming. :-( >There are actually a couple decent beaches in NYC that I had no idea >about. The best and biggest is Rockaway beach on a barrier island on >the south-eastern side of brooklyn. Its miles long, sandy beach with >waves that you can surf on. It has a nice boardwalk too... Yes, I know. Though I have not visited them, let alone surfed there. The North Sea is not good for surfing: it is too shallow for big waves. >I was thinking about renting an apt out there because it was so >cheap, but its over an hour from Manhattan on the subway and after >Hurricane Sandy last year, Rockaway got really messed up and the >subway didn't run for months, so people out there had to drive, take >the bus to another station. I ended up deciding against that apt ;) I guess so. And those hurricanes are going to get worse too. >Attached is a photo from the 4th of July, ... Crazy night! Cute. What did they give as reason for stopping the party? R. ________________________________ From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: What do you think about this? Date: Fri, 2 Aug 2013 20:03:46 +0000 http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=warming-climate-may-drive-human-conflict I'm writing about this today at work, its been rumored forever but very interesting to see a scientific study with evidence that shows the link between heat and violence. More interesting to me is finding out how that psychological process works. What's happening in our brains when we get hot. I'm trying to talk to a psychologist who has done research on the Heat theory for years to get more information about it. In the meantime, what do you think about this? Too obvious? Or are there interesting points we can extrapolate from this? politically, economically... How's life? Renee Lewis From ???@??? Sat Aug 03 09:20:21 2013 To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: Re: What do you think about this? It was on the news here too. I commented to Susan that such studies must be done in order to get the data and the numbers right, but that the phenomenon is obvious. It is so obvious that it is even in the language: a heated discussion it's going to be hot in there there is a hot summer coming (student revolts 1968) let's cool down keep the head cool and the feet warm and so on. I do agree that most of the above refer to the effect rather than the cause, but it's still so that outbursts are more likely when it is hot than when it is cold. http://www.scientificamerican.com/article.cfm?id=warming-climate-may-drive-human-conflict I'm writing about this today at work, its been rumored forever but very interesting to see a scientific study with evidence that shows the link between heat and violence. More interesting to me is finding out how that psychological process works. What's happening in our brains when we get hot. I'm trying to talk to a psychologist who has done research on the Heat theory for years to get more information about it. I'd be interested to hear about it. Trying to think about myself: I have "lost control" a few times in my life, and it was nearly always during hotter times than during cooler times. Perhaps also when it is hot you cannot get rid of your body heat, whereas when it is cold you can warm up by putting on clothes or doing physical work. I suffer terribly from the current heat: I cannot take off more clothes when I'm already wearing none. This makes me nervous, looking for relief. I can no longer concentrate and am restricted to total inactivity. It does make me feel helpless, and that induces anger. But that's perhaps just me. In the meantime, what do you think about this? Too obvious? Or are there interesting points we can extrapolate from this? politically, economically... It does not spell good things to come. How's life? too hot. We manage to keep the house reasonably cool by opening at night and closing during the day (switching as soon as the air temperatures inside and outside switch over). It's early morning here, 24 inside now, and 21 outside. In an hour or so I will have to close up. Then it is predicted it will go all the way to 35 this afternoon. The alternative, lazy and rich, is to install air conditioning. That of course does not help the climate. At least this running all over the house twice a day to open and close all windows and shutters does contribute to my fitness and does not damage the environment. Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: Date: Tue, 3 Sep 2013 02:49:03 +0000 Hey.... How is everything? Things are good here in New York... we finally launched the channel and we're now on US cable TV. We have received a lukewarm response. Partially because we tried to become so mainstream that we alienated our diehard audience and are not mainstream enough (and will never be with a name like Al Jazeera) for the American mainstream. ha. Anyways... I've really been pushing environmental/climate change-related stories, and I came across some really interesting reports I wanted to pass along to you. Remember when you wrote about how species will have to move faster than is possible to adapt to climate change, and that there are going to be mass extinctions because life just can't keep up with the pace of human destruction? Although there will be mass extinctions... there will be mass evolution as well. Check out these articles, it's really uplifting... life is adapting faster than scientists thought possible and its expected to continue. http://e360.yale.edu/feature/first_comes_global_warming_then_an_evolutionary_explosion/2178/ http://uanews.org/story/ua-study-evolution-too-slow-to-keep-up-with-climate-change http://newscenter.lbl.gov/news-releases/2013/05/05/boreal/ http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2013/03/15/nature-adapts-to-survive-climate-change/ http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/08/130829214356.htm Renee Lewis To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: Re: Hey.... How is everything? Things are good here in New York... we finally launched the channel and we're now on US cable TV. We have received a lukewarm response. Partially because we tried to become so mainstream that we alienated our diehard audience and are not mainstream enough (and will never be with a name like Al Jazeera) for the American mainstream. ha. The American Mainstream is indeed quite a narrow thing. But it's early days. It will all depend on perceived impartiality, more than on style. Well, that's my opinion. My friends in the US would certainly have a look, and use it as a supplementary channel. But I also can see a large fraction that would be against you just out of prejudice. Anyways... I've really been pushing environmental/climate change-related stories, and I came across some really interesting reports I wanted to pass along to you. :) Don't think I am some osrt of guru. I know more than most, but not nearly as much as those who have studied it all. Remember when you wrote about how species will have to move faster than is possible to adapt to climate change, and that there are going to be mass extinctions because life just can't keep up with the pace of human destruction? Yes. Although there will be mass extinctions... there will be mass evolution as well. Check out these articles, it's really uplifting... life is adapting faster than scientists thought possible and its expected to continue. Yes, I heard about that too. http://e360.yale.edu/feature/first_comes_global_warming_then_an_evolutionary_explosion/2178/ Ouch... That is a good incentive for you to get a copy of "The extended Phenotype" and read it twice. There is a fundamental difference between that "plasticity" that the article refers to and genetic evolution. It is in fact mentioned lower down. I am much more of the opinion of Juha MerilŠ. Fortunately also, there is the sentence "Unfortunately, scientists may not be able to appreciate the full scope of evolutionÕs effects for decades" The problem with this type of articel is that it leads people to believe that there is no problem: we'll just adapt. So go on and drill, drill, drill. It is also the type of statement from scientists that makes me despair. What they say is right, but it leads to confusion. Sigh. Don't let a scientist near a journalist's microphone. http://uanews.org/story/ua-study-evolution-too-slow-to-keep-up-with-climate-change This one give at least a figure: 1 degree Celsius per million years and that sounds better, but is still not good. Because what makes evolution go? The generations. If a species has a generation of 1 year (many insects) then it is going to be able to adapt quicker than one that has a generation of 25 years (humans). It's only during reproduction that you get a set of random genetic differences between the parent and the offspring. Some of those are good for surviving in the new circumstances, others are not. There is also the number of such differences: in some species it is low, in others it is quite high. Those with lots of differences and short generation times have an andvantage in adaptation. Unfortunately, those are also the least complex ones usually. And let's not forget that evolution is entirely negative: it weeds out those who do not fit. It does not tend to egg on adaptation. And it is entirely random in producing changes. When humans moved to the North, they lacked sunlight to produce vitamin D. There could have been several different ways to adapt: -- not need vitamin D anymore, -- generate it more on the skin of the head and favour baldness -- lighten the skin and become white. We got the last one of those three. By accident. There could have been many other ways, I don't know. http://newscenter.lbl.gov/news-releases/2013/05/05/boreal/ Also quite good. And again shows how little we really know: all these models predict different outcomes. I liked the map of Europe: where in hell are the forests depicted on that map? There are remnants of them, sure, but in practice they are not there. Presumably the model looks at how forests would move assuming they exist. Those green areas are the most populated of Europe. And it leaves out the effects of the disappearing Gulf stream. I think. A good article though, well written. http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2013/03/15/nature-adapts-to-survive-climate-change/ Great. 60 miles in a century. OK, say 100. Ok, say 200km. That is still far from the 800km we were talking about in an earlier message. Good article though. Like it. http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/08/130829214356.htm Here too, I like the promulation of the last paragraph: when it looks clean then it must be good. A few weeks ago I had visitors from South Africa. We went around the lake, and standing at the shore, looking at the water, the woman remarked that it was so nice and clean. I told her it was probably because it was poisoned by so much mercury. My bottom line for now is: we do not yet know enough to make accurate predictions. Each bit of research is very important, and we should do a lot more. One thing is certain: time is running out fast. Or has already run out. Robert. To: Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: SUSPECT: Re: Hey... About the rapid evolution in species, I didn't see it as something that would be used as an argument against the perils of climate change, but gave me a little bit of hope that some things will survive. Yes, slime in the ponds. I just saw an article about cats. It said that it was no surprise cats still had a predator nature since they have been evolving alongside humans for only 10'000 years. With climate change we are talking a mere 100 years, if that. But on that note I have seen some analysis pieces around the internet on how the anti-science, climate-change-refuters have been on a media offensive ahead of upcoming climate change talks at the UN -- getting published wherever they can saying, writing about how climate change isn't really happening... or that its not as bad as 'those crazy environmentalist hippies' say it is. It is much worse than the "greens" think. I'm afraid the situation is somewhat like this: 1-- there are the scientists, who are studying the stuff quantitatively, using numbers and models etc. and by far have not enough data nor, more importantly, good enough models for predictions, because many interactions are not known. In addition, by their nature, scientists never want to express certainty, and are in competition with each other about the formulation and hte details, even if as a body they all agree that global warming is certainly here and growing fast. So they give a very bad impression to the public, especially since the public does not understand the numbers and graphs, and the journalists always avoid those anyway. 2-- there are the politicians, big business, and liberalism-fundamentalists who do not want to see any change to the established order (I really sound like a communist of the Stalin era here... but that is not on purpose) They will do all they can to deny any evidence there is, and put the environmentalist hippies in a bad light. They are used to arguments ad-hominem. They have more difficulty with the scientists, so they stay away from them. 3-- there are the crazy environmentalist hippies, as you rightly call them. They target the liberalists, tend sheep on the mountain pastures, put flowers in their hair (and until the end of this year) drive VW minibuses. But just like the liberalists, they refuse any figures, graphs, models, if they do not fit their ideology. They do not calculate either. My own daughter has some of those tendencies. So group 3 and group 2 are fighting, but they would probably fight each other for a different made-up reason if climate change were not there. In the 1960s they fought each other over nuclear war. Before that is was communism. Now it is climate change. It's always interesting to reply to your messages, because I had not explicitly thought about these three groups and the way they interact (or do not interact). Perhaps it would be good to do a series of reports on each of them separately first, then bring it all together. There is a large fourth group: the population at large, which only wants to know what to do next and awaits a reasonable scenario to implement whatever needs to be done. They are getting worried I think, but don't know who to believe. Meanwhile, I've been writing a lot about environmental topics at work. And about your ending comment saying it may already be too late to stop the effects of global warming, for some it seems that it is. I'm pretty convinced it is. I interviewed the VP of the Marshall Islands ... the Marshalls along with about a dozen other Pacific Island Nations had drafted a declaration called the Majuro Declaration calling on the world to become climate leaders... to change the narrative from "I'll sign up after you sign up" which has stalled any agreements from being cemented. http://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2013/9/2/kerry-pacific-islandersmustprepareforclimatechangeimpacts.html Very good. I'll keep the link. Anyways... for the Marshalls, with many of their atolls barley 3 feet above sea level, and predictions saying that sea levels will rise by one meter by 2100... it looks like it may already be too late. One meter is ridiculous. Here is a very simple way to calculate the upper limit (i.e. the level we will not reach, but might) (I may have done that calculation with you before, if so, please forgive my bad memory...) Take the Antarctic. It has a 5km thick ice layer on it. Admittedly, it's not 5km thick everywhere, but just suppose it were. Now take the surface areas (Wikipedia has them). The oceans together are 361 million square kilometers. Antarctica is 13.7 million square km. So the oceans are 26 times larger than Antarctica. Good, so slice the 5km of ice into 26 slices and you can cover the oceans. But 5000m/26 = 192m! Now, we have forgotten the ice on Greenland, but we have also forgotten that ice melts to only 90% of water. We also did not take into account that the cap on Antarctica is not really 5km thick everywhere. Suppose it is more of a cone than a cylinder, then its volume is only 1/3 of what we used. OK, so 90% of 1/3 of 192m, but that is still 57 meters, and we have not melted Greenland, and we have not accounted for the expansion of the sea water itself because of higher temperature. Now, as I said, that was an upper limit. It was an engineer's calculation: the worst possible case scenario. Alongside that, the 1m still seems very meek though. A lot of people will say that melting the ice on Antarctica will take hundreds of years. True, but it does not need to melt: it only needs to slide off the continent and into the sea. This is already happening, also in Greenland. And geologically, Antarctica was once ice-free (because it was not located at the pole). Earth has had much higher sea levels. The changes took millions of years, not decades. http://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2013/9/6/pacific-islands-leadershopetoconvinceworldtomoveonclimatechange.html It's good to see some international action. This may convince more of the public, and then hopefully later more of the leaders. The President and VP are in New York... apparently sea level rise disproportionately affects the tropical zones/equatorial areas So it seems. but I have not understood how it can be. You would think the seas are all connected... On another disastrous note, did you follow the floods in Colorado ... No, I did not. Other things happened here. So I looked into it, and this county, Weld County, which was one of the hardest hit, also happens to be the most heavily drilled county in the United States -- with over 20,000 active oil and gas wells. Apparently they are totally taken over by the oil and gas industry -- in the state government and local government levels. Not surprising. My first articlehttp://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2013/9/15/report-ruptured-pipelinegasleaksoilspillsincoloradofloods.html raised the question of whether there was contamination after the floods. The state government was being really quiet about those concerns and it got me interested. You are prolific, aren't you? :) Good though. ... They have hundreds of active wells WITHIN city limits and say their city council is owned by the industry.. they mentioned that the mayors reelection campaign party was being thrown by Mineral Resources -- one of the local industry companies. I would not be surprised. Now however, also ask these same residents to turn off the lights and the air conditioner, to open shops only 8 hours a day and to get very organised about how often they drive to the mall. Or ask them to switch to nuclear power with a nuclear reactor in town. Or better still, ask them how much they have spent on super-insulating their houses and installing solar panels. Because these things go together. Sigh. :( Robert. From: Renee Lewis To: Robert Cailliau Subject: RE: SUSPECT: Re: Date: Wed, 25 Sep 2013 00:45:02 +0000 Hey... About the rapid evolution in species, I didn't see it as something that would be used as an argument against the perils of climate change, but gave me a little bit of hope that some things will survive. But on that note I have seen some analysis pieces around the internet on how the anti-science, climate-change-refuters have been on a media offensive ahead of upcoming climate change talks at the UN -- getting published wherever they can saying, writing about how climate change isn't really happening... or that its not as bad as 'those crazy environmentalist hippies' say it is. Meanwhile, I've been writing a lot about environmental topics at work. And about your ending comment saying it may already be too late to stop the effects of global warming, for some it seems that it is. I interviewed the VP of the Marshall Islands ... the Marshalls along with about a dozen other Pacific Island Nations had drafted a declaration called the Majuro Declaration calling on the world to become climate leaders... to change the narrative from "I'll sign up after you sign up" which has stalled any agreements from being cemented. http://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2013/9/2/kerry-pacific-islandersmustprepareforclimatechangeimpacts.html Anyways... for the Marshalls, with many of their atolls barley 3 feet above sea level, and predictions saying that sea levels will rise by one meter by 2100... it looks like it may already be too late. http://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2013/9/6/pacific-islands-leadershopetoconvinceworldtomoveonclimatechange.html The President and VP are in New York this week for the UN meetings on sustainable development goals for 2015. They are going to hand over the Majuro declaration, which aims to curb emissions now, and hope that people get on board. The Marshalls are already facing drought, heavier than normal typhoons and storms, sea level rise... apparently sea level rise disproportionately affects the tropical zones/equatorial areas so they may see levels rise even faster than previously thought. On another disastrous note, did you follow the floods in Colorado by any chance? I just randomly looked deeper into the story because I have family living near the floods and I had seen an obscure warning about oil contamination in the flood waters although it wasnt being reported anywhere in the mainstream media. So I looked into it, and this county, Weld County, which was one of the hardest hit, also happens to be the most heavily drilled county in the United States -- with over 20,000 active oil and gas wells. Apparently they are totally taken over by the oil and gas industry -- in the state government and local government levels. My first articlehttp://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2013/9/15/report-ruptured-pipelinegasleaksoilspillsincoloradofloods.html raised the question of whether there was contamination after the floods. The state government was being really quiet about those concerns and it got me interested. The next article was after the first confirmed spills were made publichttp://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2013/9/19/colorado-oil-andgasindustryregulationsquestionedinwakeofflood.html and went in depth into a small town, Greeley, in Weld County, and how the residents feel their town is being controlled by the oil and gas industry. They have hundreds of active wells WITHIN city limits and say their city council is owned by the industry.. they mentioned that the mayors reelection campaign party was being thrown by Mineral Resources -- one of the local industry companies. So... yeah as the days go on, they are discovering more and more spills... these are crude oil spills along with natural gas blow outs and fracking flow-back water (contaminated toxic stuff) that could have mixed in with the flood water. And all the state, city people wanted to talk about was how there was 'untreated sewage' also mixed in with the waters. Meanwhile, students at Universtiy of Boulder are taking pictures of themselves rafting and swimming in the flood waters..... Renee Lewis From: Robert Cailliau [robert@cailliau.org] Sent: Tuesday, September 03, 2013 2:55 AM To: Renee Lewis Subject: SUSPECT: Re: Hey.... How is everything? Things are good here in New York... we finally launched the channel and we're now on US cable TV. We have received a lukewarm response. Partially because we tried to become so mainstream that we alienated our diehard audience and are not mainstream enough (and will never be with a name like Al Jazeera) for the American mainstream. ha. The American Mainstream is indeed quite a narrow thing. But it's early days. It will all depend on perceived impartiality, more than on style. Well, that's my opinion. My friends in the US would certainly have a look, and use it as a supplementary channel. But I also can see a large fraction that would be against you just out of prejudice. Anyways... I've really been pushing environmental/climate change-related stories, and I came across some really interesting reports I wanted to pass along to you. :) Don't think I am some osrt of guru. I know more than most, but not nearly as much as those who have studied it all. Remember when you wrote about how species will have to move faster than is possible to adapt to climate change, and that there are going to be mass extinctions because life just can't keep up with the pace of human destruction? Yes. Although there will be mass extinctions... there will be mass evolution as well. Check out these articles, it's really uplifting... life is adapting faster than scientists thought possible and its expected to continue. Yes, I heard about that too. http://e360.yale.edu/feature/first_comes_global_warming_then_an_evolutionary_explosion/2178/ Ouch... That is a good incentive for you to get a copy of "The extended Phenotype" and read it twice. There is a fundamental difference between that "plasticity" that the article refers to and genetic evolution. It is in fact mentioned lower down. I am much more of the opinion of Juha MerilŠ. Fortunately also, there is the sentence "Unfortunately, scientists may not be able to appreciate the full scope of evolution's effects for decades" The problem with this type of articele is that it leads people to believe that there is no problem: we'll just adapt. So go on and drill, drill, drill. It is also the type of statement from scientists that makes me despair. What they say is right, but it leads to confusion. Sigh. Don't let a scientist near a journalist's microphone. http://uanews.org/story/ua-study-evolution-too-slow-to-keep-up-with-climate-change This one give at least a figure: 1 degree Celsius per million years and that sounds better, but is still not good. Because what makes evolution go? The generations. If a species has a generation of 1 year (many insects) then it is going to be able to adapt quicker than one that has a generation of 25 years (humans). It's only during reproduction that you get a set of random genetic differences between the parent and the offspring. Some of those are good for surviving in the new circumstances, others are not. There is also the number of such differences: in some species it is low, in others it is quite high. Those with lots of differences and short generation times have an andvantage in adaptation. Unfortunately, those are also the least complex ones usually. And let's not forget that evolution is entirely negative: it weeds out those who do not fit. It does not tend to egg on adaptation. And it is entirely random in producing changes. When humans moved to the North, they lacked sunlight to produce vitamin D. There could have been several different ways to adapt: -- not need vitamin D anymore, -- generate it more on the skin of the head and favour baldness -- lighten the skin and become white. We got the last one of those three. By accident. There could have been many other ways, I don't know. http://newscenter.lbl.gov/news-releases/2013/05/05/boreal/ Also quite good. And again shows how little we really know: all these models predict different outcomes. I liked the map of Europe: where in hell are the forests depicted on that map? There are remnants of them, sure, but in practice they are not there. Presumably the model looks at how forests would move assuming they exist. Those green areas are the most populated of Europe. And it leaves out the effects of the disappearing Gulf stream. I think. A good article though, well written. http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2013/03/15/nature-adapts-to-survive-climate-change/ Great. 60 miles in a century. OK, say 100. Ok, say 200km. That is still far from the 800km we were talking about in an earlier message. Good article though. Like it. http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/08/130829214356.htm Here too, I like the formulation of the last paragraph: when it looks clean then it must be good. A few weeks ago I had visitors from South Africa. We went around the lake, and standing at the shore, looking at the water, the woman remarked that it was so nice and clean. I told her it was probably because it was poisoned by so much mercury. My bottom line for now is: we do not yet know enough to make accurate predictions. Each bit of research is very important, and we should do a lot more. One thing is certain: time is running out fast. Or has already run out. Robert.